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Positive Jobs Report Shows Economic Fault Lines
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Hilsenrath goes over some of the troubling signs behind the postive job numbers for April 2014. Part time workers looking for full time work actually increased in April 2014 to 7.5 million. More individuals in prime working years of 25-54 dropped out of the work force discouraged and stopped looking for work, with the percentage for this group who are working dropping to 80.8% in April 2014. Wage growth and worker productivity was stagnant. Donald Kohn, a former vice chairman of the Fed, joins other economists who are puzzled by the lack of wage growth and the large number of long term unemployed behind the positive job numbers of 288,000 for April 2014.
Blanchflower and Posen call for the U.S. Federal Reserve to use wage growth as the best indicator of unemployment, after the misleading 288,000 jobs report of April 2014
06/06/2009
A renewed focus on the partcipation rate as the unemployment rate declines to 6.3% in April 2014. As this only counts people looking for work and many Americans have dropped out of the labor market because jobs they seek do not exist, the unemployment rate in this situation is misleading. Blanchford and Posen have written a paper on this and say the flat wage rate in March and April 2014 with no improvement in the participation rate provides a true picture of the large slack in the economy.
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Linked Articles
Positive Jobs Report Shows Economic Fault Lines
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014
In Tepid Wage Growth, a Potent Sign of a Still-Fragile Economy
New York Times 05/05/2014
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