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The $436 million payment by Greece to holdout bondholder Dart Management and the $1.5 billion demanded by holdout bondholder Elliott Management leading to Argentine default in 2014
05/15/2012
Greece made the payment to Dart Management at a time of 20% unemployment and daily protests on Athens streets, a month before elections in June 2012. Greece only did this as a last resort for release of EU funds that were being held up to make pament of interest on debt. This exacerabated discontent inside Greece as pensions were being cut and layoffs taking place, including increase in electricity bills. The Syriza party made gains in that election and the two main parties lost ground to other parties, including a violent anti-immigrant party. Argentina's Christina Kirchner faces a difficult time with the unions and centrist parties in Buenos Aires province, with a shortage of cash and sovereign wealth fund down to $29 billion in May 2014. Stevenson points out the payment to Elliott Management could lead to a situation where Argentina owed $15-$27 billion to all holdout and exchange investors in its bonds.
Linked Articles
Argentina Finds Relentless Foe in Paul Singer's Hedge Fund
New York Times 07/30/2014
Bet on Greek Bonds Paid Off for a Vulture FundNew York Times 05/15/2012
Living wills of major banks in the U.S. under Dodd-Frank legislation
05/10/2012
The "orderly liquidation authority" of the FDIC and the U.S. Federal Reserve under the Dodd-Frank legislation provides a framework for bank resolution in the event of a crisis- something lacking in the 2008 financial crisis when Lehman Brothers collapsed. The largest finanial firms are required to write living wills so that orderly resolution can take place. Nine of the largest finacnial firms in the U.S. including Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse and UBS, have submitted the wills to the Fed and the FDIC.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/10/2012
Banks' 'Living Wills' UnveiledWall Street Journal 07/03/2012
Declining sales of gasoline model cars in India, higher rates on car loans, and a severe slowdown in the automobile market
05/07/2012
Linked Articles
In India, Subsidies Upend Car Sales
Wall Street Journal 07/02/2012
Maruti Suzuki Plans Replacement for Alto Compact CarWall Street Journal 05/07/2012
Sanford Weill of Citigroup, former U.S. Fed chairman Volcker, and other voices calling for breakup of the biggest banks
04/29/2012
Weill pushed hard to repeal the Glass Steagall Act. He now says the housing bubble and the financial crisis have proved that this was a mistake. He called for a breakup of the biggest banks on July 23, 2012, in comments to CNBC.
Linked Articles
Big-Bank Pioneer Now Seeks Breakup
Wall Street Journal 07/25/2012
Warren Stephens: How Big Banks Threaten Our EconomyWall Street Journal 04/29/2012
Spain's effort to fix regional finances, austerity measures and risks of high unemployment
04/27/2012
Efforts to fix regional finances with spending cuts have pushed unemployment to about 27% in one of Spain's largest regions, Castilla-La Mancha. As banks consolidate and reduce lending this depresses small and medium sized businesses, the public sector layoff increase unemployment, part time unemployment and the growing underground economy depress tax revenues, creating risks of a downward spiral.
Linked Articles
A Spanish Leader Emerges as a Crusader for Austerity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2012
Spain, Pursuing Austerity, Still Waits for the PayoffNew York Times 04/27/2012
The risks to Ford Motor from its European operations in 2013-2014
04/26/2012
Linked Articles
Ford Could Be Slowed by Global Potholes
Wall Street Journal 01/29/2013
Fordâs Challenges Mount in EuropeNew York Times 04/26/2012
Increasing U.S. dependence on Saudi Arabian oil supplies after sanctions on Iran
04/13/2012
U.S oil imports from Saudi Arabia in the first half 2012 compared to 2011 increased by 20%.
Linked Articles
U.S. Reliance on Saudi Oil Is Growing Again
New York Times 08/16/2012
Pressure on Oil Supply EasesWall Street Journal 04/13/2012
Nakanishi at Hitachi and Sasaki at Toshiba- a new set of CEO's in Japan breaking from the past
04/09/2012
Linked Articles
Hitachi President Prods Turnaround
Wall Street Journal 05/11/2012
Toshiba's Chief Takes StockWall Street Journal 04/09/2012
Eliminating all Bush tax cuts to generate the revenue base to support spending programs for the middle class down the road
03/29/2012
Jared Berstein of the Economic Policy Institute, Peter Orszag, former director of the Congressional Budget Office, and Mayor Bloomberg of New York, say eliminating all Bush tax cuts would provide the revenue base needed to support middle class programs for future years. Orszag says making the tax code more progressive is desirable especially considering the inequality but this does not do much good if the revenue base to support middle class programs down the road is insufficient.
Linked Articles
Middle Class Malaise Complicates Democratsâ Fiscal Stance
New York Times 12/12/2012
Federal Budgets and Class WarfareWall Street Journal 03/29/2012
Problems of unemployment and part-time employment in the U.S. in the first half of 2012
03/12/2012
Linked Articles
It's Good Work if You Can Get It—and Especially if You Can Keep It
Wall Street Journal 07/07/2012
Piecing Together the Job-Picture PuzzleWall Street Journal 03/12/2012
Uncertain future for Australia's mining and commodities powered boom in 2012-2014
03/06/2012
The shift in China's economy towards consumption led growth from infrastructure development led growth is likely to affect mining commodity producing economies such as Australia, Brazil and Chile. The rapid appreciation of the Australian dollar and the real is also affecting the competitiveness of manufacturing in these countries.
Linked Articles
Australia Budget Turns Boom on Its Head
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2012
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
Xiaochuan, head of the PBOC, Liu He of the DRC think tank, and Zoellick, former head of the World Bank- driving China's new economic priorities in 2014
02/23/2012
Linked Articles
China's Central Banker Leads Push to Overhaul Economy
Wall Street Journal 11/05/2013
New Push for Reform in ChinaWall Street Journal 02/23/2012
Failure to tackle tax evasion in Greece estimated at one third of the deficit for 2009
02/19/2012
The implementation of austerity measures in Greece including cuts to the minimum wage hit people with lower wages the hardest. This takes place even as Greece fails to tackle tax evasion by higher income groups such as doctors and engineers. This is estimated by a group of economists who looked at Greek bank records at 11.2 billion euros in 2009.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2012
Greek leaders’ priorities questioned - The Washington PostWashington Post 02/19/2012
The remarkable achievement of Governor Jerry Brown of California- a budget surplus of $851 million for fiscal 2013
05/14/2012
The impossible becomes possible in California as political hurdles are overcome and the state's economy improves. The budget preserves spending priorities for education and healthcare by cutting back in other areas, another remarkable feat- a lasting legacy for Brown's second act as governor. His father was governor in the Kennedy years, he was governor in the 1980's.
Linked Articles
State’s Rare Sight: A Budget Surplus
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2013
Brown Proposes $8.3 Billion in Cuts for CaliforniaNew York Times 05/14/2012
Fiat Chrysler's efforts to improve quality with poor ratings in J.D. Powers Quality Surveys in 2012-2013
05/09/2012
Linked Articles
Lexus, Porsche Top Quality Survey
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2013
Chrysler Puts Laser Focus on DefectsWall Street Journal 05/09/2012
Middle aged Americans and the unemployment rate
05/05/2012
About 3.5 million Americans between the ages of 45-64 unemployed as of May 2012, unemployment being higher for middle aged Americans than younger people.
Linked Articles
For Middle-Aged Job Seekers, a Long Road Back
Wall Street Journal 06/23/2012
The incredible shrinking labor force - The Washington PostWashington Post 05/05/2012
The rapidly deteriorating unemployment situation in Spain with over 5 million unemployed in April 2012
04/27/2012
A sense that austerity policies are not working because of the speed with which unemployment is rising. Improving competitiveness and structural changes needed but work gradually over time, and this is stacked up against an unemployment situation that is accelerating downward with over 5 million unemployed in April 2012.
Linked Articles
Austerity Adds to Spain's Jobless Woes
Wall Street Journal 04/29/2012
Spain, Pursuing Austerity, Still Waits for the PayoffNew York Times 04/27/2012
Changing perceptions about Iran after the Istanbul talks on sanctions and nuclear weapons
04/26/2012
Linked Articles
Chances of Iran Strike Receding, U.S. Officials Say
New York Times 04/30/2012
Israeli Army Chief Says He Believes Iran Wonât Build BombNew York Times 04/26/2012
Samsung and Apple strategies in the smartphone market 2011-2014
04/24/2012
Linked Articles
Samsung Widens Lead Over Apple in Smartphone Market
Wall Street Journal 07/27/2012
The Two-Horse Smartphone RaceWall Street Journal 04/24/2012
India's surging crude oil imports with a depreciating rupee reducing the impact of cuts in fuel subsidies- 2011-2015
04/11/2012
Cuts in fuel subsidies to reduce the current account deficit has less impact with a depreciating rupee. The emerging markets crisis in 2014 focusses attention on the current account deficits of emerging market countries. A decline in foreign investment adds to India's difficulties.
Linked Articles
India Grapples With Soaring Energy Costs
Wall Street Journal 04/11/2012
Rupee Throws Oil on India's Subsidy ProblemWall Street Journal 08/21/2013
Expert opinion and the behaviour of the U.S. stock market in 2009 to 2014- how the shift to a "more normalized growth environment" occurred faster than anticipated
04/02/2012
Expert opinion held that a more normalized growth environment would have to return before a recovery in the U.S. equity markets. This was expected to take a period beyond 2012-2013. The actual situation was a recovery in equity markets earlier than expected with support of $3 trillion in bond buying by the U.S. Fed, and similiar support provided in Europe by the ECB.
Linked Articles
Goldman Sachs: We Like Stocks, Just Not This Year
Wall Street Journal 04/02/2012
Lessons From the Bull MarketWall Street Journal 03/08/2014
The prospects of oil price increases in second half 2012 with an Iranian cutoff and diminishing Saudi reserve supplies
03/18/2012
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
The End of the Saudi Oil Reserve MarginWall Street Journal 04/03/2012
The risks facing Spain in 2012 with austerity measures when unemployment is at 23%
03/06/2012
Finance Minister Luis de Guindos sees Spain loosing either way with spending cuts that worsen high unemployment and lower economic growth leading to a worsening debt to GDP ratio in 2012, and this situation in turn raising its borrowing costs on $86 billion in debt issuance for 2012. He estimates the debt to GDP ratio will increase under the 2012 budget of 27 billion euros in cuts and an economy shrinking by 1.7% in 2012, by 10% from 2011 to 78%. Markets are focussing on debt in Portugal and Spain in 2012, after focussing on Greece and Italy in 2011.
Linked Articles
Spain Faces Risks in Budget Refit
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Spain Struggles to Unite Regional Leaders on CutsNew York Times 03/06/2012
Ford to double its manufacturing capacity in Chongqing, China by 2014, making it the largest outside of Michigan
02/27/2012
Ford plans to invest $600 million to more than double manufacturing capacity in Chongqing to 770,000 by 2014. This comes at a time of major slowdown in the market in China after years of hyper growth. Ford lags behing GM and VW in China and missed some of the spurt in growth.
Linked Articles
Ford Plans to Boost Production in China
Wall Street Journal 04/06/2012
Ford Faces China HurdlesWall Street Journal 02/27/2012
Exit from the Eurozone and return to the drachma as the most likely and best outcome for Greece after April 2012 elections
02/22/2012
John Taylor and the Ifo Institue's Sinn say the recapitalization of Greece's banks and the lower interest rates negotiated after the March 2012 bailout make exiting the euro and achieving economic growth doable. The Papdemos government's need for time till 2015 to complete the program of changes, and the elections in April 2012 in which opposition parties outpolled Pasok and New Democrachy lays the political groundwork for the exit.
Linked Articles
Greece at new risk of being pushed off euro - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/08/2012
A Better Grecian BailoutWall Street Journal 02/22/2012
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