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Unsustainable consumer credit booms in Turkey and S. Korea 2010-2013
10/27/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/09/2012
Cochrane's view reflecting that of other experts is that the only way out for Greece is a sovereign default, and starting over like Argentina
09/28/2011
Linked Articles
Greeks Balk at Paying New Property Tax
New York Times 11/27/2011
Last Chance to Save the EuroWall Street Journal 09/28/2011
Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
U.S. airlines (Delta, United Continental, American) capacity restraint 2010-2014 and U.S. Justice Department investigation for collusion
09/14/2011
Linked Articles
Justice Department Probes Airlines for Collusion
Wall Street Journal 07/02/2015
Carriers Keep Capacity in CheckWall Street Journal 09/14/2011
John Bogle of Vanguard Funds, a persistent voice against speculative behaviours in financial markets
09/03/2011
Linked Articles
John Bogle, Vanguard's Founder, Is Too Worried to Rest
New York Times 08/11/2012
How the Index Fund Was BornWall Street Journal 09/03/2011
Problems with the EU July 2011 Plan for Greece and other troubled eurozone countries
07/28/2011
The lack of funding and powers for the European Fiinancial Stability Facility to deal with future crises. EFSF lacks adequate funding and power to buy bonds of troubled eurozone countries including Italy and Spain. Other issues that remain unresolved A sense that the EU leaders are a step behind each developing crisis and have not wrapped their hands around the whole problem.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
The Euro Crisis: Big Rescue, Big DoubtsBusinessWeek 07/28/2011
The European Central Bank, the European Financial Stability Facility and "selective default" under the eurozone agreement of July 20111
07/21/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
Euro Zone Moves Toward Greek DealWall Street Journal 07/21/2011
The emphasis on broader education, broader perspective and culture in business education- 2010-2015
07/07/2011
Interdisciplinary learning and intercultural capabilities will be needed to prepare managers to take on responsibilities in the business world for the next decade.
Linked Articles
Columbia's Business Dean on Disclosure, Leading, Ethics
Wall Street Journal 07/07/2011
IE's Entrepreneurial Focus Shields It From a ShakeoutWall Street Journal 12/01/2011
Greece, Europe and the Austerity Measures- "The French Deception" and "The Tragic Sideshow" (2)
06/30/2011
Two WSJ editorials tell the story for what it is in 2010-2012.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 02/22/2012
The French DeceptionWall Street Journal 06/30/2011
The health of the U.S. economy June 2011- banks still have large holdings of risky assets
06/04/2011
From the second quarter of 2009, to the first quarter of 2011, Cit Holdings had troubled assets come down from $582 billion to $337 billion. Like other large banks in its group Citi still has large amounts of troubled assets.
Linked Articles
AXA Arm to Buy Holdings From Citi
Wall Street Journal 06/08/2011
Banks May Need More CapitalWall Street Journal 06/04/2011
Hope and reality in Nigeria (1)- Goodluck Jonathan, president of Nigeria, 2011-2015, and president Muhammadu Buhari 2015-2019
05/28/2011
There is hope in Nigeria in 2015 with the election of Muhammadu Buhari as president. There was hope in Nigeria in 2011 with the election of Jonathan Goodluck as president. Are too many young people in Africa and Asia seeing their hopes dashed and their dreams vanish? Will the demographic dividend be wasted in corrupt systems and inefficient management of the economy and resources? These are questions on so many young people's minds as two of the largest populated countries on the planet face new administrations and new hope for the future.
Linked Articles
Nigeria Is a Case Study in the Curse of Oil
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2015
Nigeria's prospects: A man and a morassEconomist 05/28/2011
The risks to the Chinese economy of accumulated problems in the financial system
05/25/2011
A Wall Street Journal editorial that draws attention to the opaqueness of the financial system and its accummulated problems. It raises questions about how this will come out. Other expert observers have raised these questions.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/25/2011
Beijing's Financial Day of Reckoning Is NearWall Street Journal 06/21/2011
India's central bank, the Reserve Bank of India's efforts to control inflation in 2010-2011
05/04/2011
The RBI made a a series of rate increases to control inflation.
Linked Articles
India's Inflation Is a Lesson for Fast-Growing Economies
Wall Street Journal 09/12/2011
India Lifts Benchmark Rates as Prices ClimbWall Street Journal 05/04/2011
Poblems with the Groupon IPO and the company's finances missed in the dot-com euphoria
10/18/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
The Missed Red Flags on GrouponNew York Times 10/18/2011
Spain's slow effort to cleanup the banks in 2010-2012
09/28/2011
Linked Articles
Spain Spells Out Latest Plan to Bolster Health of Lenders
Wall Street Journal 02/03/2012
The Spanish Reform ModelWall Street Journal 09/28/2011
The household credit boom in Turkey and unsustainable credit to GDP ratios in 2010-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Harvard labor economist Lawrence Katz's solutions to the job crises and high unemployment in the U.S.
09/06/2011
Katz suggest a number of steps including a subsidy for companies creating new jobs. A form of this subsidy is used in Germany with the "kurzarbeit" program which preserves jobs in a downturn. Katz reminds us that there are three job crises facing America- long term unemployed not reflected in government unemployment figures, effects of foreclosures and debt, and the impact of automation with lower job creation in manufacturing. A sustained andmultipronged approach over a number of years is needed and no single panacea or misguided optimism will work.
Linked Articles
The Next First (and Only) 100 Days
New York Times 12/10/2011
Help Displaced WorkersNew York Times 09/06/2011
Alan Meltzer and Thomas Hoenig's criticism of Federal Reserve Bank chairman Bernake's failure to look at long term consequences of low rates
08/11/2011
Hoenig points to the Fed's lowered rates in 2003 after the burst of the dot com bubble and higher unemployment of 6.5% in 2003 and Meltzer which led to the mortgage meltdown of 2008. Meltzer points to QE II's $600 billion monetary easing in 2010 which failed to revive the economy or reduce unemployment in 2011. They emphasize the Fed's lack of attention to the long term consequences of their actions. Both question the role of the Fed in creating jobs and see the role of the Fed as a neutral player, as deeper structural changes such as ashift to export driven economy, lower consumption take time and are only delayed by a continuation of old policies.
Linked Articles
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 08/13/2011
The Folly of Economic Short-TermismWall Street Journal 08/11/2011
Black people in the U.S. and declining economic advancement in 2008-2016
07/26/2011
Black people see fewer opportunities in the public sector in 2015. The black community has hardly recovered from the damaging effects of foreclosures and higher unemployment following the financial crisis of 2008, and the gap between whites and black people has widened during the last ten years.
Linked Articles
Public-Sector Jobs Vanish, Hitting Blacks Hard
New York Times 05/24/2015
Wealth gap widens between whites, minorities, report says - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/26/2011
Sheila Bair, former chairwoman of the U.S. FDIC, and the short termism following the global financial crisis of 2008 that could bring the U.S. to another financial crisis
07/07/2011
Linked Articles
Short-termism and the risk of another financial crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/10/2011
Bair's Legacy: An FDIC With TeethWall Street Journal 07/07/2011
The June 2011 European Union plan for Greece faces strong criticism for being unworkable
07/01/2011
This plans doubles the interest rate for Greece debt owed to French and German banks under a French banking proposal. Sharp spending cuts and tax increases face opposition inside Greece and their negative impact on economic growth may leave Greece with a much larger debt to GDP ratio in 2011 than in 2010.
Linked Articles
Greece and the euro: The abuses of austerity
Economist 07/02/2011
Move Buys Time for Greece, But Growing Debt LoomsWall Street Journal 07/01/2011
The U.S Fed's Daniel Tarullo and the 15% of assets held in capital reserves by banks rule to prevent another banking crisis like the one in 2008
06/16/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/16/2011
Weâre All Still Hostages to the Big BanksNew York Times 08/25/2013
The health of the U.S. economy June 2011- overleveraging of financial sector, "too big to fail," and Fed's new capital reserve requirements
06/04/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/04/2011
Dimon in Rough Patch With the FedWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
The health of China's economy June 2011- the opaqueness of the financial system and the risk of China not making a soft landing
05/25/2011
Asset price bubbles, loose monetary policy and inflation in China. Slowing growth and risks of a hard landing. The opaqueness of the financial system with the state, banking, industrial and real estate sectors intertwined making it difficult to get a true measure of risks building up.
Linked Articles
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be Popping
Wall Street Journal 06/09/2011
China's Growth RisksWall Street Journal 05/25/2011
Austerity measures and economic contraction in Portugal 2010-2013- the terms of the 2011 EU-IMF loan agreement with Portugal
05/05/2011
The forecasts of higher unemployment reaching 17% and economic contraction of 7% for 2011-2013 are widely diverging from the original estimates in 2011 by EU and IMF officials. This increases the urgency for reappraisal of the terms of the original agreement including borrowing rates, giving more time to achieve deficit targets, and other action to put Portugal back on the road to growth in 2014.
Linked Articles
Portugal to Seek New Bailout Terms
Wall Street Journal 03/04/2013
Government Sees Deep Recession Ahead for PortugalNew York Times 05/05/2011
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