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Money managers Grantham, Rodriguez and Scheiff fears about the economy and IMF Chief Economist Rajan's concern.
01/02/2009
Raghuram Rajan of the University of Chicago, told the 2005 annual Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers economists and finance professionals, that he thought the world had become much riskier with the changes in financial markets in the 18 year Greenspan tenure. He was received rather coldly by others, including former Treasury Secretary Summers. Concerns expressed by Grantham, Rodriguez and Scheiff about these and other problems became louder by the time of the Rajan paper at Jackson Hole.
Linked Articles
Mr. Rajan Was Unpopular (But Prescient) at Greenspan Party
Wall Street Journal 01/02/2009
The Doomsayers Who Got It RightWall Street Journal 01/02/2009
The paradox of low U.S. productivity growth holding back wages in 2015-2016 (1) - Apple Google, Facebook and low productivity improvement since 2005
12/31/2008
Linked Articles
Whatever Happened to Silicon Valley Innovation?
BusinessWeek 12/31/2008
The Big MehNew York Times 05/25/2015
GM and Ford spent $175 million lobbying in the last 10 years with focus on fighting fuel efficiency standards.
11/15/2008
A misstep that leads to falling behind the Europeans and the Japanese in innovating and investing early in the area of fuel efficiency.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/15/2008
Clout Has Plunged for Automakers and Union, TooNew York Times 11/18/2008
One of the Big Three may not survive.
10/14/2008
Talk of a possible merger between GM and Chrysler. Efforts by GM motivated by need for about $10 billion from external sources to make it through 2009. Chrysler has $11 billion in cash.
Linked Articles
Howes: One of Big 3 may not survive
Detroit News 10/14/2008
GM could use Chrysler's cashDetroit News 10/14/2008
Did Putin overreact in Georgia 2008 and Ukraine 2014? Russia and the dangers to the Russian economy of not maintaining good relations with the West
08/13/2008
Russia tones down its overreaction as 66% of Russians polled in June say Russian forces should not enter Ukrainian terrritory. Putin and Russians in the administration policy making may have underestimated the reaction in the U.S. as reflected in this WSH editorial saying Americans should remember the words of Gen. Lucius Clay during the Berlin Blockade and the subsequent airlift. This could be why analysts in Russia now maintain that good relations with the West must be maintained, and entry of Russian forces into Ukraine would have disastrous consequences for Russia in terms of western sentiment and foreign investor sentiment. In such a situation Germany would be likely to support the stronger U.S. position seeing this in terms of the language used in theBerlin Airlift of 1948. For Germany and Russia this would be reversing the hard won gains of building relations from the time of Brandtand Kohl till today, fifty years of effort to build better relations and economic relationships- just too much for sober heads in Moscow Paris, and Berlin to accept, and closing another chapter in Russia's interactions with the West.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/13/2008
Seeing Cost of Saber Rattling in Ukraine, Putin Alters CourseNew York Times 07/11/2014
China's oil demand to grow at 2-3% over the next 15 years by one estimate.
06/20/2008
A much slower growth in oil demand as fuel efficient engines make a strong impact. Government policy raising oil prices, giving tax breaks for smaller engines to promote smaller cars on Chinese roads, and promotion of new hybrid and electric car technologies with significant subsidies, all push in this direction.
Linked Articles
China's Thirst for Oil Could Come Up Short
Wall Street Journal 06/01/2010
China Sharply Raises Energy PricesNew York Times 06/20/2008
IHS Energy Associates's Yergin sees shale technologies changing the energy business by 2020, and IEA misses this completely
05/22/2008
Long term forecasting is a difficult business. IEA's 2015 forecast missed the situation in 2015 completely. Yergin was right but did not see how fast this would happen with oil prices down to $50 per barrel in 2015 and prices at the pump below $2.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2011
Energy Watchdog Warns Of Oil-Production CrunchWall Street Journal 05/22/2008
Imbalances in the global economy that will take time to correct- the situation in the U.S., Europe and emerging markets in 2012-2013
05/05/2008
The perception that "this time is different" is a typical behavioural reaction in history to to financial crises studied by Rogoff and Reinhart. Economic weakness is part of the mechanism for correcting global imbalances which happens over a number of years.
Linked Articles
Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2008
Boom, Bust. Repeat.Wall Street Journal 10/09/2009
Sheila Bair at FDIC has proposal to help homeowners similiar to Feldstein's
03/07/2008
Sheila Bair 's proposal to help homeowners is similar to what Martin Feldstein proposed on the pages of WSJ on March 7, 2008. About 2 months later FDIC proposes to take action to help homeowners by offering homeowners with debt to income ratios above 40%, a loan from the government for 20% of their loan amount with no interest charged for the first 5 years, and loan payments required to be lowered to affordable numbers.
Linked Articles
How to Stop the Mortgage Crisis
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2008
Bair Proposal Seeks Government Loans To Aid HomeownersWall Street Journal 04/30/2008
The Bush domestic agenda by 2008
01/28/2008
How the Bush Presidency lost out on the potential and the possibilities for action in domestic policy through ideological politcs and disregard for cooperation with Democrats. The influence of Secretary Paulson to reverse this during the last year as an economically risky situation unfolds.
Linked Articles
Paulson’s Deal-Making Revives Treasury’s Relevance
New York Times 01/28/2008
The Bush Who Got AwayNew York Times 01/28/2008
Safety and affordability for motorcyclists who shift to the Nano and Ratan Tata's vision for the Nano
01/08/2008
About 1800 people die in traffic accidents in New Delhi each year and most of them are on motorcyles, whole families on a motorbike. This was the image in Ratan Tata's mind behind his vision of a 1 lakh rupee ($2000) car affordable to the motorcycle Indian. Is it safe, for the motorcycle rides and passengers its a lot safer being in a car.
Linked Articles
Economist 01/10/2008
Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 CarNew York Times 01/08/2008
The change at Delphi Automotive under Rodney O'Neal
01/07/2008
A very different company from the GM years. O'Neal accomplishes the difficult task of renewal at Delphi.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 01/07/2008
Delphi Focuses on Markets for Green and Safe TechnologyWall Street Journal 12/05/2011
India's Tata family and vision of industry and progress over the last 100 years
01/03/2008
The Tata family's vision and the particular vision of Ratan Tata in restructuring the Tata businesses and his vision for a $2500 car. How this will work out, what is Ratan Tata's thinking that makes this a idea and product that will help put Tata in cars in a big way and help India develop its manufacturing industry.
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 01/03/2008
Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 CarNew York Times 01/08/2008
In a tough year like 2009 being on the offensive with new and innovaive products and services.
12/31/2008
How the forward and outward looking approach and being on the offensive helps build a resilient company or team or individual.
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 12/31/2008
Anxiety Management in an Economic CrisisBusinessWeek 12/31/2008
Detroit News and Free press columnists Tom Walsh and Daniel Howes say its time Detroit gets things right.
12/20/2008
The jobs of suppliers, dealers, bondholders, managers, board members, union officials are all on the line say Walsh and Howes if they can't get their act together and move quickly. There just isn't the time to kick the proverbial can down the road says Howes, and their is bailout fatigue say Walsh and Howes so dates coming up February 17 for debt restructuring and March 31 must be met quickly with action that is convincing. It will be a tough act and its not clear that old management and union officials can measure up to the task ahead from what has been seen over the years according to the columnists.
Linked Articles
Commentary: Forging new path will be rough road for Detroit automakers
Detroit News 12/20/2008
Long Days Journey to Deal for AutomakersDetroit Free Press 12/21/2008
A hedge fund story of comeback from collapse- Citadel hedge fund and founder Ken Griffin in 2008 and in 2015
10/25/2008
Linked Articles
Citadel’s Ken Griffin Leaves 2008 Tumble Far Behind
Wall Street Journal 08/04/2015
Citadel Chief Denies Rumors of TroubleNew York Times 10/25/2008
Homeowners facing foreclosure and the lack of meaningful help.
09/29/2008
A new York Times editorial the day after the Senate passes the Bailout Plan for $700 billion on October 1, 2008, describes the lack of meaningful help and the WSJ describes the language in the bill that refers to foreclosure and several studies.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/02/2008
Rescue Includes Steps to Help Borrowers Keep HomesWall Street Journal 09/29/2008
Drug cartels emerging in Afghaistan.
07/27/2008
The UN OFfice of Drugs and Crime ses the growth of drug cartels in Afghaistan as 10,000 tons of drugs from the opium crop have been stockpiled inside Afghistan and are controlled by narco-gangs. This is estimated as 2 years of world demand. This as efforts to curb opium growing have reduced the land devoted to the crop by 22% and reduced the crop by 10%.
Linked Articles
U.N. Sees Afghan Drug Cartels Emerging
New York Times 09/02/2009
Is Afghanistan a Narco-State?New York Times 07/27/2008
American driving habits and preferences are finally beginning to change in 2008 as oil prices reach $4.00 to $4.70 per gallon.
06/19/2008
Americans miles driven reached 3 trillion miles by 2007 and now are headed downward for the first time in 10 years. its affecting car prteferences in favor of smaller cars and changing driver habits.
Linked Articles
The Smaller the Better, Automakers Are Finding
New York Times 06/20/2008
Driving Less, Americans Finally React to Sting of Gas Prices, a Study SaysNew York Times 06/19/2008
How all carmakers and Detroit automakers in particular missed what was happening in the economy and the market with dire results.
05/20/2008
Even as late as May 22, 2008 Ford pared its outlook to 14-15 million cars as reported by Jeff Bennett in the WSJ. That puts the situation in October 2008, with a 30-40% drop in sales year over year only 5 months away.
Linked Articles
Car Makers' Boom Years Now Look Like a Bubble
Wall Street Journal 05/20/2008
Ford Motor Pares OutlookWall Street Journal 05/22/2008
The agreement won by Jerry Brown for 11 states against Countrywide/Bank of America to address foreclosures.
04/30/2008
The agreement won by 11 states from bank of America to devote $8 billion for mortgage relief and help homeowners facing foreclosures was a landmark agreement as little had happened in the way of relief for homeowners except for efforts by Sheila Barr at IndyMac in the way of comprehensive relief proposals for homeowners.
Linked Articles
Bair Proposal Seeks Government Loans To Aid Homeowners
Wall Street Journal 04/30/2008
Countrywide to Set Aside $8.4 Billion in Loan AidNew York Times 10/06/2008
Default_Link_Name
02/01/2008
Apparel is a big part of the the inflation impact of Chinese goods imported to the USA. China has a large share in apparel and the prices of apparel which have been going down for many years are going up for the first time and will keep increasing.
Linked Articles
China’s Inflation Hits American Price Tags
New York Times 02/01/2008
On Clothing Racks, Inflation Is the Hot TrendNew York Times 02/23/2008
Nokia in Emerging Markets.
01/25/2008
How Nokia stayed ahead of the market and with new competitors like Apple's Iphone and stayed ahead of the rapid changes in the cell phone market, customers needs, new ways of using the phones, and new technologies and software changing the way cellphones are used every 1-2 years.
Linked Articles
Motorola to Spin Off Handset Unit, As Icahn Waits
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2008
Nokia Earnings Jump on Emerging MarketsWall Street Journal 01/25/2008
How McDonalds has changed by borrowing ideas from Starbucks and from the next generation of franchisees
01/07/2008
McDonald's takes the ideas of baristas from Starbucks and gets ideas for picture based ordering, credit card payment and community event participation from younger franchisees. Along the way it is trying to change perception of the chain as not being healthy eating. A lot remains to be done to move away from the super size obsesson.
Linked Articles
McDonald's Takes On A Weakened Starbucks
Wall Street Journal 01/07/2008
'Super Size Me' Generation Takes Over at McDonald'sWall Street Journal 03/08/2012
The Class of 1977 in China -with the first competitive university entrance exams in 12 years- and Li Keqiang
01/06/2008
China's new prime minister in 2013 is from the Class of 1977, when there was a huge burst of energy as students looked with great excitement to gaining knowledge after a decade when learning and books were suppressed.
Linked Articles
1977 Exam Opened Escape Route Into China’s Elite
New York Times 01/06/2008
Next Premier Came of Age in Era of OpennessWall Street Journal 11/16/2012
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