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Slowing growth, high inflation and lack of foreign investment limit India's growth potential in 2012-2013
11/25/2011
A combination of higher inflation, muddled political leadership that is limiting foreign investment in retail and other sectors, and high energy costs is limiting economic growth in India to annual GDP growth of 7% in 2012-2013
Linked Articles
Stress on Economy Prompts India to Revive Controversial Plans
Wall Street Journal 12/01/2011
With Economy Slowing, the Indian Rupee TumblesNew York Times 11/25/2011
The rising middle class in Mexico with the growth of the economy 2012-2014
11/23/2011
Linked Articles
Mexico’s middle class is becoming its majority - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/18/2012
Mexico Economy Withstands Drug WarWall Street Journal 11/23/2011
Convergence of ideas on deficit reduction around Simpson-Bowles and limiting tax expenditures and deductions
11/17/2011
Limiting tax deductions, loopholes to say $35,000 for high income earners goes further than earlier proposals from Obama advisors to limit tax deductions to 28% in distributing the tax burden more equitably. Obama advisor, Christina Romer, and Romney advisor Feldstein, support limiting tax deductions in this way to help reduce the deficit, creating the basis for an agreement between Republicans and Democrats.
Linked Articles
Budget Showdown Offers an Opportunity for Progress
New York Times 11/10/2012
GOP supercommittee members’ tax plan gives party an identity crisis - The Washington PostWashington Post 11/17/2011
The beginning of a negotiated settlement of the Afghan conflict through direct talks with the Taliban in 2012
11/13/2011
America's veteran diplomat, Richard Holbrooke- who is known for the Dayton Accords that settled the conflict in Yugoslavia-initiated the early efforts for a negotated settlement with all the warring factions including the Taliban, the ISI and the Pakistan military. After his death in 2010, these efforts were continued by Marc Grossman, a former ambassador to Turkey. The Taliban's willingness to open an office in Qatar and the willingness of all sides to talk directly opens the path to a negotiated settlement.
Linked Articles
Against Odds, Path Opens Up for U.S.-Taliban Talks
New York Times 01/11/2012
Book review: ‘The Unquiet American: Richard Holbrooke in the World’ - The Washington PostWashington Post 11/13/2011
Mexico's war on drug gangs, rising crime and problems of public safety for middle class families- the situation in Cuernavaca, Mexico
10/15/2011
Linked Articles
For Mexico’s middle class, drug war deepens trust deficit - The Washington Post
Washington Post 06/02/2012
Calderon Defends Militarized Response to Mexico's Drug WarNew York Times 10/15/2011
China's declining competitiveness with price increases for land, labor and electricity (1)
10/07/2011
The shifting of plant location to Mexico and the U.S.
Linked Articles
Made in China Is Getting Expensive
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2012
Otis Shifts Work Closer to HomeWall Street Journal 10/07/2011
Declining prospects for emerging markets in 2012-2013.
09/22/2011
Brazil, India, China and Russia face slowing growth in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Beware Building Up the BRICsWall Street Journal 09/22/2011
S. Korea and unsustainable levels of household debt to disposable income of 155% in 2012-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/09/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Rising energy and food costs and India's failure to control inflation
09/12/2011
Repeated increases in interest rates in 201-2011 by India's central bank, the RBI, has failed to control inflation. This is slowing the growth rate.
Linked Articles
India Grapples With Soaring Energy Costs
Wall Street Journal 04/11/2012
India's Inflation Is a Lesson for Fast-Growing EconomiesWall Street Journal 09/12/2011
Congressional Budget Office projections and difficult choices facing the U.S. in 2012-2013
08/25/2011
Linked Articles
Deficit Is Again Set to Top $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2012
Forecast Clouds Debt-Cut OutlookWall Street Journal 08/25/2011
Short termism of an interventionist U.S. Federal Reserve and the advantages of a rule based monetary policy at the Fed
08/11/2011
John Taylor and Allan Meltzer point to the risks of short termism and discretionary policies at the Fed. Taylor says a single mandate for inflation should replace the current dual mandate for both inflation and unemployment so that monetary policy can be rule based avoiding the boom and bust periods hitting the U.S. economy in the last decade, when interest rates were set too low using discretionary policy.
Linked Articles
The Dangers of an Interventionist Fed
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012
The Folly of Economic Short-TermismWall Street Journal 08/11/2011
The policy an solutions for the U.S. and Europe offered by Pearlstein (on the economy), Krauthammer (for deficit reduction), and Nye (for defense).
08/04/2011
The sensible solutions for attacking problems the U.S. and Europe face on the economy, debt and deficit reduction, and on defense needs. Nye uses ideas from U.S. President Eisenhower, Krauthammer uses efficiency anf fairness and ideas of the Bowles-Simpson Commission , and Pearlstein uses a grounded approach. Nye in the New York Times, Pearlstein and Krauthammer in the Washington Post, on August 5, 2011, in the midst of considerable uncertainty and anxiety about the future.
Linked Articles
The Right Way to Trim Military Spending
New York Times 08/04/2011
Steven Pearlstein: The global economy comes to the end of its string - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/05/2011
Small spurts in U.S. real estate markets from foreign or out of state buyers that fizzle out- S. Florida and Phoenix, Arizona
07/26/2011
Sporadic bursts of activity in real estate markets first in Miami in 2011 and then in Phoenix. The surge in activity is from buyers from Brazil for S. Florida, and buyers from Canada for Phoenix, as well as out of state buyers looking for speculative or rental properties to rent out to homeowners who go into foreclosure. The buyers from Canada and Brazil are in these markets because of a real estate bubble of their own in their home countries and is hardly the basis for a dependable recovery on housing prices, as the IMF has signalled a warning light for economies such as Brazil.
Linked Articles
Rise in Phoenix Housing Shows Path for Other Cities
Wall Street Journal 03/13/2012
Affluent Buyers Reviving Market for Miami HomesNew York Times 07/26/2011
The rapid growth through acquisitions of Teva Pharmaceutical
11/23/2011
Israel's Teva Pharmaceutical is the world's largest maker of generic drugs, followed by Watson Pharmaceuticals and Novarti's Sandoz unit.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2012
Former Test-Tube Washer Built Generic-Drug Maker TevaWall Street Journal 11/23/2011
Spain's Rajoy accepts EU and IMF aid in June 2012 "to help the credibility of the European project."
11/20/2011
Linked Articles
Mariano Rajoy of Spain Steps Up in Debt Crisis
New York Times 06/10/2012
Socialists Lose to Popular Party in Vote in SpainNew York Times 11/20/2011
The U.S. Supreme Court's review of the health care law in 2012 and the Wickard-Filburn decision of 1940
11/15/2011
In the Wickard-Filburn decision the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled against an Ohio farmer, Mr. Filburn, who questioned a federal law that imposed a penalty for every extra bushel of wheat grown beyond a stipulated amount. The briefs presented by both parties present arguments about what are the limits of federal power under its powers to regulate interstate commerce and in what circumstances- with the Obama administration arguing that it imposes larger costs on people in all states if some people refuse to buy insurance.
Linked Articles
At Center of Health Care Fight, Roscoe Filburn's 1942 Case
New York Times 03/19/2012
Health Insurance and the Broccoli TestNew York Times 11/15/2011
The challenges facing Deutsche Bank as it struggles to meet new reserve capital requirements in 2012-2013
11/07/2011
Linked Articles
Deutsche Bank Lists Litany of Legal Risks
Wall Street Journal 03/21/2012
Old Debts Dog Europe's BanksWall Street Journal 11/07/2011
China's move forward with nuclear energy after the Fukushima nuclear accident
10/10/2011
A move away from coal used for electricity supplies towards nuclear energy. The increase planned is from 11 gigawatts of nuclear energy in 2012 to 40 gigawatts by 2015 and 60-70 gigawatts by 2020. Five nuclear energy projects will be planned at a cost of $27 billion with financing help from a Shanghai IPO offering in 2012.
Linked Articles
China Nuclear Firm Plans Up to $27 Billion IPO
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2012
China Marches On With Nuclear Energy, in Spite of FukushimaNew York Times 10/10/2011
Spain's slow effort to cleanup the banks in 2010-2012
09/28/2011
Linked Articles
Spain Spells Out Latest Plan to Bolster Health of Lenders
Wall Street Journal 02/03/2012
The Spanish Reform ModelWall Street Journal 09/28/2011
Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Brazil
09/13/2011
A sea of liquidity undermines prospects in emerging markets such as Brazil and Turkey.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Dark Side of Brazil's RiseWall Street Journal 09/13/2011
Stanford's John Taylor, Yale's Robert Shiller and other experts provide different proposals for U.S. job growth
09/06/2011
Proposals for reducing U.S. unemployment in 2012-2014 from experts with different perspectives of how the U.S. economy functions.
Linked Articles
Long-Term Unemployment Carries Risks for U.S.
New York Times 11/26/2011
Not More of the SameNew York Times 09/06/2011
A more outward looking Chinese leadership of Li Keqiang and Xi Jinping in 2012-2020
08/22/2011
Linked Articles
Heartland Return for Chinese Leader
Wall Street Journal 01/31/2012
China Previews Rising LeadershipWall Street Journal 08/22/2011
Slowdown in India's IT sector in 2012-2013
08/09/2011
Linked Articles
Outsourcing In India Faces Offshore Woe
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2012
Indian Firms WaryWall Street Journal 08/09/2011
Weakness in U.S. consumer spending continues in 2012-2013
07/30/2011
Linked Articles
Hopes for a Turnaround Grow Dimmer as Worried Consumers Save, Don't Spend
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
Economy Losing Its CushionWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
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