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Finance Minister Luis de Guindos sees Spain loosing either way with spending cuts that worsen high unemployment and lower economic growth leading to a worsening debt to GDP ratio in 2012, and this situation in turn raising its borrowing costs on $86 billion in debt issuance for 2012. He estimates the debt to GDP ratio will increase under the 2012 budget of 27 billion euros in cuts and an economy shrinking by 1.7% in 2012, by 10% from 2011 to 78%. Markets are focussing on debt in Portugal and Spain in 2012, after focussing on Greece and Italy in 2011.
Linked Articles
Spain Faces Risks in Budget Refit
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Spain Struggles to Unite Regional Leaders on CutsNew York Times 03/06/2012
Steve Jobs saw the PC as being used by only one of many users, with devices like the iPad playing a dominant role.
Linked Articles
As New iPad Debut Nears, Some See Decline of PCs
New York Times 03/05/2012
Apple Updates iPad With Some RefinementsNew York Times 03/07/2012
John Taylor and the Ifo Institue's Sinn say the recapitalization of Greece's banks and the lower interest rates negotiated after the March 2012 bailout make exiting the euro and achieving economic growth doable. The Papdemos government's need for time till 2015 to complete the program of changes, and the elections in April 2012 in which opposition parties outpolled Pasok and New Democrachy lays the political groundwork for the exit.
Linked Articles
Greece at new risk of being pushed off euro - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/08/2012
A Better Grecian BailoutWall Street Journal 02/22/2012
Surprisingly the Syriza government in 6 months in office did not come up with a plan to implement for tax evasion. This was a major issue for the IMF and in Greece's interest, even though it was going contrary to long standing practice in Greece as it was in Italy. Estimates of lost revenue are about $11 billion each year for tax evasion. By comparison the IMF payment due was less than $2 billion on June 30, 2015. Sustainable long term finances make this a major issue in Greece's own interest. Greece has an aging population and the number of retirees are growing in relation to young working people making this an important issue for stable finances under any administration, and regardless of the euro.
Linked Articles
How Greek tax evasion sunk the global economy
Washington Post 07/10/2012
A Hollow Target for Greek DebtWall Street Journal 02/18/2012
The return of jobs and manufacturing plants from China to Mexico and the U.S. as China's competitiveness declines.
Linked Articles
Made in China Is Getting Expensive
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2012
China's Export Pain May Be Mexico's GainWall Street Journal 02/06/2012
Linked Articles
Move Over Mao: Beloved ‘Papa Xi’ Awes China
New York Times 03/07/2015
Heartland Return for Chinese LeaderWall Street Journal 01/31/2012
Under Spain's decentralized system of government regions prove education, healthcare and other services. The 2011 deficit target in Spain was exceeded largely because of spending by local governments. The new government of Mariano Rajoy has announced moves to control regional spending.
Linked Articles
Madrid to Curb Spending by Powerful Regions
Wall Street Journal 01/18/2012
Spanish Regional Governments to Get AidNew York Times 01/19/2012
Linked Articles
Chinese Car Makers Struggle to Lure Buyers
Wall Street Journal 04/21/2014
Car Makers Gauge Shift In China's Auto PolicyWall Street Journal 01/06/2012
The acceleration of the 254 investment projects in China in May 2012 will only worsen existing problemsof the housing bubble, glut in steel production, overemphasis on infrastructure spending at the expense of consumption, negligible earnings on savings for ordinary families accompanied with unaffordability of housing, underinvestment in healthcare, creating more imbalances that will need to be addressed in a crisis atmosphere.
Linked Articles
China’s stimulus policy means trouble down the road - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/31/2012
We all have a stake in China’s real estate bubble - The Washington PostWashington Post 12/24/2011
Linked Articles
Europe Needs the Bond Vigilantes
Wall Street Journal 04/05/2012
The Euro Zone's Double FailureWall Street Journal 12/15/2011
Linked Articles
Turning the Dialogue From Wealth to Values
New York Times 11/12/2011
Crony Capitalism and the Crisis of the WestWall Street Journal 06/06/2012
Linked Articles
Terrorism Response Puts Belgium in a Harsh Light
New York Times 11/24/2015
Belgium Agrees to Stay TogetherWall Street Journal 10/12/2011
The shifting of plant location to Mexico and the U.S.
Linked Articles
Made in China Is Getting Expensive
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2012
Otis Shifts Work Closer to HomeWall Street Journal 10/07/2011
China's premier Wen Biao told the National People's Congress, China's parliament, in March 2012, that it was urgent to tackel the "problem of uncoordinated, unbalanced, and unsustainable development." He called for "an acceleration of the transformation" of the economic model towards consumption and away from exports and infrastructure spending. The accelerated approval of 254 investment projects in May 2012 puts off this task of rebalancing development for China and the world economy. With slowing growth in China and the last Stimulus of 2008 having propelled the housing bubble, the options were limited. A decrease in the reserve requirement by 0.5% in 2012 for China's banks was not expected to spur growth because lending was not expected to increase, as the demand for loans is low. A sharp falloff in growth below 7% was feared leading to the acceleration in investment.
Linked Articles
China’s stimulus policy means trouble down the road - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/31/2012
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
Linked Articles
Peugeot Hit Hard By French Auto Sales Decline
Wall Street Journal 07/02/2012
GM Tries to Solve European RiddleWall Street Journal 02/23/2012
Linked Articles
Policy âTroikaâ for Europe Financial Woes at Odds
New York Times 06/07/2013
The Tragic Greek SideshowWall Street Journal 02/22/2012
The IMF's view is that it could take 5 years before the breakeven point on the effects of austerity measures is reached and it turns positive. The "German hypothesis" based on German experience as an exporting nation is that the benefits come sooner in the short term. For Britain, which is not an exporting nation like Germany, the benefits from exports are likely to be limited when the rest of Europe is'seeing declining or stagnant growth. The IMF view means Britain may be faced with the costs of the Cameron-Osborne austerity measures till 2016.
Linked Articles
Britain's Economy Contracts More Than Predicted
New York Times 03/28/2012
Austerity Debate a Matter of DegreeWall Street Journal 02/17/2012
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 02/02/2012
Americans saw wealth plummet 40 percent from 2007 to 2010, Federal Reserve says - The Washington PostWashington Post 06/12/2012
Blackberry takes a $267 million writeoff on unsold Blackberry 7 model phones at retail stores in March 2012. After new CEO Thorsten Heins took over his strategy was to put put more of the new Blackberry 7 model phones into user hands. The failure to compete with new Android phones and the Apple iPhone places Research in Motion into a position from which it will be hard to recover.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 03/30/2012
New RIM Chief Plots OverhaulWall Street Journal 01/28/2012
The decline in the value of the euro increases the impact of higher oil prices in 2012. It also comes at a bad time.
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Beware Strait Talking on OilWall Street Journal 01/06/2012
Critics say the Democratic Party of Japan should have invested efforts in its election promises to cut wasteful spending. Polls show a majority of Japanese oppose the doubling of the sales tax to 10%.
Linked Articles
Vote Ensures Japan Will Double Sales Tax to 10%
Wall Street Journal 06/27/2012
Tokyo's Move to Raise Tax Hits SnagWall Street Journal 12/27/2011
Linked Articles
Honda CEO Rethinks Car Maker’s Priorities
Wall Street Journal 12/05/2014
Honda Revs Up Outside JapanWall Street Journal 12/21/2011
Linked Articles
Rupee Plunges to an All-Time Low
Wall Street Journal 06/22/2012
With Economy Slowing, the Indian Rupee TumblesNew York Times 11/25/2011
Linked Articles
Deutsche Bank Lists Litany of Legal Risks
Wall Street Journal 03/21/2012
Old Debts Dog Europe's BanksWall Street Journal 11/07/2011
A move away from coal used for electricity supplies towards nuclear energy. The increase planned is from 11 gigawatts of nuclear energy in 2012 to 40 gigawatts by 2015 and 60-70 gigawatts by 2020. Five nuclear energy projects will be planned at a cost of $27 billion with financing help from a Shanghai IPO offering in 2012.
Linked Articles
China Nuclear Firm Plans Up to $27 Billion IPO
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2012
China Marches On With Nuclear Energy, in Spite of FukushimaNew York Times 10/10/2011
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