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Reagan-Bush and Obama on immigrants- A Reality Check
09/29/2011
A Better Way. The question of who was more humane in their response is one for the public in a nation of immigrants. Bush and Reagan stood up for the state paying for illegal immigrant children getting schooling in the straightforward honest way to a difficult question in the primary debates years ago. There is no empty rhetoric when Bush says he does not want 6-8 year old children to live in fear and deprived of an education thinking they were living outside the law. And Reagan points out that rather than talk of putting up a fence lets work out our mutual problems with Mexico. The elder Bush goes further and stands up for immigrants in a way that the country has not seen for a long, long time. "They are good, strong people," he says, and "part of my family is Mexican."
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/29/2011
More Deportations Follow Minor Crimes, Records ShowNew York Times 04/06/2014
Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
The household credit boom in Turkey and unsustainable credit to GDP ratios in 2010-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Rising energy and food costs and India's failure to control inflation
09/12/2011
Repeated increases in interest rates in 201-2011 by India's central bank, the RBI, has failed to control inflation. This is slowing the growth rate.
Linked Articles
India Grapples With Soaring Energy Costs
Wall Street Journal 04/11/2012
India's Inflation Is a Lesson for Fast-Growing EconomiesWall Street Journal 09/12/2011
Mexico's failures in introducing competition in the economy and addressing problems in education that restrict its growth potential 2011-2015
08/27/2011
The need for competition and other private sector involvement in sectors such as oil, telecom, airlines and other sectors, and the reform of labor laws that reduce GDP growth by an estimated 2.5%. The Mexican educational system suffers from a lack of trained teachers and change is blocked by a powerful union leading to poorly educated workers from the public educational system.
Linked Articles
Mexico’s economy: Making the desert bloom
Economist 08/27/2011
Mexico’s failing schools spell defeat for ruling party - The Washington PostWashington Post 06/09/2012
Alan Meltzer and Thomas Hoenig's criticism of Federal Reserve Bank chairman Bernake's failure to look at long term consequences of low rates
08/11/2011
Hoenig points to the Fed's lowered rates in 2003 after the burst of the dot com bubble and higher unemployment of 6.5% in 2003 and Meltzer which led to the mortgage meltdown of 2008. Meltzer points to QE II's $600 billion monetary easing in 2010 which failed to revive the economy or reduce unemployment in 2011. They emphasize the Fed's lack of attention to the long term consequences of their actions. Both question the role of the Fed in creating jobs and see the role of the Fed as a neutral player, as deeper structural changes such as ashift to export driven economy, lower consumption take time and are only delayed by a continuation of old policies.
Linked Articles
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 08/13/2011
The Folly of Economic Short-TermismWall Street Journal 08/11/2011
Slowdown in India's IT sector in 2012-2013
08/09/2011
Linked Articles
Outsourcing In India Faces Offshore Woe
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2012
Indian Firms WaryWall Street Journal 08/09/2011
Weakness in U.S. consumer spending continues in 2012-2013
07/30/2011
Linked Articles
Hopes for a Turnaround Grow Dimmer as Worried Consumers Save, Don't Spend
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
Economy Losing Its CushionWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
Failure to stabilize the euro with the agreements reached by eurozone leaders including the July 2011 deal
07/13/2011
Experts suggest an approach that tackles the whole problem compared to the fragmented approach used so far based on dealing wiht the individual countries one at a time.The lack of agreement on shared sacrifice for bondholders, banks and eurozone governments.
Linked Articles
Greece Gets New Bailout as U.S. Nears Brink
Wall Street Journal 07/22/2011
How to Save the EuroWall Street Journal 07/13/2011
Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (1)
07/01/2011
A sea of liquidity is undermining the economy in Turkey and Brazil in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkey's Credit-Card CrunchBusinessWeek 10/27/2011
Increasing domestic consumption in Saudi Arabia will diminish reserve supplies and put pressure on oil prices in 2012-2013
06/23/2011
Saudi domestic consumption increasing at 10% a year will diminsh the Saudi role as a reserve supplier. Estimates are for zero reserve supplies by 2020 and oil imports by 2038, so large is the effect of growing use of oil at home. The Arab Spring means subsidies and social spending will increase, supporting continuing use of oil at current levels for a rapidly growing population.
Linked Articles
The End of the Saudi Oil Reserve Margin
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Rising Saudi Thirst for Oil Drives Plans to Go NuclearWall Street Journal 06/23/2011
Lawrence Lindsey says the Fed has got itself boxed in with little choice but to keep interest rates low
06/15/2011
Federal Flow of Funds Report for 2011 by the U.S. Federal Reserve shows 61% of net Treasury issuance was purchased by the Fed. Lindsey points out that the Fed has itself boxed in to keep rates low for years because for the U.S. government to borrow at more normal rates of 5.7% rather than the 2.5% at which it borrows today, would mean an addition $800 billion in interest costs by 2021.
Linked Articles
Demand for U.S. Debt Is Not Limitless
Wall Street Journal 03/28/2012
Notable & QuotableWall Street Journal 06/15/2011
China's Stimulus plans in 2012-2013 and the housing bubble
06/09/2011
Linked Articles
China’s stimulus policy means trouble down the road - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/31/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Declining prospects for emerging markets in 2012-2013.
09/22/2011
Brazil, India, China and Russia face slowing growth in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Beware Building Up the BRICsWall Street Journal 09/22/2011
S. Korea and unsustainable levels of household debt to disposable income of 155% in 2012-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/09/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Brazil
09/13/2011
A sea of liquidity undermines prospects in emerging markets such as Brazil and Turkey.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Dark Side of Brazil's RiseWall Street Journal 09/13/2011
John Bogle of Vanguard Funds and the creation of index funds as a way to build a diversified investor portfolio - a seminal achievement
09/03/2011
An entire generation of Americans benefitted from the low cost index fund as away to build a diversified and less risky investment portfolio. Bogle created the first index fund tracking the S&P 500 in 1976, following the advice and encouragement of is economics professor at Princeton, Paul Samuelson.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
John Bogle, Vanguard's Founder, Is Too Worried to RestNew York Times 08/11/2012
Congressional Budget Office projections and difficult choices facing the U.S. in 2012-2013
08/25/2011
Linked Articles
Deficit Is Again Set to Top $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2012
Forecast Clouds Debt-Cut OutlookWall Street Journal 08/25/2011
Short termism of an interventionist U.S. Federal Reserve and the advantages of a rule based monetary policy at the Fed
08/11/2011
John Taylor and Allan Meltzer point to the risks of short termism and discretionary policies at the Fed. Taylor says a single mandate for inflation should replace the current dual mandate for both inflation and unemployment so that monetary policy can be rule based avoiding the boom and bust periods hitting the U.S. economy in the last decade, when interest rates were set too low using discretionary policy.
Linked Articles
The Dangers of an Interventionist Fed
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012
The Folly of Economic Short-TermismWall Street Journal 08/11/2011
The policy an solutions for the U.S. and Europe offered by Pearlstein (on the economy), Krauthammer (for deficit reduction), and Nye (for defense).
08/04/2011
The sensible solutions for attacking problems the U.S. and Europe face on the economy, debt and deficit reduction, and on defense needs. Nye uses ideas from U.S. President Eisenhower, Krauthammer uses efficiency anf fairness and ideas of the Bowles-Simpson Commission , and Pearlstein uses a grounded approach. Nye in the New York Times, Pearlstein and Krauthammer in the Washington Post, on August 5, 2011, in the midst of considerable uncertainty and anxiety about the future.
Linked Articles
The Right Way to Trim Military Spending
New York Times 08/04/2011
Steven Pearlstein: The global economy comes to the end of its string - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/05/2011
The Ford Focus EV and the Nissan Leaf electric cars in 2012-2013
07/19/2011
Linked Articles
Ford CEO: Battery Is Third of Electric Car Cost
Wall Street Journal 04/18/2012
Nissan Raises Leaf Price to $35,200Wall Street Journal 07/19/2011
Deficit reduction talks between the Obama White House and Republicans in July 2011.
07/07/2011
The talks are part of an effort to reach agreement on raising the debt ceiling by an August 2011 deadline. Skepticism among Democrats about the talks and the deep cuts proposed that could lead to a setback for the economy.
Linked Articles
Negotiating the Debt Ceiling on a Knife's Edge
New York Times 07/07/2011
What Obama WantsNew York Times 07/07/2011
Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (3)
07/01/2011
Growth in Turkey is fueled by surging credit growth and capital inflows. At the same time manufacturing competitiveness is falling.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkish Trade Deficit WidensWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
The yuan and China's competitiveness in international trade in 2012-2013
06/21/2011
Even with a gradual appreciation of the yuan China continues to maintain its competitive position in international trade with productivity gains offfsetting the small appreciation and a smaller increase in prices of Chinese products. This could mean the U.S. and Eurozone countries will continue to run trade deficits with China in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2012
No Appreciation for the Rising YuanWall Street Journal 06/21/2011
Decline in gold prices in 2013 with lower investor demand and decline in purchases by central banks of emerging market countries
06/14/2011
Demand from central banks is expected to decline by 34% in 2013, according to Reuters Thomson GFMS. Lower inflation and better returns in equity and bond markets is reducing demand from private investors.
Linked Articles
Gold Fades From Investment Picture
Wall Street Journal 10/29/2013
Investors Going for the Gold in China May Want to ReconsiderWall Street Journal 06/14/2011
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