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Metals / Mining Groups
The relatively small effects of slowing growth in China on the U.S. economy in 2015, and some positive factors
09/08/2015
WIth only 1% of U.S. GDP related to U.S. exports to China, and Chinese direct foreign investment in the U.S. being less than 1% of all foreign investment in the U.S., China's slowdown is not likely to affect the U.S., according to Easwar Prasad, former IMF expert on China. Positive factors are the slower growth in prices of manufactured products imported from China, the lower prices of commodities such as oil, copper and other metals for an extended period, and bigger markets in China for U.S. service industries, internet and entertainment as Chinese consumer spending plays a larger role in China's GDP.
Grouped Articles
China Slowdown Could End Up Being Good News for U.S.
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2015
Final 3rd-Quarter Estimate Shows U.S. Economy Growing 2%
New York Times 12/22/2015
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
Trade Fight With U.S. Complicates China’s Campaign to Contain Debt
WSJ 06/19/2018
Brazil's repeated boom-bust cycles since 1973, and lost decades
08/28/2015
Brazil, Russia, Australia, Canada, are caught up in the commodities bust with dependence on commodities exports. Brazil faces a lost decade because in adddition to the sharp drop in commodities prices, it also has to tackle large debt and capital outflows, a credit card binge of households cutting into consumer spending, and problems with manufacturing from the period of overvalued currency. A serious long term problem as bottlenecks to growth come from a weak educational system and infrastructure that were not tackled in the boom years. The social safety net and the currency are supported by the foreign currency reserves fund of $397 billion, a lesson learned from the 1997 financial crisis.
Grouped Articles
How Brazil’s China-Driven Commodities Boom Went Bust
Wall Street Journal 08/28/2015
Gloom on Brazil Finances Deepens
Wall Street Journal 12/17/2015
Australia Finds Something Else to Export to China
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2016
Dilma Rousseff’s Former Supporters in Brazil Express Disillusionment
New York Times 04/16/2016
Fight to Impeach Brazil’s Leader Tears at Fabric of Daily Life
New York Times 04/15/2016
Globalization: Capitalism Should Be Nicer | ZEIT ONLINE
ZEIT ONLINE 07/29/2016
China's pathway to economic progress for investment and consumer spending different from that in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan
08/25/2015
Porter of the NYT cites experts who point to the high investment rates of 50% and lower household consumer spending of 35% as very different from the 35% for investment and 50% for consumer spending that happened when Japan, Tawan and South Korea got to the level of development where China is in 2015. A large part of this is because of the state driven model pursued by the Communist Party in China that puts investment by state run enterprises ahead of consumers and savers.
Grouped Articles
Political Risks May Foil Economic Reform in China
New York Times 08/25/2015
The Problem With China’s Economic Growth
WSJ 07/17/2017
Kenneth Rogoff on the financial crisis in China with debt exceeding 270% of GDP, shadow banking, real estate bubble and unsustainable local government finances
08/24/2015
Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard, is an expert on financial and debt crises, with the most extensive quantitative study of debt crises of 66 countries with Carmen Reinhart. The research is published in the book, "This Time Is Different." He discusses the debt crisis in China with the NYT's Andrew Ross Sorkin, saying China is not immune to the problems from an alarming buildup of debt. He says the reason China was seen as impervious to debt problems is because of the high savings rate of 30%, the millions of migrants moving to cities for manufacturing work, and government control of markets. Actually he sees China as a really good example of "This Time Is Different," the notion that somehow it can't happen here. The result is along delay before an event and the sudden speed of the implosion once it hits. The effects Rogoff sees are the risks to commodity producing countries such as Russia, Brazil, and other countries dependent on exports. He says China's large foreign exchange reserves offers a way for it to manage the debt crisis.
Grouped Articles
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog warns
The Telegraph 09/19/2016
Will Trump herald a US economic boom?
The Guardian 12/07/2016
China’s Economy Grows 6.9%, but Warning Signs Persist
The New York Times 04/17/2017
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
Glencore share price performance
08/14/2015
Grouped Articles
Glencore Needs Reinforcement Against Commodities Slump
Wall Street Journal 08/14/2015
Wall Street Journal 08/20/2015
Glencore Finds Cash but Not Comfort
Wall Street Journal 08/20/2015
Glencore, Battered Mining Giant, Retreats
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2015
Glencore’s Capital Call Just Gives More Reasons for Soul-Searching
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2015
Glencore Shares Plunge as Debt Fears Rattle Investors
Wall Street Journal 09/29/2015
Carlyle's hedge fund, Vermillion Asset Management, and deep losses from commodities investments in 2015
08/01/2015
Selloffs lead to the fund down from $2 billion to $50 million in holdings in 2015, according to the WSJ.
Grouped Articles
Carlyle Fund Walloped in Commodities Rout
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2015
Citadel’s Ken Griffin Leaves 2008 Tumble Far Behind
Wall Street Journal 08/04/2015
Clients of Carlyle Hedge Fund Seek to Pull Out Nearly $2 Billion
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2015
Economist 08/24/2015
Carlyle Finds Hedge Funds Hazardous as Its Private Equity Business Dominates
New York Times 08/27/2015
Carlyle-Owned Hedge-Fund Firm Hands Investors a Big IOU
Wall Street Journal 10/29/2015
Sharp decline in global commodities prices in 2014-2015
07/25/2015
Grouped Articles
Global Growth Worries Pummel Commodities
Wall Street Journal 07/25/2015
Economist 08/24/2015
A short history of enviromental regulation of coal powered plants in the U.S.
06/30/2015
Grouped Articles
Supreme Court to Review EPA Rule on Power Plant Emissions
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2015
Coal Miners Struggle to Survive in an Industry Battered by Layoffs and Bankruptcy
New York Times 07/17/2015
Trump signs order undoing Obama climate change policies - BBC News
BBC News 03/28/2017
Trump’s New Pollution Rules Still Won’t Save the Coal Industry
New York Times 08/22/2018
The U.S. Supreme Court and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
06/29/2015
Grouped Articles
Supreme Court to Review EPA Rule on Power Plant Emissions
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2015
Supreme Court Blocks Obama’s Limits on Power Plants
New York Times 06/29/2015
Trump Picks Scott Pruitt, Climate Change Dissenter, to Lead E.P.A.
The New York Times 12/07/2016
Trump Picks Scott Pruitt, Climate Change Dissenter, to Lead E.P.A.
The New York Times 12/07/2016
Rare earth miner Molycorp bankruptcy in 2015 with declining demand
06/26/2015
Grouped Articles
Molycorp Files for Bankruptcy Protection
Wall Street Journal 06/26/2015
Nucor strategies
06/18/2015
Grouped Articles
Steel Firms in U.S. Strive to Cope with Imports
Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015
Nucor performance
06/18/2015
Grouped Articles
Steel Firms in U.S. Strive to Cope with Imports
Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015
Chile's president Michelle Bachelet
05/07/2015
Grouped Articles
Chileans Welcome President’s Declared Cabinet Shuffle
Wall Street Journal 05/07/2015
Chile’s Election Consolidates Latin America’s Rightward Shift
The New York Times 12/19/2017
The decline of Canadian manufacturing in the oil boom years with the overvalued currency
08/29/2015
Canadian manufacturing suffered in the oil boom years with its share of the GDP declining from 18% in 2000, close to that of Germany, to 10% similar to the UK and the U.S. by 2013.
Grouped Articles
Economist 08/29/15
Amid Slumping Economy, Canada’s Stephen Harper Braces for Tight Election Race
Wall Street Journal 10/19/15
The White House’s claim that 800,000 manufacturing jobs were added during Obama’s presidency
Washington Post 12/09/16
The New York Times 02/23/17
China's consumption of metals and other commodities in 2015 and expected demand with slower growth
08/26/2015
As producers of commodities that aggressively expanded during the boom years adjust production to reflect slower growth in China, supply should adjust to new levels of demand. Experts say the size of the Chinese economy means it will still require a steady supply of metals and other commodities. In the long run, as the Indian economy takes off some of the new demand from India could fill in for slower growth from China.
Grouped Articles
China Remains a Key Commodities Player, Despite Waning Appetites
Wall Street Journal 08/26/15
Declining confidence in economic decisionmaking in China in 2015, with opaqueness, lack of transparency, and unreliable data
08/25/2015
The decisionmaking for the economy and financial markets in July-August 2015 reveals flaws with a failed intervention in stock markets following an effort to prop up the markets, a devaluation of the currency, and other moves. The decisionmaking also showed a level of opaqueness, lack of transparency, and unreliable data, that increased nervousness in the financial markets.
Grouped Articles
For All Its Heft, China’s Economy Is a Black Box
Wall Street Journal 08/25/15
China Eases but Stench of Crisis Remains
Wall Street Journal 08/26/15
Economist 08/29/15
World stock markets slide as panic in China spreads - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/07/16
China Stocks: Trading Called Off for Second Time This Week
Wall Street Journal 01/07/16
Why China’s Market Illness Has Gotten More Contagious
Wall Street Journal 01/12/16
The global mining industry in 2014-2016
08/21/2015
Grouped Articles
From Mining to Refining: Low Commodity Prices Force Shift at Industry Giants
Wall Street Journal 08/21/15
Economist 08/24/15
BHP Looks Past Travails, Remains Upbeat on China
Wall Street Journal 08/26/15
For Mining Chiefs, Doomsday Scenarios Could Become Reality
Wall Street Journal 02/01/16
Impact on oil and commodities prices of China's devaluation in August 2015
08/12/2015
Grouped Articles
Overheard: China’s Yuan Move Undercuts Oil
Wall Street Journal 08/12/15
Devaluation Hints at China’s Rising Distress Over Economy
New York Times 08/12/15
U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel
Wall Street Journal 08/23/15
Economist 08/24/15
China Has Big Eyes, Little Stomach for Oil
Wall Street Journal 08/27/15
Anglo American 53,000 job cuts in 2015 over three years
07/25/2015
Anglos American responds to declining commodity prices and the slowdown in China with deep cuts to its 151,000 workforce.
Grouped Articles
Mining Companies Slash Jobs as Commodities Prices Slide
Wall Street Journal 07/25/15
Commodities Rout Leaves Anglo American Needing Deals
Wall Street Journal 07/25/15
Anglo American to Slash Assets, Cut 85,000 Jobs
Wall Street Journal 12/09/15
Anglo American’s Overhaul: Dire Straits in Mining
Wall Street Journal 12/09/15
Hurdles for investment projects in India- the case of South Korea's Posco
07/17/2015
Grouped Articles
A Brief History of Posco’s Woes in India
Wall Street Journal 07/17/15
EPA and coal plant regulations in 2015
06/30/2015
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/30/15
EPA Sets Cuts in Plant Emissions
Wall Street Journal 06/30/15
Trump Picks Scott Pruitt, Climate Change Dissenter, to Lead E.P.A.
The New York Times 12/07/16
Trump Picks Scott Pruitt, Climate Change Dissenter, to Lead E.P.A.
The New York Times 12/07/16
Clean Energy ‘Moving Forward’ Despite Trump’s E.P.A. Pick, Experts Say
The New York Times 12/09/16
Trump moves to dismantle Obama's climate legacy with executive order
The Guardian 03/28/17
The U.S. Supreme Court's 5-4 ruling on EPA rules for mercury emissions from power plants saying cost should be considered before rule setting
06/29/2015
Coal fired plants of Duke Energy have installed scrubbers to remove mercury emissions. Duke Energy will continue to reduce mercury emissions.
Grouped Articles
High Court Strikes Down EPA Limits on Mercury Emissions
Wall Street Journal 06/30/15
Wall Street Journal 06/30/15
EPA Sets Cuts in Plant Emissions
Wall Street Journal 06/30/15
Supreme Court to Review EPA Rule on Power Plant Emissions
Wall Street Journal 06/30/15
Supreme Court Blocks Obama’s Limits on Power Plants
New York Times 06/29/15
A Climate Plan Businesses Can Like
New York Times 08/03/15
Platinum supplies, prices and South African mines
06/23/2015
Grouped Articles
Platinum Slammed by Supplies, Dollar
Wall Street Journal 06/23/15
Nucor management
06/18/2015
Grouped Articles
Steel Firms in U.S. Strive to Cope with Imports
Wall Street Journal 06/18/15
Severstal and the Russian steel industry- surging profits and growth with the decline in the ruble 2014-2015
06/16/2015
The steel industry and the chemicals industry are bright spots in the Russian economy, helping Russia weather the economc downturn in 2014-2015. Costs denominated in rubles have fallen much further, increasing profits and helping Severstal expand.
Grouped Articles
Upsides for Steel Industry in a Russian Downturn, Despite Sanctions
New York Times 06/16/15
Overheard: Ruble in the Rubble
Wall Street Journal 08/25/15
Russia and Turkey Show Oil Prices Aren’t Everything
Wall Street Journal 01/25/16
U.S. Sanctions Give Russian Economy an Unintended Boost
WSJ 10/16/18
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