World News Insights
1-3 Minute Gist
Search, personalize, or simply browse. Follow the world around you from gist and context to insights.
Who we are | Our Credo | Ways of using Lyrarc | FAQ | Send Feedback | First Letter From the Editor
Sign up. It's free and easy to use
Create an account
to personalize your feed of articles and topics.
All Topics Article
Overheard: One ‘Best-Case’ Scenario for China’s Banks Is Pretty Bad
Keywords:
Tags:
Charlene Chu, Bank analyst of Autonomous Research, is an expert on non-performing loans in China's banking system. Chu's estimate of bad loans in China's banking system is 14% for other commercial loans. For the non-performing loan ratio of the banking system, she says her estimate is closer to 20%. The estimates were given at an event in Hong Kong in September 2015.
Charlene Chu of Autonomous Research and the "best case scenario" for China's banks at 20% bad loan losses in 2015
09/17/2015
Grouped Articles
Overheard: One ‘Best-Case’ Scenario for China’s Banks Is Pretty Bad
Wall Street Journal 09/17/2015
China’s Banks Are Hiding More Than $2 Trillion in Loans
WSJ 12/07/2016
Trade Fight With U.S. Complicates China’s Campaign to Contain Debt
WSJ 06/19/2018
China's banking system in 2010-2015
01/12/2010
The effects of the stimulus spending binge and speculative behaviours of local governments and state owned companies, on the loans made by state owned banks.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
China's state-owned banks
01/07/2010
Grouped Articles
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
China's Credit Levels Echo U.S. Crisis
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2013
China Think Tank Offers Reform Wish List
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2013
Chinese Banks' Divided Capital
Wall Street Journal 10/31/2013
China Banks Keep the Fees Flowing
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2013
WSJ's series on China's banks in 2014- "Rising Risks"
12/27/2013
Grouped Articles
China Banks Keep the Fees Flowing
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2013
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
Regulators at Odds on Reining In China's Shadow Lending
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2014
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2014
China's Moment of Truth: Financial Reform or Growth?
Wall Street Journal 09/16/2014
Profit Growth Is Slowing at China’s Biggest Banks
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2014
Problems facing the China Bank Regulatory Authority (CBRC) for off-balance sheet lending and shadow banks
06/17/2010
Grouped Articles
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Distress Signs Test Beijing's Resolve
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Fitch Ratings analyst Charlene Chu's analysis of China's shadow banking and unreported private debt
08/01/2010
CHina's private debt is over twice China's GDP according to Fitch Ratings analyst Charlene Chu
Grouped Articles
Charlene Chu Is the 'Rock Star' of Chinese Debt Analysis
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
China's Credit Levels Echo U.S. Crisis
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2013
Heard on the Street: Shadow Boxing With Risk at Chinese Banks
Wall Street Journal 09/22/2013
China Think Tank Offers Reform Wish List
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2013
Chinaâs Real Estate Boom and Conflicting Policy
New York Times 08/01/2010
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
Bad loans at China's banks, especially smaller banks that make up a third of the banking sector, in 2015
07/04/2015
Grouped Articles
Economist 07/04/2015
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China’s Banks Face Worst Year in Over a Decade
Wall Street Journal 08/28/2015
Overheard: One ‘Best-Case’ Scenario for China’s Banks Is Pretty Bad
Wall Street Journal 09/17/2015
China’s Banks Are Hiding More Than $2 Trillion in Loans
WSJ 12/07/2016
Trade Fight With U.S. Complicates China’s Campaign to Contain Debt
WSJ 06/19/2018
China's local government debt poses a risk for the economy
06/17/2010
China's local government debt is estimated to be in the range of 27% to 42% of GDP. Loans by banks to local government financing vehicles face high risk of default.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
China's Credit Levels Echo U.S. Crisis
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2013
China Think Tank Offers Reform Wish List
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2013
Large exposure to local government financing vehicles of China's smaller banks
06/17/2010
Larger banks have a smaller portion of their loans made to local government financing vehicles than the larger banks. Agricultural Bank of China, Construction Bank of China, Bank of China, Industrial and Commerical Bank of China have 6-7% of their loans made to local government financing vehicles, compared to 20% for Everbright Bank and 13-20% for other smaller banks. This means they will be the first to be in trouble in a financial crisis because of the high risk and poor asset quality of such loans.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
China's Credit Levels Echo U.S. Crisis
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2013
Chinese Banks' Divided Capital
Wall Street Journal 10/31/2013
Chinese Bank Regulator Warns of Loan Risks
Wall Street Journal 06/17/2010
BusinessWeek 07/29/2010
The role of "loan guarantee chains" in fueling China's credit bubble and the surge in bad loans in 2014-2015
11/24/2014
Experts says what is unusual in China is that the loan guarantees for one firm are given by other firms in different industries. One defaulting textile firm had its loan guranteed by a machinery maker and a paper maker. The result is it creates problems for all of the firms. The other problem aspect of this arrangement is that banks evaluated credit risk by using these loan guarantees as evidence of creditworthiness. Till 2012 with no slowdown in growth in sight no questions were asked. With the slowdown in 2014-2015 this means a surge in bad loans in China's banking system unlike what it has experienced before, as continued high pace of growth can no longer be relied on to cushion the banking system from the risks.
Grouped Articles
Loan ‘Guarantee Chains’ in China Prove Flimsy
Wall Street Journal 11/24/2014
Economist 07/04/2015
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China’s Banks Face Worst Year in Over a Decade
Wall Street Journal 08/28/2015
Overheard: One ‘Best-Case’ Scenario for China’s Banks Is Pretty Bad
Wall Street Journal 09/17/2015
Trade Fight With U.S. Complicates China’s Campaign to Contain Debt
WSJ 06/19/2018
Off-balance sheet shadow lending by Chinese banks.
01/12/2010
Even after the efforts to restrain lending in 2010 in China following heightened stimulus lending in 2009, the level of bank lending has exceeded 10.5 trillion yuan and is at the same level as 2009. This includes the lending through trusts and other mechanisms according to Fitch Ratings. This explains the inflationary pressures and property bubble.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Charlene Chu of Autonomous Research and estimates of bad loans in China's banking system in September 2015
08/22/2013
Linked Articles
Overheard: One ‘Best-Case’ Scenario for China’s Banks Is Pretty Bad
Wall Street Journal 09/17/2015
Charlene Chu Is the 'Rock Star' of Chinese Debt Analysis
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
We took a different way to help millions around the world build educated informed mindsets that affects and shapes their lives. For a future that is open, global and digital, with everyone having access to high quality information. We believe in the renewal of America, renewal of Europe, the renewal of India, the rest of Asia, Latin America and Africa. The renewal of our supply chains, health, education, infrastructure, as we rebuild our countries after the pandemic. Literacy and knowledge we believe cannot thrive and grow in a world of web bots, web crawlers, or AI. This requires human curiosity, human learning, and human imagination. We take as inspiration the saying- “One has to be free, and as broad as sky. One has to have a mind that is crystal clear, only then can truth shine in it.” Every contribution whether big or small is precious- in this crisis and ahead.
Support Lyrarc from as small as $1
Terms and Conditions | Copyright Policy | Privacy Policy | Contact Us
