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In U.K. Election, It’s Jobs Boom vs. Stagnant Wages

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Greg Ip provides useful insights into the nature of the economic recovery in Britain compared to the U.S. by 2015. The recovery in Britain has done better than in the U.S. in job creation, but has lagged behind in productivity gains. The labor force participation rate is 72% in Britain compared to 68% in the U.S., going back up to 2007 levels in Britain, whereas in the U.S. it has steadily declined with some older working class Americans too discouraged to look for work and left behind. Stagnant wage growth is a major issue in Britain, more so than in the U.S. where wage growth is slow. Economic austerity is not the main cause of the economic difficulties as the coalition government of prime minister Cameron relaxed earlier goals for austerity by 2012 with tax revenues and growth below forecasts. The structural budget deficit has been reduced by 6.6% of GDP since the peak, and the Office of Budget Responsibility estimates the UK economy was 1.5%-2% smaller by 2013 because of the austerity policies. Britain was also affected by the eurozone crisis to a larger degree than the U.S. Productivity remains a long term challenge- with needed investments in housing, education and infrastructure, improved lending for new business, and higher tech improvement exports.

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With a prominent defection to the UKIP, British prime minister Cameron now faces the prospect in September 2014 of a split of the right wing vote between the UK Independence Party and the Conservatives, handing the Labor Party a win in the 2016 election. The economy is recovering but working class people in Britain say they are not seeing the benefits of the recovery.

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Credibility of elites tested in the decade following the financial crisis of 2008-2009- falling incomes in the U.S. and high unemployment in Europe, and disaffection in local regions such as Scotland

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The determination in France, as in Britain, to take austerity measures, and to cut the deficit.

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