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Greek Bailout Gains Could Fade Fast
Keywords:
Analysts see the likelihood of Greece exiting the eurozone at over 50%. The actions of the ECB under Mario Draghi to provide funding to weak banks through the Long Term Financing Operation have reduced the effect the effects of contagion from a Greek default spreading to banks in other EU countries. The fiscal pact signed in Jan 2012 at the EU summit with automatic penalties for countries lacking budget discipline provides Angela Merkel more room with her domestic political base to support the EFSF's capacity to help other eurozone countries. Greece with its deteriorating economic situation would then be considered a special case.
The austerity spending cuts and new taxes in Greece- 2011-2012
06/28/2011
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Greek Patience With Austerity Nears Its Limit
New York Times 12/29/2014
Greek Ship Owners Fear Syriza Tax Plan
Wall Street Journal 01/28/2015
Greece Wanted to Reframe Europe’s Austerity Debate. It Failed.
New York Times 07/01/2015
Mirage of Economic Turnaround Masked New Greek Crisis in the Making
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Wall Street Journal 06/29/2011
Two-Day Strike in Greece Ahead of Austerity Vote
New York Times 06/28/2011
Greece and prime minister Papandreou's Nov. 3, 2011 referendum proposal on the euro and austerity plans
07/01/2011
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Europe, Athens Battle for Greek Hearts and Minds Ahead of Referendum
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2015
Hopeful Start to Greek Debt Negotiations Quickly Soured
New York Times 07/02/2015
Greek Referendum on Offer That Is Off the Table Baffles Voters
New York Times 07/02/2015
Why Not Give the Greeks Their Say?
New York Times 11/03/2011
Greek Leader Calls Off Referendum
New York Times 11/03/2011
Call for Greek Vote Unsettles Europe
Wall Street Journal 11/02/2011
Faces of recession battered Greece as new austerity programs are adopted by the government
06/28/2011
Grouped Articles
EU Dismisses IMF's Criticism On Greek Bailout
Wall Street Journal 06/07/2013
New York Times 11/03/2013
Greece’s prescription for a health-care crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 02/22/2014
Across Athens, Graffiti Worth a Thousand Words of Malaise
New York Times 04/15/2014
Greek Patience With Austerity Nears Its Limit
New York Times 12/29/2014
Greece’s new prime minister wants Germany to pay for Nazi war crimes - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/26/2015
Greece's debt crisis in 2012 after the agreement with private creditors to take 50% of the losses on Greek bonds is not enough to reduce debt to sustainable levels
06/30/2011
Bondholders accepting 50% of losses- as agreed with EU leaders in Nov-Dec 2011 -will not be enough for Greece to meet its debt obligations, because of a fast deteriorating economy. By March 20, 2012, 14.5 billion euros of bonds come up for repayment or refinancing. More money will be needed from the EU. The voluntary exchange by private creditors of existing bonds for new bonds with 50% face value and maturing over a longer period will be made under an agreement using English law. This will be harder to change in the future, putting the burden on any future financing shortfall on EU countries unwilling to make further commitments to Greece.
Grouped Articles
Greek Bonds Soar After Fitch Upgrade
Wall Street Journal 05/15/2013
EU Dismisses IMF's Criticism On Greek Bailout
Wall Street Journal 06/07/2013
Policy âTroikaâ for Europe Financial Woes at Odds
New York Times 06/07/2013
Greek Government Bonds Pay Off Big for Fund Managers
Wall Street Journal 10/28/2013
Europe Fears Rising Greek Cost
Wall Street Journal 01/11/2012
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2012
John Cochrane and other experts give a no-nonsense view of the bailouts and the financial crises facing Europe
12/02/2010
Insights that the real problem is short term debt financing. The need for the EU to insist on long tem debt financing for governments in Europe. The solution for this crisis is not in bailouts of Greece, Spain, Italy and so on, but to swap the short term debt for debt with longer term maturities, and for bondholders to take a haircut. Similiar to the Brady Plan for Latin America in the late 1980's. The bailout of Ireland in reality not a bailout of Ireland, as a bailout of German and British banks that made risky loans to Irish banks and the Irish government. The U.S. government's debt also tilted to short term debt and problems similar to European problems.
Grouped Articles
EU Dismisses IMF's Criticism On Greek Bailout
Wall Street Journal 06/07/2013
'Contagion' and Other Euro Myths
Wall Street Journal 12/02/2010
As Ireland Flails, Europe Lurches Across the Rubicon
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2010
Running the euro zone: Pact of uncompetitiveness
Economist 02/12/2011
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2011
Europe Needs to Apportion Pain
Wall Street Journal 03/17/2011
Solutions to the Greece crisis.
05/27/2010
Would the solution adopted by Turkey in 2001 work? Devaluation of the currency is not an option for Greece. Turkey devalued the lira 54% in 2001.
Grouped Articles
Greece Can Learn IMF Austerity from Turkey
BusinessWeek 05/27/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/22/2010
European Debt Deal Has Flaws - News Analysis
New York Times 03/14/2011
For Greece, the Path to Restructuring Holds Pitfalls
Wall Street Journal 04/18/2011
Don't Bet on an Imminent Euro-Zone Debt Default
Wall Street Journal 04/18/2011
Expectations Grow for Greek Debt Restructuring
New York Times 04/18/2011
The twin problems of lack of growth under austerity plans and overvalued currencies of Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal
06/24/2011
The twin problems of lack of growth and overvalued currencies under the solutions of austerity plans without debt reduction and a single euro currency create impossible odds for a resolution of the eurozone financial crisis. Germany's insistence on tough austerity measures, European banks delaying restructuring of bad loans similar to the U.S. Brady plan, failure of politicians in Italy and Greece to take early action, and small steps by policymakers, are compounding the effects of the eurozone crisis.
Grouped Articles
German Election Overturns Political Order
Wall Street Journal 09/23/2013
New York Times 11/03/2013
Germany's Surplus Isn't the Problem
Wall Street Journal 11/11/2013
The 'Silent Austerity' in Banking
Wall Street Journal 01/21/2014
Italy Central Banker Is Open to 'Bad Bank'
Wall Street Journal 02/10/2014
Saying No to Austerity, Spain Unveils Tax Cuts
New York Times 06/20/2014
Greece, debt and the new austerity budgets 2011-2013
12/10/2009
Grouped Articles
Greek Draft Budget Sees Primary Surplus, Return to Growth
Wall Street Journal 10/14/2013
Greek Patience With Austerity Nears Its Limit
New York Times 12/29/2014
Greece’s new prime minister wants Germany to pay for Nazi war crimes - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/26/2015
Greece Wanted to Reframe Europe’s Austerity Debate. It Failed.
New York Times 07/01/2015
Mirage of Economic Turnaround Masked New Greek Crisis in the Making
Wall Street Journal 07/05/2015
Greece: Austerity Budget Passed
New York Times 12/25/2009
Preparation for Greece's exit from the euro currency and return to the drachma- November 2011-2012
07/01/2011
Grouped Articles
‘Grexit’ Could Happen by Accident
Wall Street Journal 01/12/2015
New York Times 07/05/2015
New York Times 07/05/2015
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2011
Plan to Leave Euro for Drachma Gains Support in Greece
New York Times 11/01/2011
Europeâs Two Years of Denials Trapped Greece
New York Times 11/05/2011
Greece and the European Union.
02/12/2010
The difficult economic situation in Greece and risks it poses for the Euro and the EU.
Grouped Articles
Athens's Love Affair With the Euro Persists
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2013
Greece’s Woes May Give Pause to Euro Zone Candidates
New York Times 02/12/2010
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2010
Debt Load Hobbles Euro Zone's Prospects
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2010
New York Times 02/15/2010
Contemplating the Future of the European Union
New York Times 02/12/2010
Similarities between the experience of Argentina in 2001 and the experience of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain in 2010-2012
12/09/2010
The financial crisis in the euro-zone and a similar situation that prevailed in Argentina in 2001. Experts from that period are convinced that euro-zone bondholders will have to accept securities offering less interest and maturing over a longer period.
Grouped Articles
Greek Government Bonds Pay Off Big for Fund Managers
Wall Street Journal 10/28/2013
Argentine Farmers Reap Discontent
Wall Street Journal 05/29/2014
What Greece Faces if It Defaults
New York Times 04/29/2015
If Greece Defaults, Imagine Argentina, but Much Worse
New York Times 06/25/2015
The Argentina Veterans Eye the Euro Warily
BusinessWeek 12/09/2010
Government debt: Behold 2011, the year of sovereign shocks
Economist 12/18/2010
Greece: prospect of default on debt.
12/29/2009
Grouped Articles
Greece Defaults on IMF Loan Despite New Push for Bailout Aid
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2015
Greece, Missing I.M.F. Payment, Is Called Effectively in Default
New York Times 06/30/2015
Unknown 12/29/2009
Unknown 12/29/2009
The Worst May Not Be Over for Europe
New York Times 12/31/2009
New York Times 02/15/2010
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