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Germany reaps rewards of entitlement cuts - The Washington Post

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Germany went through a period of stagnant growth and persistently high unemployment leading to reforms of the welfare system and entitlements under the Schroeder administration. The reforms led to lower unemployment benefits and an effort to get the unemployed take up jobs. Instead of unemployment benefits that amounted to half the salary indefinitely, unemployment benefits ended in 12 months under the reforms, and workers were forced to take up jobs or dig into their savings. The cuts to benefits led to more of the unemployed taking jobs that were not their first choice with lower incomes. Unions agreed to defer wage demands and wages remained relatively flat for a long period. The "kurzarbeit" system of government subsidizing employers to retain workers during economic downturns, helped cushion the workforce from ups and downs in the economy. Unemployment which was in double digits a decade ago, is now 6.1%. The system still preserved some other aspects of generous benefits- parental leave of 14 months at two-thirds salary, vacation time and publicly sponsored health insurance. Recent changes include raising the retirement age to 67 from 65. The Organization of Economc Cooperation and Development estimates that the 200,000 jobs saved in Germany during the recession of 2008-2009 cost the government $7 billion. Government funds helped companies retain workers by paying a portion of worker salaries and averting layoffs.This comes to $35,000 per job. Compare this with the $38.9 billion allocated to a loan program at the Energy Department under the U.S. stimulus. 8050 jobs were created under this program according to the Washington Post- for the money spent so far in Sept 2011- 2 years into the loan program, of $19.3 billion. This comes to $2.4 million in government guaranteed loans per job. The Energy Department says that 33,000 jobs were saved under the $5.9 billion that was given to the auto industry under this program for investments in manufacturing to improve fuel efficiency. This comes to $178,000 per job. The Energy Department and Congress estimated a 5%-10% loss on the $38.6 billion loan program for loans that go sour, such as the Solyndra solar company $535 million loan. This comes to $1.9 billion at 5% loss and $3.8 billion for a 10% loss. The purpose of these figures is to show the cost of programs when the programs fail to achieve job goals or produce too little for the investment. The $3.8 billion loss under the program is over half the $7 billon Germany invested for the 200,000 jobs saved as estimated by the OECD. That ranks as a far superior investment than the Energy Department program. For the U.S. there are aspects of German reforms such as "kurzarbeit" that bear emulation, with serious questions about the effective use of the U.S. stimulus funds. For the rest of Europe the stingier unemployment benefits, raising the retirement age to 67, and other reforms send a different message. From the average German the message is: we made the tough changes, the rest of Europe cannot expect Germans to pay higher taxes while they put off similiar changes. Italy needs to change its retirement age, just as the Germans have done. As Chancellor Merkel puts it: "People in countries like Greece, Spain, Portugal shouldn't be able to retire earlier than in Germany. It's important for everybody to put in effort to make it roughly equal. Germany will only help when others really make an effort." Which is why Greece, Spain, Italy, even France are faced with making serious changes. This isn't stalling when it comes to euro bonds, from the German perspective. And it isn't about the lack of committment to the idea of a European Union, as all major political parties in Germany, the CDP, the SDP and the Greens, all strongly support the idea of a European Union.

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Hans-Werner Sinn of the Ifo Institute says Germany has already done its part, and socialization of losses in Europe- through eurobonds or other measures- is dangerous. Something he says, even the U.S. avoided doing in the 1830's and 1840's when it let 8 states go bankrupt.

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The saying goes that "the French work to live and the Germans live to work." Alsace has been part of France and of Germany at different times in history. Here one sees the two systems in close proximity, the French more attuned to state control than the German model, with more regulations. Changes were made in Germany with labor reforms during an earlier period of high unemployment, while things have not changed as much in France. The German apprenticeship system works well there but a university degree is favored by French families. The efforts to make the French system work with high unemployment and the active debate in France for improvements.

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Gerhard Schroeder, former chancellor of Germany, Agenda 2010, and Angela Merkel's handling of the eurozone crisis

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Gerhard Schroeder describes his approach to a new Agenda 2020 for Europe. Schroeder implemented Agenda 2010 for Germany with changes to the welfare state in Germany starting in 2003. He talks about how this was done and important decisions that were made at the time for implementing it without losing public confidence, which bear directly on the situation today.

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Germany reaps rewards of entitlement cuts - The Washington Post

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Greece needs to lower prices by 31% just to get to the level of Turkey, says the head of the Ifo research institute in Germany, Wener Sinn. Experts fear a breakdown in civil order inside Greece if deflation at this level occurs with Greece still using the euro. Hollande, the Socialist party candidate in France, also expressed similiar concerns, as reported in the New York Times, calling it a breakup in European governance that followed the breakdown in Greek governance. Sinn says the bondholders are overly exaggerating the risks of a breakup in the eurozone if Greece exits the euro.

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New Attempt at French-German Amity Stumbles in Venice

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Departing EADS Chief Urges Europe to Recommit to Industry

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Germany's labor, welfare system and entitlement reforms and lessons for the U.S. and Europe.

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The "kurzarbeit" program, work sharing and other measures taken in Germany.

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Amid crisis, Italy confronts a culture of tax evasion - The Washington Post

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Bayer: Pressure on Prices Has Bad Side Effects

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Even Critics of Safety Net Increasingly Depend on It

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The outlook for further reforms in Germany after the 2009 elections.

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This looks dim considering that unemployment may hit 11% in 2011.

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Merkel Wins Big in German Election

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The contagion effect affecting Spain after Greece and Portugal similar to the manner in which the Asian financial crisis spread during a prior decade.

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Spain is simply shifting the problem

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Italy, Spain and austerity measures- 2011-2013

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Analysts point to the austerity measures adopted by Italy and Spain much earlier than other countries in the eurozone. The risk now is cutting into muscle as growth for 2011 is expected to be below 1% in both countries. Italy say analysts is actually in surplus when the interest on debt is excluded.

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European Finance Ministers Support Investment Program

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Germany's "kurzarbeit" and government-business cooperation to tackle cyclical swings in the economy

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About half a million jobs were saved by one estimate through the German government sharing the costs of labor retention with industry during the last downturn. The program is known as "kurzarbeit" in Germany and is accepted by the German public, workers and business as a better way to handle the cyclical swings in the economy. The lack of a similiar program in the U.S. means a larger loss of jobs in the U.S., which is being painfully felt in 2011-2012. U.S. programs focussed on a stimulus measure and government spending, not on a program of joint cooperation between industry and government such as "kurzarbeit." There is no history of such cooperation in the U.S. and the government is seen more in the sense of intervention than cooperation with industry.

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Cutting Hours Instead of Jobs

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The Obama White House and the investigation into the half a billion dollar loan to Silicon Valley solar company Solyndra

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Solyndra collapsed in mid 2011. U.S. taxpayers will bear losses on the loan supported by the Obama White House. The cost of jobs created in the U.S. with Stimulus money.

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