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Fed’s $2 Trillion May Buy Little Improvement in Jobs
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According to the chief economist at IHS Global Insight, Nigel Gault, his models show that $500 billion of purchases by the U.S. Federal Reserve will increase growth in the U.S. by only 0.1% in 2011, and leave unemployment at 9% or higher for two years. Moody's Analytics and Macroeconomic Advisors also point to small impact of quantitative easing efforts of the Fed. One economist said that the Fed's taking interest rate to zero had not worked, QE1 has not worked either, and now its a serious question how much difference QE2 would make.
Deflation threat in the U.S. in 2010.
05/27/2010
Negligible growth in incomes and the lowest increase in the consumer price index since 1962, with the eurozone crisis overhang, pose threat of deflation.
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Fed’s Bullard Raises Policy Concerns
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U.S. Federal Reserve's policy and actions in 2010-2013
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Fed Officials Try to Set the Market at Ease
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Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves
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In Surprise, Fed Decides to Maintain Pace of Stimulus
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Economists See Nominee as Slightly More Dovish Bernanke
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Yellenâs Path From Liberal Theorist to Fed Voice for Jobs
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The Yellen Fed? Precise and Predictable
New York Times 10/09/2013
Experts on China and the USA in 2010 and beyond.
04/15/2010
Charlie Rose talks to the Prime minister of Singapore on China in the world in 2010 and beyond.
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Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong: The View from Singapore
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Chinese Economy Treads Risky Path. (Ask Japan.)
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Don't Rule Out a Double Dip Recession
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Fed’s $2 Trillion May Buy Little Improvement in Jobs
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Singapore's Lee Hsien Loong Looks Ahead
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Why high unemployment in the U.S. is expected for 2010-2014
06/06/2009
Structural problems like a mismatch of skills between maufacturing and construction sectors worst hit since 2008 and growing sectors like healthcare is one problem. Geographic factors and difficulty selling homes in states like Michigan is another. The tighter credit from a return of banking sector losses from bad home equity loans that is expected in late 2010 will keep the recovery from taking hold keeping unemployment high. The economic uncertainty following repeated budget battles between political parties also affects business investment.
Grouped Articles
90 Million Americans Not Working
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Hiring Slowdown Blurs Growth View
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Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
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More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
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Hiring Is Strong and Jobless Rate Declines to 6.1%
New York Times 07/03/2014
Robert Gordon and other experts on the economic growth prospects for 2010 and into 2011.
04/30/2010
Gordon sees a weakening in growth from the 3.24% growth in 1st quarter 2010 (BEA numbers) as exports are not holding up and state and local government spending is deteriorating rapidly. The inventory change numbers which were signifcant this quarter as businesses replaced equipment and IT, will be winding down in size.
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Guest Contribution: Gordon Outlines Pessimist, Optimist Takes on GDP
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Economists React: GDP Indicates Road Ahead Still Bumpy
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Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
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The American economy in 2010-2012: Looking ahead the risks and possibilities.
10/01/2009
Housing, hiring, the strength of the stimulus and capital spending will determine what 2010-2012 looks like for the U.S. economy.
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Michelin Issues Cautious Outlook
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2010 Looks 'Highly Uncertain,' Zoellick Says
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Hiring, Business Investment and Other Big Variables That Will Drive 2010 Economy
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Rising Unemployment in the U.S. in 2010.
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California's Building Bust Choking Off Jobs
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Job Crisis: Machines Over Manpower
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Growing Risks for the U.S. Economy in 2010-2012.
01/04/2010
Risks of another hit from losses on home equity loans to bank balance sheets in latter part of 2010. The situation with local and state governments in the USA cutting back significantly. The situation in Europe and an overheating Chinese economy.
Grouped Articles
The Home-Equity Hurt Ahead for Banks
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Beware a Bernanke-Fueled Market Bubble
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Don't Rule Out a Double Dip Recession
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Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
BusinessWeek 06/03/2010
Wall Street Journal 06/12/2010
The U.S. Federal Reserve's increased purchase of Treasury debt with QE1 and QE2 and only slight increase in economic growth in the U.S.
10/07/2010
IHS Global Insight, Macroeconomic Advisors, and Moodys Analytics models showing insignificant impact on U.S. from QE1, QE2 efforts. Nigel Gault, IHS Global Insight's model showing only a 0.1% increase in U.S. growth rate from $500 billion of purchases by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Linked Articles
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
Fed’s $2 Trillion May Buy Little Improvement in Jobs
BusinessWeek 10/07/2010
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