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Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Brazil
09/13/2011
A sea of liquidity undermines prospects in emerging markets such as Brazil and Turkey.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Dark Side of Brazil's RiseWall Street Journal 09/13/2011
Winding down U.S. housing agencies Fannie and Freddie- the bipartisan Senate Banking Committee proposal (1)
08/16/2011
Linked Articles
Plan for Mortgage Giants Takes Shape
Wall Street Journal 03/12/2014
On mortgage rates, Obama wants proposal for how government can keep big role - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/16/2011
Slowdown in India's IT sector in 2012-2013
08/09/2011
Linked Articles
Outsourcing In India Faces Offshore Woe
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2012
Indian Firms WaryWall Street Journal 08/09/2011
Weakness in U.S. consumer spending continues in 2012-2013
07/30/2011
Linked Articles
Hopes for a Turnaround Grow Dimmer as Worried Consumers Save, Don't Spend
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
Economy Losing Its CushionWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
Republicans, the U.S. Congress and earmarks
07/19/2011
Because of Congress's preference for earmarks opinion that sees better budget discipline in expanding the impounding powers of the President for federal spending dollars.
Linked Articles
Elected as Cost-Cutters, Freshmen Push Spending for Home Districts
New York Times 07/19/2011
GOP Balancing ActWall Street Journal 07/19/2011
Republican calls for deficit reduction and changes to credit ratings on U.S. Treasury securities
07/15/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Hopefuls Betting Voters Want Deep Cuts
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
S&P Says July Downgrade PossibleWall Street Journal 07/15/2011
The closed door budget negotiations between Republicans Boehner and Cantor and the Obama White House
07/12/2011
The closed door negotiating sessions puts the budget process outside the public scrutiny that is required by law. The lack of accountability and transparency. The use of the budget and competing claims to turn this into the first phase of the 2012 U.S. presidential election.
Linked Articles
Budget Shell Games Are Contrary to Law
Wall Street Journal 07/14/2011
Cantor emerges as key player in debt negotiations - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/12/2011
Deficit reduction talks between the Obama White House and Republicans in July 2011.
07/07/2011
The talks are part of an effort to reach agreement on raising the debt ceiling by an August 2011 deadline. Skepticism among Democrats about the talks and the deep cuts proposed that could lead to a setback for the economy.
Linked Articles
Negotiating the Debt Ceiling on a Knife's Edge
New York Times 07/07/2011
What Obama WantsNew York Times 07/07/2011
Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (1)
07/01/2011
A sea of liquidity is undermining the economy in Turkey and Brazil in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkey's Credit-Card CrunchBusinessWeek 10/27/2011
Increasing domestic consumption in Saudi Arabia will diminish reserve supplies and put pressure on oil prices in 2012-2013
06/23/2011
Saudi domestic consumption increasing at 10% a year will diminsh the Saudi role as a reserve supplier. Estimates are for zero reserve supplies by 2020 and oil imports by 2038, so large is the effect of growing use of oil at home. The Arab Spring means subsidies and social spending will increase, supporting continuing use of oil at current levels for a rapidly growing population.
Linked Articles
The End of the Saudi Oil Reserve Margin
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Rising Saudi Thirst for Oil Drives Plans to Go NuclearWall Street Journal 06/23/2011
Decline in gold prices in 2013 with lower investor demand and decline in purchases by central banks of emerging market countries
06/14/2011
Demand from central banks is expected to decline by 34% in 2013, according to Reuters Thomson GFMS. Lower inflation and better returns in equity and bond markets is reducing demand from private investors.
Linked Articles
Gold Fades From Investment Picture
Wall Street Journal 10/29/2013
Investors Going for the Gold in China May Want to ReconsiderWall Street Journal 06/14/2011
Cramped housing space for average Shanghai residents as the property bubble puts homes out of reach
06/09/2011
China's government policy makers put a priority on controlling property prices in 2012-2013 and preserving gains made so far even if this means lowering growth. Hyper building in the last decade has not reduced the need for more housing space.
Linked Articles
In Shanghai, High Prices Keep Lid on Real-Estate Stimulus
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
The lack of any meaningful help to prevent foreclosures for homeowners who are unemployed.
06/04/2011
The adverse effects on housing, on banks holding second mortgages, and on the economic recovery in the U.S., of the lack of a plan and little effort by the Obama administration to help the unemployed facing foreclosure. Most of the programs to prevent foreclosure were designed at the time of the bailouts for subprime lending situations. Prof. Davis at the University of Wisconsin call it outrageous that less than $2 billion of the $45 billion allocated to help homeowners at the time of the bailouts had been spent by Treaury Department as of May 2011.
Linked Articles
Unemployment Strains Foreclosure Aid
New York Times 06/04/2011
Second-Mortgage MiseryWall Street Journal 06/07/2011
Congressional Budget Office projections and difficult choices facing the U.S. in 2012-2013
08/25/2011
Linked Articles
Deficit Is Again Set to Top $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2012
Forecast Clouds Debt-Cut OutlookWall Street Journal 08/25/2011
Alan Meltzer and Thomas Hoenig's criticism of Federal Reserve Bank chairman Bernake's failure to look at long term consequences of low rates
08/11/2011
Hoenig points to the Fed's lowered rates in 2003 after the burst of the dot com bubble and higher unemployment of 6.5% in 2003 and Meltzer which led to the mortgage meltdown of 2008. Meltzer points to QE II's $600 billion monetary easing in 2010 which failed to revive the economy or reduce unemployment in 2011. They emphasize the Fed's lack of attention to the long term consequences of their actions. Both question the role of the Fed in creating jobs and see the role of the Fed as a neutral player, as deeper structural changes such as ashift to export driven economy, lower consumption take time and are only delayed by a continuation of old policies.
Linked Articles
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 08/13/2011
The Folly of Economic Short-TermismWall Street Journal 08/11/2011
As Republican leaders shift strategy to allow debt limit increases in 2014 - (1) the Tea party position was not what it was thought to be
08/01/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Backs Off Fight on Debt Limit
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2014
That Monolithic Tea Party Just Wasnât ThereNew York Times 08/01/2011
Small spurts in U.S. real estate markets from foreign or out of state buyers that fizzle out- S. Florida and Phoenix, Arizona
07/26/2011
Sporadic bursts of activity in real estate markets first in Miami in 2011 and then in Phoenix. The surge in activity is from buyers from Brazil for S. Florida, and buyers from Canada for Phoenix, as well as out of state buyers looking for speculative or rental properties to rent out to homeowners who go into foreclosure. The buyers from Canada and Brazil are in these markets because of a real estate bubble of their own in their home countries and is hardly the basis for a dependable recovery on housing prices, as the IMF has signalled a warning light for economies such as Brazil.
Linked Articles
Rise in Phoenix Housing Shows Path for Other Cities
Wall Street Journal 03/13/2012
Affluent Buyers Reviving Market for Miami HomesNew York Times 07/26/2011
The Ford Focus EV and the Nissan Leaf electric cars in 2012-2013
07/19/2011
Linked Articles
Ford CEO: Battery Is Third of Electric Car Cost
Wall Street Journal 04/18/2012
Nissan Raises Leaf Price to $35,200Wall Street Journal 07/19/2011
The "cut, cap, and balance" pledge of Republicans and the impasse in deficit and budget ceiling negotiatons with the Obama White House
07/14/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Hopefuls Betting Voters Want Deep Cuts
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
Budget Shell Games Are Contrary to LawWall Street Journal 07/14/2011
Republicans, Eric Cantor, and U.S. budget deficit reduction efforts
07/12/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Hopefuls Betting Voters Want Deep Cuts
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
Cantor emerges as key player in debt negotiations - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/12/2011
Krauthammer is critical of the Obama White House for using debt reduction to advance its 2012 election campaign
07/07/2011
Krauthammer points to the lack of initiative by the Obama administration in debt reduction.
Linked Articles
The Elmendorf Rule - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/09/2011
Negotiating the Debt Ceiling on a Knife's EdgeNew York Times 07/07/2011
Risks in emerging markets in 2012-2013- Turkey (3)
07/01/2011
Growth in Turkey is fueled by surging credit growth and capital inflows. At the same time manufacturing competitiveness is falling.
Linked Articles
Turkey's Economy Surged 11% in Quarter
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2011
Turkish Trade Deficit WidensWall Street Journal 07/30/2011
The yuan and China's competitiveness in international trade in 2012-2013
06/21/2011
Even with a gradual appreciation of the yuan China continues to maintain its competitive position in international trade with productivity gains offfsetting the small appreciation and a smaller increase in prices of Chinese products. This could mean the U.S. and Eurozone countries will continue to run trade deficits with China in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2012
No Appreciation for the Rising YuanWall Street Journal 06/21/2011
China's Stimulus plans in 2012-2013 and the housing bubble
06/09/2011
Linked Articles
China’s stimulus policy means trouble down the road - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/31/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
The weakness in housing, construction and consumer spending for the U.S. economy in 2011-2012
06/07/2011
Linked Articles
The Sickness Beneath the Slump - Economic View
New York Times 06/11/2011
Second-Mortgage MiseryWall Street Journal 06/07/2011
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