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Increasing domestic consumption in Saudi Arabia will diminish reserve supplies and put pressure on oil prices in 2012-2013
06/23/2011
Saudi domestic consumption increasing at 10% a year will diminsh the Saudi role as a reserve supplier. Estimates are for zero reserve supplies by 2020 and oil imports by 2038, so large is the effect of growing use of oil at home. The Arab Spring means subsidies and social spending will increase, supporting continuing use of oil at current levels for a rapidly growing population.
Linked Articles
The End of the Saudi Oil Reserve Margin
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Rising Saudi Thirst for Oil Drives Plans to Go NuclearWall Street Journal 06/23/2011
Impact of a slowdown in China and a global slowdown on different countries
06/08/2011
A slowdown in China will affect commodity exporting countries such as Australia, Brazil and Chile, and exporters of machinery such as Germany and Japan. A global economic slowdown will make it harder for troubled eurozone countries such as Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain to reduce their debt burden. It will affect U.S. exports which are increasing in 2011, and are the one bright spot for a economic recovery.
Linked Articles
What a China Slowdown Means for the World
Wall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Euro-Zone Cuts Face World of PainWall Street Journal 06/08/2011
Fiat's full ownership of Chrysler- increasing the stake (2)
05/27/2011
Linked Articles
Fiat, in Deal With Union, Will Buy Rest of Chrysler
New York Times 01/01/2014
Fiat To Buy Full U.S. Stake in ChryslerNew York Times 05/27/2011
Turkey's unsustainable current account deficit and overheating economy in 2011-2012
05/07/2011
The dangers that economic policy may not be effective in managing the huge increase in credit and capital inflows. This is especially true with the distraction presented by the efforts of the AKP to win a sufficient majority to change the constitution.
Linked Articles
Turkish Leader Rides Spending Toward Win
Wall Street Journal 06/11/2011
The Turkish economy: OverheatingEconomist 05/07/2011
Austerity measures and economic contraction in Portugal 2010-2013- the terms of the 2011 EU-IMF loan agreement with Portugal
05/05/2011
The forecasts of higher unemployment reaching 17% and economic contraction of 7% for 2011-2013 are widely diverging from the original estimates in 2011 by EU and IMF officials. This increases the urgency for reappraisal of the terms of the original agreement including borrowing rates, giving more time to achieve deficit targets, and other action to put Portugal back on the road to growth in 2014.
Linked Articles
Portugal to Seek New Bailout Terms
Wall Street Journal 03/04/2013
Government Sees Deep Recession Ahead for PortugalNew York Times 05/05/2011
Shift in U.S. energy dependence away from the Persian Gulf region and the Middle East
04/02/2011
Increase supplies from oil sands in Canada, development of oil and natural gas from shale deposits in the U.S. and the drilling offshore in the Gulf of Mexico are shifting the U.S. away from dependence on the Persian Gulf region for oil.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2011
Stepping on the GasWall Street Journal 04/02/2011
Rapid structural shift in job openings, mismatch of skills, and the lack of a strong jobs training effort in the U.S. to reduce unemployment
03/15/2011
The lack of adequate funding and focus on jobs training in the U.S. to fill job vacancies and lower unemployment. This is becoming increasingly important with the large number of people unemployed for long periods.
Linked Articles
U.S. Faces Uphill Battle in Retraining the Jobless
Wall Street Journal 07/31/2012
Many Workers Seen Lacking Skills for New JobsWall Street Journal 03/15/2011
Dow 36,000 and the serious dent in 401 (K) accounts in the U.S.
02/19/2011
How theories such as Glassman's about increasing gains on the stock market wiped out large portons of 401 (K) accounts in the U.S. Glassman explains why he was wrong and advises caution.
Linked Articles
Retiring Boomers Find 401(k) Plans Fall Short
Wall Street Journal 02/19/2011
Why I Was Wrong About 'Dow 36,000'Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
Dim outlook for Rebalancing the World Economy
01/20/2011
The widening U.S. trade deficit with China in 2011 and no evidence of a shift to domestic consumption in the Chinese economy make it increasingly unlikely that there will be a rebalancing in the world economy.
Linked Articles
No Appreciation for the Rising Yuan
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2011
Don't Bank on China 'Rebalancing'Wall Street Journal 01/20/2011
Increasing use of temporary workers in Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Greece- the consequences for young people
01/01/2011
Linked Articles
Frenzy Over Teaching Test Points to Italyâs Woes
New York Times 12/24/2012
Lack of Jobs in Southern Europe Frustrates the YoungNew York Times 01/01/2011
New York Mayor Bloomberg's call for an up or down vote on the Bowles Simpson plan in the U.S. Congress
11/15/2010
Bloomberg says the political class in the U.S. has promised a free lunch or something for nothing for too long. His two step plan to put the U.S. on the path to economic recovery includes the passage of Bowles Simpson deficit reduction plan and the step of letting the Bush tax cuts for all income groups expire.
Linked Articles
Federal Budgets and Class Warfare
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012
Left, Right and Wrong on TaxesNew York Times 11/15/2010
Stiglitz and Krugman point to the dangers in the Cameron-Osborne austerity measures in Britain
10/20/2010
Jospeh Stiglitz writing in the Guardian in 2010, at the time of the first Osborne Budget, said it was a huge gamble that the private secotr would pick up enough to make up for the impact of the budget cuts. Lower growth would mean lower tax revenues and deficit reduction targets would be missed. Krugman points out that the 490,000 job losses planned through attrition under the Osborne plan is similiar to 3 million in job losses in the U.S., a huge risk for the British economy.
Linked Articles
Britain Details Radical Spending Cuts, Citing Debt
New York Times 10/20/2010
British Fashion VictimsNew York Times 10/21/2010
The growth compact for Europe: increasing German wages to benefit German workers and increase imports from other eurozone countries
08/17/2010
German workers exercized a decade of wage restraint under the Hartz reforms. This has led to a large increase in the sector of lower paid workers. Polls show 4 out of 5 workers feel they have not benefitted from the growth in the economy in Germany. Higher German wages coupled with wage restraint in France, Spain, Italy and other eurozone countries would help increase imports into Germany from other eurozone coutnries. This would help rebalance the eurozone economies.
Linked Articles
Germany's Inflated Fear of Inflation
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2012
German Workers' Wages Belie Country's ReboundWall Street Journal 08/17/2010
The yuan and China's competitiveness in international trade in 2012-2013
06/21/2011
Even with a gradual appreciation of the yuan China continues to maintain its competitive position in international trade with productivity gains offfsetting the small appreciation and a smaller increase in prices of Chinese products. This could mean the U.S. and Eurozone countries will continue to run trade deficits with China in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2012
No Appreciation for the Rising YuanWall Street Journal 06/21/2011
OPEC disagreement on setting production quotas in June 2011
06/08/2011
Saudis argued in favor of increasing production to meet rising demand. Iran, Venezuela and other countries were opposed. The result was that no agreement was reached. The spare capacity of Iran and other countries opposed to increasing production is small. Analysts expect the Saudis to increase production unilaterally.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/09/2011
OPEC Keeps Lid on Oil Production TargetsNew York Times 06/08/2011
Contrasting approaches of Germany and France after the Fukushima nuclear plant disaster in Japan
05/11/2011
Linked Articles
Panel Urges Germany to Close Nuclear Plants by 2021
New York Times 05/11/2011
France's Election Heats Up over Nuclear PowerBusinessWeek 12/01/2011
How Apple's supplier for iPads, iPhones and iPods is coping with demands for better wages and working conditions
05/05/2011
How Foxconn is adapting to the changes by increasing wages in Shenzen, increasing automation, and shifting plants to lower wage regions in the interior of China, and to Brazil.
Linked Articles
Foxconn to Raise Salaries for Workers by Up to 25%
New York Times 02/18/2012
Foxconn: How to Beat the High Cost of Happy WorkersBusinessWeek 05/05/2011
India's central bank, the Reserve Bank of India's efforts to control inflation in 2010-2011
05/04/2011
The RBI made a a series of rate increases to control inflation.
Linked Articles
India's Inflation Is a Lesson for Fast-Growing Economies
Wall Street Journal 09/12/2011
India Lifts Benchmark Rates as Prices ClimbWall Street Journal 05/04/2011
Apple's low tax rate of 9.4% on global profits
03/24/2011
Companies ranging from Apple and Google to GE pay low tax rates. The New York Times reports that corporate share of U.S. tax receipts dropped from 30% in the 1950's to 6.6% in 2009. This has a serious impact on states and local governments and the federal government as they cut essential services and education to balance their budgets or lower deficits.
Linked Articles
Apple's Tax Strategy Aims at Low-Tax States and Nations
New York Times 04/28/2012
G.E.'s Strategies Let It Avoid Taxes AltogetherNew York Times 03/24/2011
Lower economic growth in the U.S. and Europe from oil price increases in 2012
03/01/2011
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Oil's Rise Threatens Economic GrowthWall Street Journal 03/01/2011
Angela Merkel's experience with the reunification of East and West Germany and her views of the eurozone crisis
01/30/2011
The perceptions of the eurozone crisis of ordinary Germans and of former East German Angela Merkel are colored by the period of reunification of the two Germany's. This was paid for with a"solidarity surcharge" tax paid by Germans amounting to $1.7 trillion and led in its early stages to 4 million unemployed in the eastern part and 20% unemployment. It took over a decade for East Germany to build new modernized industries in the larger cities of the east, but still leaves the rural parts of former East Germany in a neglected state as young peoplemoved out. During this period industry in the west also regained lost global competitiveness, especially in industries such as automobiles and advanced machinery, using wage restraint agreements with unions and increases in productivity. Germans see the need for eurozone countries in the southern part of Europe needing to make similiar sacrifices and see the tax evasion in Italy and Greece as unacceptable. The real estate bubble, the lack of transparency for banks bad loans, and out of control regional spending in Spain is also seen in a similiar light. Greece is seen as the most egregious offendor because of the bad financial accounting that grossly understated the extent of the bad loans. Less publicized in Germany is the role played in the bad loans through poor lending practices of German and French banks and that as experts have pointed out Germany was to some extent bailing out German banks when it was bailing out Greece- till German banks reduced their exposure to Greece in 2011.
Linked Articles
In former East Germany, anxious residents resent paying for Europe’s problems - The Washington Post
Washington Post 06/21/2012
Merkel's Defense of Euro Forged in East GermanyNew York Times 01/30/2011
The case for increasing the minimum wage (4) Galbraith and "The Spirit Level"
01/15/2011
Linked Articles
Inequality: The rich and the rest
Economist 01/15/2011
Tom Keene Talks to James K. GalbraithBusinessWeek 11/23/2011
New York Mayor Bloomberg calls for letting the Bush tax cuts expire for all income groups to address the U.S. deficit
12/16/2010
Bloomberg tells Republicans and Democrats that promoting the idea of a free lunch or getting something for nothing is delusional. He points to the road for U.S. economic recovery based on this step combined with an up or down vote on the Simpson Bowles plan in Congress.
Linked Articles
Federal Budgets and Class Warfare
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012
Washington Taxes Own CredibilityWall Street Journal 12/16/2010
Criticism and reservations about the Fed's second round of quantitative easing.
10/25/2010
The likelihood that the US Federal Reserve's move to buy an estimated $750 billion of Treasury bonds will be ineffective in the absence ofiscal policy options.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/26/2010
Our Fiscal Policy ParadoxWall Street Journal 10/25/2010
The U.S. Federal Reserve's increased purchase of Treasury debt with QE1 and QE2 and only slight increase in economic growth in the U.S.
10/07/2010
IHS Global Insight, Macroeconomic Advisors, and Moodys Analytics models showing insignificant impact on U.S. from QE1, QE2 efforts. Nigel Gault, IHS Global Insight's model showing only a 0.1% increase in U.S. growth rate from $500 billion of purchases by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Linked Articles
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
Fed’s $2 Trillion May Buy Little Improvement in JobsBusinessWeek 10/07/2010
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