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Traders at JP Morgan Chase bank's Chief Investment Office- were they hedging risk or simply making wild bets and taking purely speculative positions
04/10/2012
As speculative positions these were trades that were massive bets on money loaned out by depositors. The CIO manages $350 billion in assets.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/20/2012
Making Waves Against 'Whale'Wall Street Journal 04/10/2012
The U.S. Labor Department jobs and unemployment report for March 2012 and U.S. Federal Reserve policy
04/05/2012
Linked Articles
An Easier Jobs Report for the Fed
Wall Street Journal 04/07/2012
Not Enough InflationNew York Times 04/05/2012
The absence of solutions to the underlying problem of increasing U.S. health care costs in fiscal cliff deficit negotiations
04/03/2012
Without a new approach to increasing health care costs, especially considering the demographic changes in the U.S. with more people on Medicare in future years, the problems of defunding other areas such as education, R&D, and infrastructure, to fund these increases is likely to continue. Estimates show that the 50 million Americans enrolled in Medicare in 2012 will grow to 80 million by 2030, according to the Medicare program actuaries. Demographic changes as the baby boom generation ages mean more Americans relying on Medicare and Medicaid. With continually increasing health care costs from costly technologies, increasing of diabetes, asthma and other diseases, pricing in the medical industry, and some fraud costs, this is a toxic mix that will lead to to a situation where one of three dollars in spending get swallowed up here.
Linked Articles
Beneath Budget Battle, a Health-Spending Juggernaut
Wall Street Journal 12/17/2012
What to Do on the Day After ObamaCareWall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Something for nothing- the political class vs. renewal of the U.S. economy
03/29/2012
New York Mayor Bloomberg, and an editorial in the Washington Post after the Supreme Court hearings on the health care mandate and Medicaid expansion, describe the challenge facing America. The political class in the U.S. is quite content with promising something for nothing, which Bloomberg calls delusional.
Linked Articles
The Supreme Court’s civics lesson - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/30/2012
Federal Budgets and Class WarfareWall Street Journal 03/29/2012
Two different pictures of the American consumer- real spending up 2.3% in the 1st quarter 2012 and yet a thin cushion of reserves say researchers
03/29/2012
Lower utility bills from lower natural gas prices and the offset from higher fuel efficiency of newer automobiles help push consumer spending slightly higher in the face of gasoline at average $3.92 per gallon in April 2012. Yet the cushion for American consumers remains weak say researchers at Stanford and the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2012
How to Build Buzz for Bud: More Alcohol, Lime-a-RitaWall Street Journal 03/29/2012
The U.S. Supreme Court hearings on the Obama 2010 U.S. health care law and the Medicaid issue
03/29/2012
Linked Articles
Justices Question Extent of Federal Power
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012
A Constitutional AwakeningWall Street Journal 03/29/2012
Deutsche Bank's hit to its image in Germany with legal settlements and ongoing investigations 2009-2013
03/21/2012
The criminal investigation into alleged tax fraud in trading of carbon emissions certificates, the raid at Deutsche Bank's Frankfurt headquarters in Dec. 2012, and arrest of some senior executives, continues problems with the bank's image in Germany since the 2008 financial crisis. Deutsche Bank's was highly leveraged during the 2008 financial crisis and is perceived as contributing to the crisis. Changing the culture at the bank is likely to take more than the introduction of the new co-CEO arrangement in mid 2012 with Anshu Jain and Jurgen Fitschen, say experts. Germany's judiciary was critical of Fitschen for not respecting the independence of the judiciary and understanding the separation of powers for a call he made protesting the raid in the investigation.
Linked Articles
Image Remake Suffers Hit at Deutsche Bank
Wall Street Journal 12/20/2012
Deutsche Bank Lists Litany of Legal RisksWall Street Journal 03/21/2012
Surging U.S. car sales 2013-2016- the impact of an aging automobile population, new technological features including fuel efficiency, lower gasoline prices, lower monthly payments and an improving job market
03/16/2012
Linked Articles
U.S. car sales hit record high in 2015 - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/06/2016
As Cars Are Kept Longer, 200,000 Is New 100,000New York Times 03/16/2012
The U.S. Federal Reserve's March 2012 U.S. bank stress tests and the questions about overoptimistic assumptions
03/14/2012
Experts question the the overoptimistic assumptions for losses on home equity lines of credit, second lien mortgages and legal settlements. The capital ratios for the banks shown under the stress tests of 3-4% indicate high levels of leveraging, one of the principal causes for the banking crisis of 2008-2009.
Linked Articles
Stressing the Bank 'Stress Tests'
Wall Street Journal 03/14/2012
Questions as Banks Increase DividendsNew York Times 03/14/2012
Greece's long delayed bond swap with European banks of March 9, 2012
03/09/2012
The bond swap of new bonds with long maturities reflecting a writedown of 53.5% for the old bonds with short maturities was finally achieved on March 9, 2012. By this time Greece's economy was shrinking badly and the new bonds were trading at levels that reflected the need for further writedowns only days after the deal. Prof. Cochrane at the University of Chicago and Prof. John Taylor at Stanford say French and German banks exaggerated the effects of contagion from the beginning to delay writedowns for as long as possible. The effects on the eurozone of the delays in tackling the problem early and decisively are negative or slowing growth and is likely to hurt the banks operating in that environment, raising questions about the wisdom of that strategy.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 03/09/2012
Greece Passes Key Debt TestWall Street Journal 03/09/2012
The dire need for a free trade agreement between India and Pakistan
03/01/2012
Trade between India and Pakistan was only $2.7 billion. This is smaller than India's trade with Sri Lanka. Michael Boskin, who was instrumental in setting up the North American Free Trade Agreement says trade models suggest that this should be around $50 billion, or 20 times larger, and would bring benefits in wages and economic conditions in the two countries.
Linked Articles
A Passage to India-Pakistan Peace
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2012
Pakistan to Ease India Trade LimitsWall Street Journal 03/01/2012
Greece and EU in 2015- (6) What went wrong? What errors were made by the IMF and Germany 2010-2012?
02/22/2012
Linked Articles
Policy âTroikaâ for Europe Financial Woes at Odds
New York Times 06/07/2013
The Tragic Greek SideshowWall Street Journal 02/22/2012
The IMF's view on austerity measures, the "German hypothesis," and the British economy
02/17/2012
The IMF's view is that it could take 5 years before the breakeven point on the effects of austerity measures is reached and it turns positive. The "German hypothesis" based on German experience as an exporting nation is that the benefits come sooner in the short term. For Britain, which is not an exporting nation like Germany, the benefits from exports are likely to be limited when the rest of Europe is'seeing declining or stagnant growth. The IMF view means Britain may be faced with the costs of the Cameron-Osborne austerity measures till 2016.
Linked Articles
Britain's Economy Contracts More Than Predicted
New York Times 03/28/2012
Austerity Debate a Matter of DegreeWall Street Journal 02/17/2012
Wide divergence in P/E ratios of France and Germany compared to the U.S. in March 2012
04/06/2012
The 10 year P/E ratios of France and Germany at 12 compared to the U.S.'s at 22 show a wide divergence in the P/E ratios. Analysts say this shows the U.S. equity market is overextended. One estimate shows a price valuation divergence of 10%, more than what is justified by "safety" and other concerns.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/07/2012
Job Growth Loses SteamWall Street Journal 04/06/2012
Risk management at Chase, UBS, other large banks, and "too big to fail"
04/05/2012
Linked Articles
Red Flags said to Go Unheeded at Chase
New York Times 05/14/2012
How Huge Banks Threaten the EconomyWall Street Journal 04/05/2012
Expert opinion and the behaviour of the U.S. stock market in 2009 to 2014- how the shift to a "more normalized growth environment" occurred faster than anticipated
04/02/2012
Expert opinion held that a more normalized growth environment would have to return before a recovery in the U.S. equity markets. This was expected to take a period beyond 2012-2013. The actual situation was a recovery in equity markets earlier than expected with support of $3 trillion in bond buying by the U.S. Fed, and similiar support provided in Europe by the ECB.
Linked Articles
Goldman Sachs: We Like Stocks, Just Not This Year
Wall Street Journal 04/02/2012
Lessons From the Bull MarketWall Street Journal 03/08/2014
U.S. Federal Reserve policies leading to boom and bust periods for the U.S. economy and the S&P near 1500 in March 2012
03/29/2012
During a 6 month period between October 2011 and March 2012 the S&P 500 moves from a low of 1037 on October 27, 2011, to 1420 in March 2012. This followed another round of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve following an earlier round in 2010.
Linked Articles
S.&P. 500 Dips After Fed Signals No New Stimulus
New York Times 04/04/2012
The Dangers of an Interventionist FedWall Street Journal 03/29/2012
Public opinion polls in June 2012 on the Obama U.S. health care law and the expected ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court
03/29/2012
Linked Articles
44 Percent of Americans Approve of Supreme Court in New Poll
New York Times 06/07/2012
Justices Question Extent of Federal PowerWall Street Journal 03/29/2012
The worsening education slowdown in the U.S. with the increase in student debt
03/22/2012
Linked Articles
Education Slowdown Threatens U.S.
Wall Street Journal 04/26/2012
Student-Loan Debt Tops $1 TrillionWall Street Journal 03/22/2012
India's oil imports from Iran and U.S. sanctions
03/20/2012
Linked Articles
U.S. Presses India On Iran Oil Buys
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2012
U.S. Exempts Japan and 10 Others From Iran Oil SanctionsNew York Times 03/20/2012
The March 2012 U.S. Federal Reserve U.S. bank stress tests and the continuing problem of highly leveraged banks
03/14/2012
Linked Articles
Stressing the Bank 'Stress Tests'
Wall Street Journal 03/14/2012
Stress Tests Buoy U.S. BanksWall Street Journal 03/14/2012
Problems of unemployment and part-time employment in the U.S. in the first half of 2012
03/12/2012
Linked Articles
It's Good Work if You Can Get It—and Especially if You Can Keep It
Wall Street Journal 07/07/2012
Piecing Together the Job-Picture PuzzleWall Street Journal 03/12/2012
John Cochrane on how to build a truly open competitive system of healthcare the day after Obama healthcare
03/05/2012
Cochrane points to regulations and laws that support high prices of medical carein the U.S., by reducing competition and restricting supply of doctors and suppliers of medical care. He says the mandate most likely would not even be necessary under such a system because the costs of healthcare in the U.S. would be so much lower.
Linked Articles
What to Do on the Day After ObamaCare
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Why an MRI costs $1,080 in America and $280 in France - The Washington PostWashington Post 03/05/2012
Michael Boskin's call for a free trade agreement between India and Pakistan and the current state of trade
03/01/2012
The trade between India and Pakistan was about $2.7 billion in 2011 between neighbors India and Pakistan compared to trade of about $60 billion between India and Pakistan.
Linked Articles
Pakistan to Ease India Trade Limits
Wall Street Journal 03/01/2012
A Passage to India-Pakistan PeaceWall Street Journal 04/16/2012
Greece and EU in 2015- (4) How are the structural issues such as tax evasion in Greece being tackled, after Monti's effort to tackle this in Italy in 2012?
02/18/2012
Surprisingly the Syriza government in 6 months in office did not come up with a plan to implement for tax evasion. This was a major issue for the IMF and in Greece's interest, even though it was going contrary to long standing practice in Greece as it was in Italy. Estimates of lost revenue are about $11 billion each year for tax evasion. By comparison the IMF payment due was less than $2 billion on June 30, 2015. Sustainable long term finances make this a major issue in Greece's own interest. Greece has an aging population and the number of retirees are growing in relation to young working people making this an important issue for stable finances under any administration, and regardless of the euro.
Linked Articles
How Greek tax evasion sunk the global economy
Washington Post 07/10/2012
A Hollow Target for Greek DebtWall Street Journal 02/18/2012
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