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How OPEC and Shale Have Squeezed Out Volatility in the Oil Market
Keywords: Opec, U.S. Shale Oil, Shale, Oil Prices 2018,
Lower volatility in oil prices as a result of a new stream of shale oil supplies at competitive prices is good for oil producers and for consumers. This report in the WSJ shows that volatility and swings in oil prices have gone down with the ability of shale producers to respond to price signals or geopolitical situations and increase supplies. Shale producers can increase supplies in months compared to the years it would take for oil producers in offshore drilling.
The new technologies in shale rigs have tripled production since 2011 for the same number of rigs operating in the U.S. Permian Basin from West Texas to New Mexico. The core producers can now supply and be profitable at $40 a barrel.
Supply cuts from OPEC and Russia as currently the policy of both countries mean inventories do not rise too high. And geopolitical problems such as Yemeni attacks on Saudi oil facilities, the reinstated sanctions on Iran by the Trump administration that reduce oil supplies, Venezuela's problems, can be met by increased supplies from the U.S. shale industry in a short time to prevent inventories from dropping too much.
Shale oil and U.S. /North American oil supplies
06/16/2011
Grouped Articles
How North Dakota Became Saudi Arabia
Wall Street Journal 10/01/2011
Global Oil Glut Sends Prices Plunging
Wall Street Journal 10/15/2014
The Oil Price Swoon Won’t Stop the Shale Boom
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2014
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
U.S. shale oil production and the oil price decline in 2014-2015
10/23/2014
Grouped Articles
The Oil Price Swoon Won’t Stop the Shale Boom
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2014
Refining Saudi Arabia’s Oil Strategy
Wall Street Journal 11/03/2014
Oil Prices Slip Further After IEA Report
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014
How Crude Oil’s Global Collapse Unfolded
Wall Street Journal 12/14/2014
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015
Oil’s Fall Continues Into 2015, and Stock Markets Shudder
New York Times 01/05/2015
Saudi price strategy in 2015 and U.S. shale oil drillers
01/10/2015
Grouped Articles
Saudi Arabia’s Cure for Shale Could Entail Shock Therapy
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2015
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Oil-Drop Pain Spreads to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Behemoth
Wall Street Journal 02/20/2015
Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015
The Economist and WSJ on shale oil, the Saudis and oil prices in 2015 and beyond
01/13/2015
The Economist points out that shale oil production technology is at the early stages with production costs likely to come down from an average of $57 a barrel. With the relatively small costs to start drilling in shale deposits and extensive new shale deposits in the U.S. and other parts of the world, shale is likely to remain a factor in oil production and prices for a long time. Any impact of Saudi oil price cuts on shale oil production is likely to be temporary, as new advances in the technology and efficiency will make shale oil a serious source of oil supplies. Already some efficient shale oil producers have costs below $35 a barrel in the U.S., according to the CEO of CSX Railroad. CSX has dropped the fuel surcharge to improve the competitiveness of shale transported by rail from the Bakken shale region in N. Dakota.
Grouped Articles
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Exxon Mobil: Shale to the Chief
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2015
U.S. Producers Ready New Oil Wave
Wall Street Journal 03/14/2015
Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015
Stable oil prices and low volatility in 2018- the result of U.S. shale oil supply stream and OPEC/Russia cuts
06/01/2018
This low volatility in oil prices is good for both producers and consumers, and shale oil from U.S. is a big part of this.
Linked Articles
How OPEC and Shale Have Squeezed Out Volatility in the Oil Market
WSJ 06/01/2018
The New Tech That Terrifies OPEC
WSJ 06/01/2018
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