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The New Tech That Terrifies OPEC
Keywords: Opec, U.S. Shale, U.S. Oil,
Technology is reshaping the world of oil by 2018. The U.S. Permian Basin stretching from West Texas to New Mexico now produces more oil than the UAE and is likely to soon surpass Iran- production is at 3.1 million barrels a a day. There are as many rigs as in 2011 yet the production has tripled because of the use of high tech rigs that can move quickly to new locations over wide areas and with tech that can see hundreds of feet into the rock. By 2019 the U.S. will surpass Russia as the world's largest producer of oil.
The drop in oil prices to about $40 a barrel in recent years is a result of Saudi efforts to block shale oil development by lowering prices. This has not worked. Initially some high cost producers exited the industry and the shale industry suffered. Over time the new technologies spurred by lower oil prices have led to the anticipated drop in cost. Shale oil can now be produced by core producers at $40 a barrel and still be profitable according to this WSJ report. All Middle Eastern countries cannot meet budget needs at $40 a barrel. In 2018 oil prices increased back up to $77 a barrel. In the next wave of declining prices the shale industry is better positioned than the OPEC countries.
How U.S. shale oil companies have weathered the slump in oil prices by 2016 and are snapping back
09/27/2016
Grouped Articles
Two Years Into Oil Slump, U.S. Shale Firms Are Ready to Pump More
WSJ 09/27/2016
How American Shale Drillers Flipped OPEC’s Script
WSJ 05/24/2017
U.S. Oil Exports Double, Reshaping Vast Global Markets
WSJ 06/07/2017
Effort to Crush Shale Producers Only Made Them Stronger
WSJ 06/09/2017
The New Tech That Terrifies OPEC
WSJ 06/01/2018
Saudis Struggle to Share Pain of Pumping Less Oil
WSJ 11/30/2018
Saudi price strategy in 2015 and U.S. shale oil drillers
01/10/2015
Grouped Articles
Saudi Arabia’s Cure for Shale Could Entail Shock Therapy
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2015
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Oil-Drop Pain Spreads to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Behemoth
Wall Street Journal 02/20/2015
Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015
The Economist and WSJ on shale oil, the Saudis and oil prices in 2015 and beyond
01/13/2015
The Economist points out that shale oil production technology is at the early stages with production costs likely to come down from an average of $57 a barrel. With the relatively small costs to start drilling in shale deposits and extensive new shale deposits in the U.S. and other parts of the world, shale is likely to remain a factor in oil production and prices for a long time. Any impact of Saudi oil price cuts on shale oil production is likely to be temporary, as new advances in the technology and efficiency will make shale oil a serious source of oil supplies. Already some efficient shale oil producers have costs below $35 a barrel in the U.S., according to the CEO of CSX Railroad. CSX has dropped the fuel surcharge to improve the competitiveness of shale transported by rail from the Bakken shale region in N. Dakota.
Grouped Articles
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Exxon Mobil: Shale to the Chief
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2015
U.S. Producers Ready New Oil Wave
Wall Street Journal 03/14/2015
Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015
U.S. shale oil production and the oil price decline in 2014-2015
10/23/2014
Grouped Articles
The Oil Price Swoon Won’t Stop the Shale Boom
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2014
Refining Saudi Arabia’s Oil Strategy
Wall Street Journal 11/03/2014
Oil Prices Slip Further After IEA Report
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014
How Crude Oil’s Global Collapse Unfolded
Wall Street Journal 12/14/2014
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015
Oil’s Fall Continues Into 2015, and Stock Markets Shudder
New York Times 01/05/2015
Shale oil and U.S. /North American oil supplies
06/16/2011
Grouped Articles
How North Dakota Became Saudi Arabia
Wall Street Journal 10/01/2011
Global Oil Glut Sends Prices Plunging
Wall Street Journal 10/15/2014
The Oil Price Swoon Won’t Stop the Shale Boom
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2014
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
Stable oil prices and low volatility in 2018- the result of U.S. shale oil supply stream and OPEC/Russia cuts
06/01/2018
This low volatility in oil prices is good for both producers and consumers, and shale oil from U.S. is a big part of this.
Linked Articles
How OPEC and Shale Have Squeezed Out Volatility in the Oil Market
WSJ 06/01/2018
The New Tech That Terrifies OPEC
WSJ 06/01/2018
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