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Merkel Reelection Chances Remain Good Despite Poor Results - SPIEGEL ONLINE

SPIEGEL ONLINE Original article ›
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Roland Nelles gives 6 reasons why chancellor Merkel is likely to run for chancellor in 2017 and do well. Nelles says the alternative is a Greens, Left party, SPD coalition as in Berlin. But the rest of Germany is too conservative and the very idea of that coalition could bring conservatives together behind Merkel, including the CSU. It would give CDU voters second thoughts about switching to the anti-immigrant AfD party. Also important he says is that the immediacy of the refugee issue could fade as the German government better handles the refugee situation, including security, housing and integration. And as the agreement with Turkey is holding for controlling flow of refugees and turning them back. Also compared to SPD Merkel is still 8-10 points ahead in polls today says Nelles, so that there are still many Merkel supporters. In addition to what Nelles says, Strack in DW.com points out how Merkel's openness even showing emotions sometimes, about how the refugee crisis caught her and the German government unprepared, could help her in coming months.


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Some say if prime minister Orban of Hungary had not acted the way he did, the German government would have had more time to consider the situation. As it happened the German government and chancellor Merkel had to decide in a few hours. If Budapest, Berlin and other EU nations had communicated better the situation could have been handled in a better way instead of the sudden unplanned movement of refugees into Germany and Austria.

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