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Critics Decry Risks Posed by Link Between China's Banks and Bonds

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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Risks to China's banking system from the bond market in China. China's bond market has grown rapidly to 25.5 trillion yuan or $4.1 trillion yuan, especialy in the period following the stimulus. But it is not similiar to bond markets in developed countries, the U.S., Japan and France. It has a patchwork of regulators, is closed to foreign investors, and does not offer protections to investors. It also lacks an effective ratings system. Most bonds are held and traded by the banks, which concentrates the risks in the banking system. In developed countries the risks are spread out among investors. Bond markets offer the advantage of reducing dependence on banks for lending but with banks holding most of the bonds in China, including that of local governments, the risks if bond issuers default are concentrated in the banking system.

Junk bonds issued by China's housing developers in 2013-2014 and the higher risks to foreign investors

09/21/2011

The yields on these bonds have declined from 11-12% in 2012 to 7-8% in 2013. Investors risk losing everything as the bonds are issued by foreign subsidiaries and are not backed by the housing developer's assets in China. Creditors and banks in China are the first to get their money back in a bankruptcy as in the case of the bankruptcy of Suntech Power, while foreign bondholders risk complete losses. Developers in China are increasing issuance of junk bonds as there is limited access to other sources of financing.

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