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GDP Grows Too Slowly to Fill Jobs Gap
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The US economy grew at 2% in the third quarter 2010, compared to 1.7% in second quarter 2010. Unemployment remains at 9.6%, and the growth did not generate hiring. Much of the growth came from business building inventories, exports grew at 5%, imports rose 17%. Residential construction plunged, state and local government spending contracted as it did for 6 of the last 8 quarters. This increases concerns about the economy.
Growing Risks for the U.S. Economy in 2010-2012.
01/04/2010
Risks of another hit from losses on home equity loans to bank balance sheets in latter part of 2010. The situation with local and state governments in the USA cutting back significantly. The situation in Europe and an overheating Chinese economy.
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The Home-Equity Hurt Ahead for Banks
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Don't Rule Out a Double Dip Recession
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Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
BusinessWeek 06/03/2010
Wall Street Journal 06/12/2010
Why high unemployment in the U.S. is expected for 2010-2014
06/06/2009
Structural problems like a mismatch of skills between maufacturing and construction sectors worst hit since 2008 and growing sectors like healthcare is one problem. Geographic factors and difficulty selling homes in states like Michigan is another. The tighter credit from a return of banking sector losses from bad home equity loans that is expected in late 2010 will keep the recovery from taking hold keeping unemployment high. The economic uncertainty following repeated budget battles between political parties also affects business investment.
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90 Million Americans Not Working
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2013
Hiring Slowdown Blurs Growth View
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
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New York Times 04/05/2012
Hiring Is Strong and Jobless Rate Declines to 6.1%
New York Times 07/03/2014
Robert Gordon and other experts on the economic growth prospects for 2010 and into 2011.
04/30/2010
Gordon sees a weakening in growth from the 3.24% growth in 1st quarter 2010 (BEA numbers) as exports are not holding up and state and local government spending is deteriorating rapidly. The inventory change numbers which were signifcant this quarter as businesses replaced equipment and IT, will be winding down in size.
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At Least 50 of Cityâs Senior Centers Expected to Close to Save Money
New York Times 04/30/2010
Business Spending Propels Recovery
Wall Street Journal 05/01/2010
Guest Contribution: Gordon Outlines Pessimist, Optimist Takes on GDP
Wall Street Journal 04/30/2010
Economists React: GDP Indicates Road Ahead Still Bumpy
Wall Street Journal 04/30/2010
Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
BusinessWeek 06/03/2010
Wall Street Journal 06/12/2010
Analysis by The Economist and other expert opinion in 2010 of the economic prospects for Europe and the U.S.
01/11/2010
The Economist looks at the near term trends- unemployment not down as much in Britain in August and consumer spending holding up in Britain- as evidence a recovery is looming. And it cites the Suppy Managment Index up slightly in the US. Most other experts see a difficult situation in 2011 as the stimulus fades and local governments cut back- economists such as Stiglitz, Shiller, Krugman, Feldstein and others, and businessmen like Malone.
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Brazil's north-east: Catching up in a hurry
Economist 05/21/2011
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The world economy: The odd decouple
Economist 09/04/2010
The U.S. Economy: Stuck in Neutral
BusinessWeek 10/14/2010
BusinessWeek 10/14/2010
America's economy: Not by monetary policy alone
Economist 10/28/2010
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