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The Economist looks at the near term trends- unemployment not down as much in Britain in August and consumer spending holding up in Britain- as evidence a recovery is looming. And it cites the Suppy Managment Index up slightly in the US. Most other experts see a difficult situation in 2011 as the stimulus fades and local governments cut back- economists such as Stiglitz, Shiller, Krugman, Feldstein and others, and businessmen like Malone.
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