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Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Harvard labor economist Lawrence Katz's solutions to the job crises and high unemployment in the U.S.
09/06/2011
Katz suggest a number of steps including a subsidy for companies creating new jobs. A form of this subsidy is used in Germany with the "kurzarbeit" program which preserves jobs in a downturn. Katz reminds us that there are three job crises facing America- long term unemployed not reflected in government unemployment figures, effects of foreclosures and debt, and the impact of automation with lower job creation in manufacturing. A sustained andmultipronged approach over a number of years is needed and no single panacea or misguided optimism will work.
Linked Articles
The Next First (and Only) 100 Days
New York Times 12/10/2011
Help Displaced WorkersNew York Times 09/06/2011
How the U.S. debt and deficit problems emerged- turning a surplus in one decade into rising deficts in the next
08/07/2011
Linked Articles
Deficit Is Again Set to Top $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2012
Running in the red: How the U.S., on the road to surplus, detoured to massive debt - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/07/2011
As Republican leaders shift strategy to allow debt limit increases in 2014 - (1) the Tea party position was not what it was thought to be
08/01/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Backs Off Fight on Debt Limit
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2014
That Monolithic Tea Party Just Wasnât ThereNew York Times 08/01/2011
Italy's banks and debt sustainability
07/13/2011
Linked Articles
Italy Seeks to Spur Growth, Narrowing Gap With Peers
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
Spanish Banks More Vulnerable Than Italy'sWall Street Journal 07/13/2011
The failure of the Obama administration in 2011 to maintain a budget process that is open and transparent, with serious public scrutiny
07/09/2011
Linked Articles
Budget Shell Games Are Contrary to Law
Wall Street Journal 07/14/2011
The Elmendorf Rule - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/09/2011
Krauthammer is critical of the Obama White House for using debt reduction to advance its 2012 election campaign
07/07/2011
Krauthammer points to the lack of initiative by the Obama administration in debt reduction.
Linked Articles
The Elmendorf Rule - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/09/2011
Negotiating the Debt Ceiling on a Knife's EdgeNew York Times 07/07/2011
The Wall Street Journal calls the June 2011 E.U. plan for Greece "the French deception," and the Economist says it is doomed to failure
06/30/2011
Doubling the interest rate on loans owed by Greece to French and German banks is called "the French deception" by the Journal . The Economist sees the sharp spending cuts and tax increases having enough detrimental impact on economic growth to make the debt load larger than before.
Linked Articles
Greece and the euro: The abuses of austerity
Economist 07/02/2011
The French DeceptionWall Street Journal 06/30/2011
Airbus leads in orders over Boeing in 2011
06/17/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 01/17/2012
Airbus Orders Pressure BoeingWall Street Journal 06/17/2011
The health of the U.S. economy June 2011- overleveraging of financial sector, "too big to fail," and Fed's new capital reserve requirements
06/04/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/04/2011
Dimon in Rough Patch With the FedWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
The uncertain road ahead for U.S. automakers GM and Ford in 2012
05/05/2011
Linked Articles
Credit for Detroit's Auto Recovery
Wall Street Journal 07/13/2012
GM Roars, but Road Ahead UncertainWall Street Journal 05/05/2011
Pfizer and Merck organize R&D using international innovation hubs- 2011-2015
05/02/2011
Efforts to tap into the latest external science at universities and research centers outside company labs is leading pharmaceutical companies to try a different approach to R&D. Pfizer closed its R&D facility in Sandwich, England and opened one in Cambridge. It opened hubs in Boston, La Jolla. Merck has followed this approach with a decision to setup innovaton hubs in Boston, San Francisco, London and Shanghai.
Linked Articles
Merck Plans Radical Overhaul of Drug R&D Unit
Wall Street Journal 12/28/2013
Life Beyond Lipitor for Pfizer ChiefWall Street Journal 05/02/2011
Apple's low tax rate of 9.4% on global profits
03/24/2011
Companies ranging from Apple and Google to GE pay low tax rates. The New York Times reports that corporate share of U.S. tax receipts dropped from 30% in the 1950's to 6.6% in 2009. This has a serious impact on states and local governments and the federal government as they cut essential services and education to balance their budgets or lower deficits.
Linked Articles
Apple's Tax Strategy Aims at Low-Tax States and Nations
New York Times 04/28/2012
G.E.'s Strategies Let It Avoid Taxes AltogetherNew York Times 03/24/2011
S. Korea and unsustainable levels of household debt to disposable income of 155% in 2012-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/09/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Mexico's failures in introducing competition in the economy and addressing problems in education that restrict its growth potential 2011-2015
08/27/2011
The need for competition and other private sector involvement in sectors such as oil, telecom, airlines and other sectors, and the reform of labor laws that reduce GDP growth by an estimated 2.5%. The Mexican educational system suffers from a lack of trained teachers and change is blocked by a powerful union leading to poorly educated workers from the public educational system.
Linked Articles
Mexico’s economy: Making the desert bloom
Economist 08/27/2011
Mexico’s failing schools spell defeat for ruling party - The Washington PostWashington Post 06/09/2012
The policy an solutions for the U.S. and Europe offered by Pearlstein (on the economy), Krauthammer (for deficit reduction), and Nye (for defense).
08/04/2011
The sensible solutions for attacking problems the U.S. and Europe face on the economy, debt and deficit reduction, and on defense needs. Nye uses ideas from U.S. President Eisenhower, Krauthammer uses efficiency anf fairness and ideas of the Bowles-Simpson Commission , and Pearlstein uses a grounded approach. Nye in the New York Times, Pearlstein and Krauthammer in the Washington Post, on August 5, 2011, in the midst of considerable uncertainty and anxiety about the future.
Linked Articles
The Right Way to Trim Military Spending
New York Times 08/04/2011
Steven Pearlstein: The global economy comes to the end of its string - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/05/2011
The politicizing of the 2011 budget process- Obama, Cantor and McConnell (1)
07/14/2011
The negotiations taking place for the U.S. budget behind closed doors is against the spirit of the Budget Act of 1974, says a former CBO assistant general counsel and Stanford professor of constitutional law. The law requires transparency and accountability and sets forth a process for public scrutiny of the budget in Congressional hearings. This has not happened and in its place both political parties are seeing this as a start to the 2012 presidential election, with the public sorely left out of the process.
Linked Articles
Budget Shell Games Are Contrary to Law
Wall Street Journal 07/14/2011
Top Democrats laud GOP debt-ceiling move - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/14/2011
The closed door budget negotiations between Republicans Boehner and Cantor and the Obama White House
07/12/2011
The closed door negotiating sessions puts the budget process outside the public scrutiny that is required by law. The lack of accountability and transparency. The use of the budget and competing claims to turn this into the first phase of the 2012 U.S. presidential election.
Linked Articles
Budget Shell Games Are Contrary to Law
Wall Street Journal 07/14/2011
Cantor emerges as key player in debt negotiations - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/12/2011
Deficit reduction talks between the Obama White House and Republicans in July 2011.
07/07/2011
The talks are part of an effort to reach agreement on raising the debt ceiling by an August 2011 deadline. Skepticism among Democrats about the talks and the deep cuts proposed that could lead to a setback for the economy.
Linked Articles
Negotiating the Debt Ceiling on a Knife's Edge
New York Times 07/07/2011
What Obama WantsNew York Times 07/07/2011
The June 2011 European Union plan for Greece faces strong criticism for being unworkable
07/01/2011
This plans doubles the interest rate for Greece debt owed to French and German banks under a French banking proposal. Sharp spending cuts and tax increases face opposition inside Greece and their negative impact on economic growth may leave Greece with a much larger debt to GDP ratio in 2011 than in 2010.
Linked Articles
Greece and the euro: The abuses of austerity
Economist 07/02/2011
Move Buys Time for Greece, But Growing Debt LoomsWall Street Journal 07/01/2011
The slow economic growth in Italy and the impact on Italy's debt sustainability
06/24/2011
Linked Articles
Italy Seeks to Spur Growth, Narrowing Gap With Peers
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
Italy Needs a Growth RenaissanceWall Street Journal 06/24/2011
Impact of a slowdown in China and a global slowdown on different countries
06/08/2011
A slowdown in China will affect commodity exporting countries such as Australia, Brazil and Chile, and exporters of machinery such as Germany and Japan. A global economic slowdown will make it harder for troubled eurozone countries such as Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain to reduce their debt burden. It will affect U.S. exports which are increasing in 2011, and are the one bright spot for a economic recovery.
Linked Articles
What a China Slowdown Means for the World
Wall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Euro-Zone Cuts Face World of PainWall Street Journal 06/08/2011
Basic misunderstanding- (2) one point in the Israel-U.S. relationship on May 20, 2011, with president Obama's call for a return to pre-1967 borders
05/20/2011
When Ambassador Oren says Obama abandoned Israel he refers to moments such as the one on May 20, 2011, when Obama called for Israel to return to pre-1067 borders. At its shortest point the distance to Tel Aviv from the West Bank then was 9 miles, leading Israel says to "repeated wars," and not really a border for peace.
Linked Articles
In meeting with Obama, Netanyahu rules out Israeli withdrawal to 1967 borders - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/20/2011
The 1967 Line of FireWall Street Journal 05/21/2011
Austerity measures and economic contraction in Portugal 2010-2013- the terms of the 2011 EU-IMF loan agreement with Portugal
05/05/2011
The forecasts of higher unemployment reaching 17% and economic contraction of 7% for 2011-2013 are widely diverging from the original estimates in 2011 by EU and IMF officials. This increases the urgency for reappraisal of the terms of the original agreement including borrowing rates, giving more time to achieve deficit targets, and other action to put Portugal back on the road to growth in 2014.
Linked Articles
Portugal to Seek New Bailout Terms
Wall Street Journal 03/04/2013
Government Sees Deep Recession Ahead for PortugalNew York Times 05/05/2011
How U.S. student debt of over $1 trillion in 2011 can delay a recovery in the U.S. housing market and have serious implications for the U.S. economy
04/11/2011
Linked Articles
Student-Loan Debt Tops $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 03/22/2012
College Loans Weigh Heavier on GraduatesNew York Times 04/11/2011
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