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How U.S. economic growth and interest rates can play out in ways contrary to what is expected for 2017-2019
12/14/2016
Linked Articles
Will the Trump Era Bring Higher Interest Rates? Don’t Count On It
The New York Times 12/14/2016
A Trump Economic Boom? The Fed May Stand in the WayThe New York Times 12/13/2016
Meet the real Hillary Clinton
10/28/2016
Linked Articles
The New York Times 10/11/2016
The Road Trip That Changed Hillary Clinton’s LifeThe New York Times 10/28/2016
Educated Chinese women with jobs and careers- changing social and economic landscape in China
09/26/2016
The profound changes underway in China in the notions of marraige and family as a new generation of women are better educated and look for independent lives with their own careers. Over half of all undergraduates are women in China, and half of all graduate students pursuing master's degrees are women, showing how much China has changed in three decades.
Linked Articles
Marriage Falls in China, Transforming Finances and Families
The New York Times 09/12/2016
China Shrugs Off the Ties That BindThe New York Times 09/22/2016
The 1976 Montreal Olympics, the 2004 Athens Olympics, the 2014 Sochi Olympics and the Rio Olympics- decades long debt hangovers and costs growing from the $1+ billion in Montreal to $50+ billion in Sochi
08/24/2016
Developing and developed countries alike have seen the cost of the Olympics as a huge burden. Many countries or cities that committed to hosting the Olympic games during boom years were facing economic hard times by the time of the games. Corruption and mismanagement of public funds, overspending and cost overruns added to the problems. Citizens uproar caused cities such as Boston and Oslo to withdraw bids for the Olympics. The Olympics appears to be a costly way to show off a country, and raises questions about better allocation of funds in other directions, especially when upward mobility is a problem for the middle and working class, countries have other infrastructure needs, and neglected basic needs in education, healthcare, public services.
Linked Articles
The 40-year hangover: how the 1976 Olympics nearly broke Montreal
The Guardian 07/06/2016
Rio Games Highlight Problems With the Olympic ModelThe New York Times 08/23/2016
Why initiating Brexit by invoking the Lisbon Treaty's Article 50 could go into 2017, or even past 2020 into new general elections- (1) the pro stay vote in Ireland and Scotland
08/16/2016
Theresa May, Britain's prime minister, is deeply committed to the idea of the union of England with Scotland and Ireland. Invoking Article 50 of Lisbon Treaty, a step necessary for Brexit, would also lead to Scotland's ruling Scottish National Party to initiate plans for a second referendum for Scottish independence, as Scotland votd to remain in the European Union. The issue of Ireland and Northern Ireland's vote to remain in the EU would also lead to serious repercussions. In short it will be hard to separate the leave vote in England from the stay vote in Scotland and Ireland, as it will be difficult for most British people to imagine a England without a British identity. If the referendum had asked the second question "Do you still vote leave if this means the end of Britain or the United Kingdom?" the vote could have turned out differently for nationalist voters.
Linked Articles
Wait and see: Theresa May is in no hurry on Brexit | Europe | DW.COM | 15.08.2016
DW.COM 08/15/2016
No return to border controls in Northern Ireland, UK PM May says | News | DW.COM | 25.07.2016DW.COM 07/25/2016
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton following the party conventions by August 2016
08/02/2016
Linked Articles
The Donald J. Trump Referendum
WSJ 08/01/2016
Donald Trump’s Challenge: Passing the Plausibility TestWSJ 08/01/2016
The Bernie Sanders campaign and its effect of increasing negative perceptions of Hillary Clinton
04/20/2016
Linked Articles
Presidential Front-Runners Get Breathing Room After New York Vote
Wall Street Journal 04/20/2016
Hillary Clinton won New York, but her image is underwater - The Washington PostWashington Post 04/20/2016
Brazil's economic and political crisis in 2016 following corruption scandals, the collapse of commodity prices, and a budget deficit of 10.8%
04/19/2016
Linked Articles
Dilma Rousseff looks increasingly likely to be impeached
Economist 04/19/2016
Impeachment Won’t Save BrazilWall Street Journal 04/19/2016
The presentation of a well meaning Trump in a 2016 general election against Hillary Clinton
03/08/2016
Linked Articles
Suffering From Trumphobia? Get Over It
Wall Street Journal 03/10/2016
Only Trump Can Trump TrumpNew York Times 03/08/2016
The U.S. manufacturing sector and the Trans Pacific Trade Agreement- U.S. manufacturing job losses and why leading candidates Clinton, Sanders, Trump and Cruz oppose it
01/25/2016
Linked Articles
Trans-Pacific Trade Pact Would Lift U.S. Incomes, but Not Jobs Overall, Study Says
New York Times 01/25/2016
What’s Our Duty to the People Globalization Leaves Behind?New York Times 01/26/2016
A Republican narrative for the 2016 U.S. presidential election from Karl Rove and a different narrative from Stanley Greenberg for the Democrats
11/20/2015
The Republican narrative finds a parallel in the 2016 U.S. presidential election which led to the election of president McKinley and bringing Teddy Roosevelt as running mate for the 1900 election. It focusses on economic recovery under the gold standard and U.S. asserting itself on behalf of Cuban independence in the uprising against Spanish rule. The Democratic narrative looks at immigration, women, minorities and the surge in inequality to see continuing shift to Democrats, accepting some voter disillusionment with both parties showing up in reduced voter participation.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/20/2015
Terrorism Becomes a Campaign IssueWall Street Journal 11/20/2015
Former German chancellor Helmut Schmidt who led Germany during its postwar economic transformation in the 1970's and setup the groundwork for the Euro
11/10/2015
Linked Articles
Helmut Schmidt dies; West German chancellor was transformative leader - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/11/2015
Helmut Schmidt, Assertive West German Chancellor, Dies at 96New York Times 11/10/2015
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Jeb Bush's Tax Plan that spells out details, and takes a shot at 4% growth for restoring lost social and economic mobility in the U.S.
09/09/2015
The efforts to wrestle with the deficit in 2011-2012 led to a vigorous debate on changing the tax code, yet political leaders failed to take up new ideas or spell out the details. Jeb Bush, with advisors Martin Feldstein and Kevin Warsh, takes the unconventional approach of putting in the details, and taking up ideas such as the idea of limiting itemized deductions to 2% of adjusted gross income proposed by Feldstein in that debate. On the $2.1 trillion in income held overseas by U.S. companies Bush proposes 8.75% tax paid over 10 years. On business investment he proposes capital investment be allowed to be deducted in full immediately. It is based on the idea that business investment can drive a vigorous recovery, that workers bear 50% of the burden of higer taxes through sluggish wage growth. It levels the playing field for debt and equity capital, removing "carried interest" provision, as a lesson from the excessive leverage taken by financial institutions in the past.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/10/2015
Jeb Bush Tax Plan Makes Forays Into PopulismNew York Times 09/09/2015
Goldman Sachs and the Trump administration- Steven Mnuchin at Treasury and Gary Cohen at the National Economic Council
12/09/2016
Bank stocks are up with the election of Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs share price up 34%, with the push back against regulation of banks following the 2008 financial crisis.
Linked Articles
Goldman Sachs No. 2 Seen as a Top Economic Adviser to Trump
The New York Times 12/09/2016
Trump Plans to Name Steven Mnuchin as Treasury SecretaryWSJ 11/29/2016
Sharp contrast between the Trump and Clinton economic plans- Trump's negative in the long run, Clinton's positive in the long run
10/18/2016
Economic experts look at the Trump and Clinton economic plans, Trump's based on extreme borrowing and Clinton's careful about deficits. Trump's plan aggravates the wide disparities in income in America after the tech booms and Clinton's reduces these disparities. Clinton's preserves global trading system while addressing the problems, Trump's moves in the direction of protectionism and high tariffs with potential unintended consequences for the global economy.
Linked Articles
Donald Trump’s Economic Plan, Up Close, Doesn’t Add Up
WSJ 10/18/2016
Donald Trump’s Tax Plan Would Boost Economy in Short Run but Not Long Term, Analysis FindsWSJ 10/17/2016
Donald Trump's plans for large scale deportation even as a Gallup poll shows only 15% opposing a pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants in the U.S.
09/01/2016
The wide divergence between public opinion in the U.S. and the Trump stand for large scale deportation. A Gallup poll on July 1, 2016, shows 84% of the U.S. adults favoring a pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants in the U.S., only 15% opposing.
Linked Articles
Explaining What Donald Trump Wants to Do Now on Immigration
The New York Times 09/01/2016
Donald Trump’s big immigration speech proves it: There is no ‘new’ Donald TrumpWashington Post 09/14/2016
Why initiating Brexit by invoking the Lisbon Treaty's Article 50 could go into 2017, or even past 2020 into new general elections- (2) the British economy and the Bank of England's stimulus effort to avoid a recession
08/16/2016
The stimulus action of the Bank of England in August 2016 was designed to avert a recession in Britain. The Bank of England estimates that even with the stimulus the Brexit move will lead to a 1% drop in economic growth every year for 3 years as compared to staying in the European Union. The British public is weary of the austerity programs for 7 years under finance minister Osborne. if higher growth under Brexit turns out to be an illusion as the Bank of England forecasts show, there would be reason for much reflection on the meaning of the vote- seeing it as a rejection of the Cameron-Osborne government in favor of a government more in tune with the interests of working class people under Theresa May.
Linked Articles
Wait and see: Theresa May is in no hurry on Brexit | Europe | DW.COM | 15.08.2016
DW.COM 08/15/2016
Bank of England unveils four-pronged stimulus package in bid to avoid Brexit recessionThe Telegraph 08/04/2016
Donald Trump's economic advisory team- executives from the finance industry and the real estate industry with strong connections to Wall Street
08/05/2016
Linked Articles
Trump Announces Economic Policy Advisory Team
WSJ 08/05/2016
Donald Trump’s new team of billionaire advisers could threaten his populist messageWashington Post 08/05/2016
Hillary Clinton and women voters in the U.S. presidential election of 2016
07/26/2016
Linked Articles
Washington Post 04/11/2016
Hillary Clinton’s Historic Moment Divides Generations of WomenWSJ 07/26/2016
The Trump campaign organizational and advertising effort financing falling way behind Hillary Clinton in April 2016, and behind Mitt Romney at this stage in April 2016
04/20/2016
Linked Articles
Trump’s Campaign Spending on the Rise
Wall Street Journal 04/22/2016
Group Backing Hillary Clinton Begins Reserving $125 Million in Ads for the FallNew York Times 04/20/2016
The 1912 U.S. presidential election with Woodrow Wilson, Teddy Roosevelt, Taft, and the 2016 election with Hillary Clinton and Cruz or Trump
04/18/2016
Linked Articles
Both Parties’ Presidential Front-Runners Increasingly Unpopular
Wall Street Journal 04/18/2016
What Clinton and Sanders owe progressives - The Washington PostWashington Post 04/18/2016
Spain's economic recovery and the effects of the inconclusive Dec. 2015 parliamentary elections
03/07/2016
Spain's economic recovery continues as businesses continue to invest following the inconclusive Dec. 2015 parliamentary elections.
Linked Articles
Spain’s Political Deadlock Dents Economic Rebound
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2016
Spain’s Political Deadlock Dents Economic ReboundWall Street Journal 03/07/2016
An extended period of low oil prices expected in December 2015 as Saudis and other producers plan no changes to production
12/07/2015
Linked Articles
As Oil Keeps Falling, Nobody Is Blinking
Wall Street Journal 12/07/2015
Oil Prices Plunge 5% After OPEC Stands PatNew York Times 12/07/2015
The problems threatening the white working class in America and the rise of cultural illiberalism
11/12/2015
Experts point to the economic anxieties of the white working class in America, a broad group that has increasingly fallen behind as technology advances in the 21st century with globalization and mobile capital, causing serious social fissures in society. One of the dangers is to the ideas of liberal society itself with the rise of cultural illiberalism, such as that presented by the Trump candidacy for president in 2016, and Marie Le Pen's National Front in France, as liberal elites in centre right and centre left lose their hold on working class voters.
Linked Articles
The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015
The missing working class - The Washington PostWashington Post 11/12/2015
Jeremy Corbyn and the proposal in 2015 for a National Investment Bank in Britain to make investments in education, health services and infrastructure
09/11/2015
A new leader of the Labor Party in Britain proposes a National Investment Bank. Some of the funding would come from an estimated 20 billion pounds of tax debt, 20 billion pounds in tax evasion, and 80 billion pounds in tax avoidance, according to experts in the Labor Party. Corbyn says he would reverse the introduction of fees for university education by previous Labor governments and has publicly apologized for the fees. The fees plan would cost about 7.1 billion pounds and be paid for by a 2.5% increase in the corporate tax, slower deficit reduction or increase in the insurance tax, says Corbyn. Germany continues to provide free university education.
Linked Articles
Leftist Jeremy Corbyn elected leader of Britain’s Labour Party - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/12/2015
Jeremy Corbyn, Unlikely Front-Runner for Labour Leader, Poised to Win Party VoteNew York Times 09/11/2015
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