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The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
Keywords:
Tags: Current Focus, United States,
Galston focusses attention on the major problem facing democracies in Europe and the U.S.- that of providing decent paying jobs and improved economic prospects for lower and middle income households. He cites the surveys from the Pew Research Report and the U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics showing how middle income households median net income remains stuck at levels of 1997, and lower income households at levels of 1996. The median net worth of American households adjusted for inflation presents an alarming picture of being at $96,000 in 1983 and $98,000 in 2013 for middle income families, and being at the level of $12,000 for lower income families the level of 1975. Most of the new jobs as much as 95% are being created in the low wage service sector and the BLS statistics show the future looking much the same- with huge numbers of low wage jobs, fewer decent manufacturing jobs because of automation and jobs shifts to low cost locations overseas, remaining manufacturing jobs in the U.S shrinking by another 800,000 to 7% of the workforce by 2025. The result is the alarming rise of populist politicians like Trump in the U.S., Le Pen in France , and populist politicians in Hungary and Poland. Cultural liberals in the Democratic Party and the Republican establishment are both threatened by the rise of cultural illiberalism, xenophobia, and nationalism, as economic anxiety increases, and fears of terrorism and immigrants add to this anxiety. Progressive tendencies in the Republican party since the days of Theodore Roosevelt and of professional elites in the Democratic Party could become endangered if no serious effort is made to come up with solutions to the problems these trends present. The disconnect between the concerns of the working and middle class and the professional elites as the gap widens and the social compact in America and Europe breaks apart, means a new mindset will be required in America and Europe to deal with this.
Rebublican 2016 presidential candidate Donald Trump and the core support from the white working class, many 55-64 years without a high school education
11/18/2015
A PRRI and Brookings Institution survey shows 55% of Donald Trump's support comes from the white working class who see immigrants in a negative light and are critical of large corporate interests. This group also sees political correctness as being a problem.
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Trump was sharply critical of the 2011 Alabama immigration law designed to promote self-deportation in calling it "crazy" and "maniacal." What changed in 2015 when Trump called for large scale deportation of illegal immigrants during the presidential campign is not clear. Two other developments happened since the Alabama law- the U.S. economy had largely recovered from the worst effects of the recession and immigration from Mexico was down to low levels, a trickle not seen in a long time as a result of the recession. A third development was that President Obama had pursued a policy of aggressive deportation in his years in office followed by an executive order on immigration late in the second term granting illegal immigrants a pathway to citizenship.
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Alabama tried a Donald Trump-style immigration law. It failed in a big way. - The Washington Post
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The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
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A political bomb is about to blow up in the Democrats’ faces - The Washington Post
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A debate on upward economic mobility after wage stagnation under Republican and Democratic presidents 2002-2015
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Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush and Rick Perry present different proposals to address the lack of upward mobility in the U.S. since 2002, under Republican and Democratic administrations. This could be the reason for the popularity of fringe candidates in both parties Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump, with increasing public discontent with mainstream politicians.
Grouped Articles
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O'Malley, Sanders and Clinton emphasize this issue in the debate.
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The CNN Democratic debate transcript, annotated - The Washington Post
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Cherlin, a professor at John Hopkins University, who has written about the decline of the working class family, once portrayed in television shows such as "All in the Family," says the term was seen as derogatory and avoided in recent times. Archie Bunker in that show was seen as bigoted and behind the times. He points out that Obama in his speeches has used middle class frequently but rarely used the term "working class." Yet he points out the Americans with a diploma at most but no bachelors degree, comprise 54 percent of the American people, and are quite different in lifestyle and educational opportunities than the middle class better educated Americans. They also face a different set of problems and obstacles to upward mobility and social mobility. It is right to revive the use of the term "working class" says Cherlin, so that one can wrap ones hands around the problem facing so many Americans. A combination of forces have trampled the future prospects of these Americans, many arising out of forces beyond the control of policy such as automation and global manufacturing, and some such as the problems created by the 2008 financial crisis which were the result of bad decisions by business have only worsened the situation.
Grouped Articles
The missing working class - The Washington Post
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Donald Trump Sets Off a Furor With Call to Register Muslims in the U.S.
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Along with Trump’s rhetoric, the stakes for 2016 have risen dramatically - The Washington Post
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Social and economic mobility for the middle class emerging as the central issue in the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign
09/13/2015
Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton in the Demcratic Party, and Jeb Bush in the Republican Party, are making social and economic mobility for the middle and working class a central issue in the 2016 presidential campaign. In Britain Corbyn's election to the leadership of the Labor Party with all other candidates doing poorly, is also creating a focus on economic issues and better access to education and jobs.
Grouped Articles
Sanders, Corbyn and the coming debate inside the Democratic Party - The Washington Post
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New Leader Turns British Labour Party to the Left
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America’s white working class is a dying breed - The Washington Post
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The Bernie Sanders U.S. presidential campaign of 2016 and Howard Dean's campaign in 2004- upward mobility for working class Americans the issue in 2016, the Iraq war in 2004
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Howard Dean was governor of Vermont and Sanders was Mayor of Burlington, Vermont. Both candidates draw white, educated, affluent voters of the Democratic Party. But the situation is different in 2014, with the Democratic Party now 40% female, and many ethnic minorities represented in the party. Dean's major issue was his opposition to the Iraq war. Sanders says his positions are more class based and calls for a revolution to give working class Americans a chance for upward mobility.
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Majority of public school students in the U.S. in 2013 from poor backgrounds, a study by the Southern Educational Foundation shows
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We are there sooner than expected say experts, as the trends playing out over several decades in the U.S. change what it is like to be growing up in America- from opportunity and upward mobility to stagnation.
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Majority of U.S. public school students are in poverty - The Washington Post
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Meyerson, Cherlin and Dionne in the Washington Post on the severe problems facing America's white working class by 2015
11/12/2015
Meyerson, Cherlin and Dionne describes the severe problems facing the white working class in America by 2015, as incomes and educational opportunities decline, and social structures disintegrate. Upward and social mobility in the U.S. is severely affected by this situation.
Grouped Articles
America’s white working class is a dying breed - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/12/2015
The missing working class - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/12/2015
Both parties face a blue-collar imperative - The Washington Post
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German lessons on power-sharing - The Washington Post
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Populism on the Rise in GOP Race for President
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The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
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Millenials in the U.S., lack of upward mobility, and the new political awareness in 2015-2016
10/28/2015
Grouped Articles
Why millennials love Bernie Sanders, and why that may not be enough - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/28/2015
The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015
It’s the American Dream, Stupid
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2016
A Republican Cure for Liberal Failures on Poverty
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2016
It’s the Middle Class, Hillary
Wall Street Journal 02/02/2016
Fury Shakes the Iowa Caucuses, Boosting Ted Cruz While Slowing Hillary Clinton
New York Times 02/02/2016
The rise of cultural illiberalism in Europe and America seriously threatens the post war society based on liberal ideas that was setup since 1945
12/16/2015
Linked Articles
Economist 12/17/2015
The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015
The problems threatening the white working class in America and the rise of cultural illiberalism
11/12/2015
Experts point to the economic anxieties of the white working class in America, a broad group that has increasingly fallen behind as technology advances in the 21st century with globalization and mobile capital, causing serious social fissures in society. One of the dangers is to the ideas of liberal society itself with the rise of cultural illiberalism, such as that presented by the Trump candidacy for president in 2016, and Marie Le Pen's National Front in France, as liberal elites in centre right and centre left lose their hold on working class voters.
Linked Articles
The Bleak Reality Driving Trump’s Rise
Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015
The missing working class - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/12/2015
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