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Imbalances in the global economy that will take time to correct- the situation in the U.S., Europe and emerging markets in 2012-2013
05/05/2008
The perception that "this time is different" is a typical behavioural reaction in history to to financial crises studied by Rogoff and Reinhart. Economic weakness is part of the mechanism for correcting global imbalances which happens over a number of years.
Linked Articles
Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2008
Boom, Bust. Repeat.Wall Street Journal 10/09/2009
The steep decline in Cherry's car sales in China and the precarious condition of the Chinese consumer- 2008
04/24/2008
The precarious condition of the Chinese consumer and first time buyer of cars, with no safety net in the economy for health care or unemployment. The severe downturn for Cherry and why GM cannot look to China for any kind of relief.
Linked Articles
With First Car, a New Life in China
New York Times 04/24/2008
China's Car Makers Seek Different Help: Lower Sales TaxesWall Street Journal 11/20/2008
Greenspan and his philosophy that let him take such an ambitious experiment in unrestrained markets.
04/08/2008
Grennspan took huge risks in his ambitious experiment with the American economy of a philosophy that simply said allow markets to operate unrestrained and trust in humans benevolent intentions and enlightened self interest. Goodman and Ip document the details. Did he believe that there was something miraculous that would prevent things from imploding, something inherently sacred about an idea of markets, when plain common sense like Buffets said that the arithmetic did not add up and in the end thats all that counts common sense.
Linked Articles
Taking Hard New Look at a Greenspan Legacy
New York Times 10/09/2008
His Legacy Tarnished, Greenspan Goes on DefensiveWall Street Journal 04/08/2008
Rising price of products Made in China on American retail shelves.
01/31/2008
China's demand for energy is not going to go down that much so expect continued pressure on oil prices and on inflation from China in addition to the increase of about 10% in prices of Chinese goods on retail shelves in the USA in 2008 as wages and raw material costs rise.
Linked Articles
China’s Inflation Hits American Price Tags
New York Times 02/01/2008
China's Impact On Oil Prices: Not So MuchWall Street Journal 01/31/2008
The decline of Motorola's mobile phone business.
01/24/2008
Nokia and Motorola how one followed up and came up with a viable strategy and the other just let things slip after the Razr a one time hit with no followup and no clear direction. Nokia set the direction and tone in the emerging markets and took the lead.
Linked Articles
Nokia Earnings Jump on Emerging Markets
Wall Street Journal 01/25/2008
Without a Hit Razr Sequel, Profit Drops for MotorolaNew York Times 01/24/2008
IBM's aggressive internationalization.
01/15/2008
The aggressive internationalization plan of IBM. How its being executed and the financial results that show this in 4th quarter 2008 with 10% gain in revenues and 24% in profits.
Linked Articles
Foreign Sales Help I.B.M. to a Strong Quarter
New York Times 01/15/2008
IBM Sales, Profit Give Tech a Healthier LookWall Street Journal 01/15/2008
Sharp and precipitious decline in auto sales in Japan and Germany in the global financial crisis of 2008
01/08/2008
Auto sales in Japan go back to the sales level of 1972, and auto sales in Germany decline to the level in 1990. Shows the maturing western markets and how this is affecting automakers strategy, and the shift to focus more on developing countries where the market is growing rapidly but which present challenges like the need to develop lower priced cars.
Linked Articles
German Car Demand Hits New Low as Fuel Costs Rise
Wall Street Journal 01/08/2008
Auto Sales in Japan Drop to a 35-Year LowWall Street Journal 01/08/2008
The military and civilian leadership in Pakistan for six decades since independence and the U.S. involvement in S. Asia
01/06/2008
Militancy shifts to a younger generation of leaders in the border provinces of Pakistan, Baluchistan, Northwest Frontier province and Waziristan. Taliban was a creation of the Pakistan army to create strategic depth for Pakistan by getting a Islami militant run organization take over Afghanistan after the Russians left. It has turned into a complete mess as that militancy has spread to Pakistan's border provinces.
Linked Articles
New York Times 01/06/2008
Next-Gen TalibanNew York Times 01/06/2008
Saudi Arabia's $600 billion investment plan in aluminum, chemicals, and new cities.
12/12/2007
What does the investment binge in Saudi Arabia mean in terms of how well its been thought through, the productive use of the money, will it create enough jobs, what it means for oil prices.
Linked Articles
The Construction Site Called Saudi Arabia
New York Times 01/20/2008
Saudi Industrial Drive Strains Oil-Export RoleWall Street Journal 12/12/2007
Petrobras and the discovery of the Tupi offshore oil field.
11/09/2007
Brazil's large oil find in the deep waters 200 miles offshore in the Atlantic will make it an oil exporting nation.
Linked Articles
Hot Prospect for Oil’s Big League
New York Times 01/11/2008
Brazil Discovers Large Oil Reserve In Deep Waters of AtlanticWall Street Journal 11/09/2007
The weakness of the dollar in 2007.
11/01/2007
The decline in the value of the dollar and how it affects the Persian Gulf countries which have pegged their currency to the US dollar.
Linked Articles
Falling Dollar, Inflation Feed Dubai Strife
Wall Street Journal 11/01/2007
Losing faith in the greenbackEconomist 11/29/2007
Alberta tar sands projects are coming in at costs as high as twice the original estimate.
09/12/2007
A project by Petro-Canada came in at $4.8 billion, twice the original estimate. With costs rising and crude oil prices dropping below $50 a barrel, and viability of projects requiring price of $60, new projects may be cut.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/12/2007
The Costly Compromises of Oil From SandNew York Times 01/07/2009
Larger airlines adopt competitive methods.
11/16/2006
With competition from other airlines and rising oil prices Southwest takes another look at expansion plans.
Linked Articles
Economist 11/16/2006
Southwest Curbs Expansion PlansWall Street Journal 06/28/2007
BMW, Benz and luxury retailers Saks, Nordstrom face declining luxury consumption.
04/30/2008
Sales at luxury retailers full priced stores are flat or declining while their factory outlets are seeing increased sales. BMW and Mercedes are taking writedowns for the drop in the value of their secondhand leased cars in the USA. This reflects declining economic conditions in April 2008.
Linked Articles
Profit Hurt, BMW Diverts Cars From U.S.
Wall Street Journal 04/30/2008
Luxury Retailers Pin Hopes on OutletsWall Street Journal 04/30/2008
Strategies of newspaper media business as advertising revenues decline (1)- The New York Times and Le Monde
04/21/2008
Linked Articles
Finances Frail, Le Monde Contemplates the Unthinkable
New York Times 04/21/2008
Billionaire Reaches Deal On Funding For Times Co.Wall Street Journal 01/20/2009
As environmental concerns grow and the price of crude oil drops to $49 a barrel projects for tar sands in Alberta are being cut.
02/05/2008
Production from Alberta tar sands is running into problems from the environmental concerns to the falling price of crude oil.
Linked Articles
The Costly Compromises of Oil From Sand
New York Times 01/07/2009
Oil Sands Are Shifting in AlbertaWall Street Journal 02/05/2008
Sovereign investment funds of Russia and Norway
01/25/2008
Policies of the sovereign wealth funds of China and Russia as they look for the best way to run the funds.
Linked Articles
China Tries to Reassure U.S. About Its Investing Plans
New York Times 02/01/2008
Russia Government Fund Will Tread CarefullyWall Street Journal 01/25/2008
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01/23/2008
The EU has newbiofuels law that requires that a biofuel production and use reduce emissions by 35% to meet its standards, rapeseed oil at 37% passes and corn for ethanol as in the US at 22% fails.
Linked Articles
EU Is Planning Measures To Protect Biofuels Industry
Wall Street Journal 01/23/2008
U.S. Given Poor Marks on the EnvironmentNew York Times 01/23/2008
Toyota's plug in hybrid by 2010 and Nissan's electric cars by 2010
01/14/2008
Nissan wil have a mass market type electic car by 2010, and Toyota will have a plug in by 2010.
Linked Articles
Nissan Plans Electric Car in U.S. by ’10
New York Times 05/13/2008
Toyota Will Offer a Plug-In Hybrid by 2010New York Times 01/14/2008
The increase in temporary workers in the U.S. and Japan and the consequences in higher inequality and poverty.
01/07/2008
About one third of workers in Japan, and one fourth in the U.S., are temporary workers. The consequences for Japan include the effects of lower consumer spending in the economy reducing the growth rate.
Linked Articles
The Rise of the Permanent Temp Economy
New York Times 01/26/2013
Growing Reliance on Temps Holds Back Japan's ReboundWall Street Journal 01/07/2008
Reform at Pemex and opening up Mexico's oil industry to foreign investment held up for a decade and the cost to the Mexican economy
12/19/2007
Reforms at Pemex and opening up the oil industry to foreign investment were held up in the Calderon administration after repeated efforts by the PAN party government to get the PRI and PRD's support. The final changes to the bill to make it more attractive for foreign oil companies to compete with Pemex were pushed by PAN in alliance with the PRI Nieto administration in 2013. The cost to Mexico is a lost decade in oil exploration in deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and a steep decline in oil revenues as Mexico turned into a net energy importer in March 2013, according to the WSJ.
Linked Articles
Economist 12/19/2007
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy ImpasseWall Street Journal 12/12/2013
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11/20/2007
On the decline of the US dollar and how the countries of the Persian gulf are dealing with this issue.
Linked Articles
Economist 11/29/2007
Wealthy Nations In Gulf Rethink Peg to DollarWall Street Journal 11/20/2007
How the euro affects Airbus cost, pricing and revenues
11/09/2007
Linked Articles
EADS Posts $1 Billion Loss and Talks of More Job Cuts
New York Times 11/09/2007
Sarkozy: Euro Too StrongWall Street Journal 01/14/2011
Rapid cost increases for Canadian oil sands projects
09/12/2007
Petro -Canada faces risks in its oil sands project as project costs continue to rise as rapidly as oil prices, could end up 2-3 times the original estimate.
Linked Articles
Oil Sands Are Shifting in Alberta
Wall Street Journal 02/05/2008
Petro-Canada Faces ChallengeWall Street Journal 09/12/2007
The experience of Petrobras of Brazil and Mexico's Pemex compared.
08/30/2007
Transformation of state oil companies, Pemex and Petrobras. Struggling with the similar issues, President Calderon of Mexico takes them on over 10 years after President Cardozo faced them in Brazil in 1995.
Linked Articles
Economist 12/19/2007
How a Sleepy Oil Giant Became a World PlayerWall Street Journal 08/30/2007
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