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Te Capps and the Muirs in Boise, Idaho, and the national savings rate.
01/02/2009
How the Capps and the Muirs, two couples in their thirtes and forties and their families are scrimping and saving like older generations of Americans. The implications of this for the national savings rate which is forecast to reach 10% by Goldman Sachs in 2009. What this means for consumption spending according to Rodriguez, and why the economy may be setting up for a longer downturn approaching ten years.
Linked Articles
Hard-Hit Families Finally Start Saving, Aggravating Nation's Economic Woes
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2009
The Doomsayers Who Got It RightWall Street Journal 01/02/2009
Sales slowing, inventories piling up of electronics goods, and the Capps and Muirs of Boise, Idaho.
12/31/2008
The dramatic shift to a savings oriented and thrifty lifestyle reminiscent of the thirties and forties in some ways, is seen in the new lifestyles and spending habits of the Capps and Muirs in Boise, Idaho. With its high tech factories Boise has held up well in previous recessions. If things are changing this much in a place like Boise then its aserious sign of changes in the whole country. This is leading to buidup of inventories of cars, electronics goods, and other goods in retail stores. It has a serious global aspect as products made in China are affected, and products made elsewhere that go into these products are affected, and the equipment manufacturers in Germany for these products made in China are also affected.
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 12/31/2008
Hard-Hit Families Finally Start Saving, Aggravating Nation's Economic WoesWall Street Journal 01/06/2009
The ranks of the uninsured swell with the 533,000 layoffs in November,
12/06/2008
More people stuck with large medical bills or foregoing medical care for themselves and their families as they are laid off. And the ranks of the uninsured keep rising.
Linked Articles
For Workers, Medical Bills Add to Pain as Firms Fail
Wall Street Journal 12/06/2008
When a Job Disappears, So Does the Health CareNew York Times 12/07/2008
In the past decade China's consumption as percentage of GDP drops 10% to 37%, America's rise to 96%.
11/26/2008
This leads to the global imbalance in savings that London B-School's Prof. Portes complains about. Cross border flows fro, Asia to the West reach 3% of global GDP, pumping extra money into the US banking system, and the European banking system leading to bad lending and a consumption binge. The reluctance of China and the U.S. to change the staus quo till things simply collapsed.
Linked Articles
Imbalance in Nations' Savings Clouds Forecasts for Recovery
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2009
Global Economy: No Help from China's ConsumersBusinessWeek 11/26/2008
Another misstep by automakers management was the failure to win public support as they missed the changes coming over the country.
11/18/2008
The falling clout of the Detroit automakers as the nation changed and things changed but the automakers dug in their heels into the status quo.
Linked Articles
Clout Has Plunged for Automakers and Union, Too
New York Times 11/18/2008
Bridge Loan to NowhereWall Street Journal 12/06/2008
A hedge fund story of comeback from collapse- Citadel hedge fund and founder Ken Griffin in 2008 and in 2015
10/25/2008
Linked Articles
Citadel’s Ken Griffin Leaves 2008 Tumble Far Behind
Wall Street Journal 08/04/2015
Citadel Chief Denies Rumors of TroubleNew York Times 10/25/2008
Nobel Prize winer Vernon Smith likes the direct injection of capital into undercapitalized banks.
10/09/2008
Vernon Smith thinks Treasury has little experience with reverse auctions and they will be awfully hard to do. Direct injection of capital into banks is something Treasury has experience and has done recently in some bank failures such as WaMu takeover by Chase organized by FDIC and Treasury. The British rescue plan of Gordon Brown is to provide capital to the banks in return for equity stakes.
Linked Articles
Britain Takes a Different Route to Rescue Its Banks
New York Times 10/09/2008
There's No Easy Way Out of the BubbleWall Street Journal 10/09/2008
Homeowners facing foreclosure and the lack of meaningful help.
09/29/2008
A new York Times editorial the day after the Senate passes the Bailout Plan for $700 billion on October 1, 2008, describes the lack of meaningful help and the WSJ describes the language in the bill that refers to foreclosure and several studies.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/02/2008
Rescue Includes Steps to Help Borrowers Keep HomesWall Street Journal 09/29/2008
Friedman from the Gut and the Gut as one sees it in Egypt, Arab or Muslim capitals.
09/09/2008
A sociological and psychological perspective on why people believe what they believe because of their own personal experiences and their immediate surroundings. Why its weird but its real and one has to take this into account when appealing to people and why in this situation its gut and not logic or details that persuades.
Linked Articles
9/11 Rumors That Become Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 09/09/2008
From the GutNew York Times 09/10/2008
Gorbachev, Medvedev or Putin, and whats Russia's real thinking and priorities?
08/20/2008
Putin clearly has something personal that grates him about Sahkavili and this has been injected into already evident Russian sore feelings since the 1990's, so its hard to make out where Russia's real priorotoes lie with Europe or without. It still appears that after Georgia they are still firmly with economic integration with Europe.
Linked Articles
West Baffled by 2 Heads for Russian Government
New York Times 08/21/2008
Russia Never Wanted a WarNew York Times 08/20/2008
Putin and Sashkavili, two different men and their different backgrounds exacerbate the conflict in Georgia.
08/12/2008
Shows how the bold and impetuous Sashkavili could because of his relative youth and inexperience may have overreached in his efforts to integrate South Ossetia into Georgia.
Linked Articles
Putin Calls Shots to Salve Old Wounds
New York Times 08/12/2008
Rebuke of a President, in the Boom of ArtilleryNew York Times 08/12/2008
Bill Ford's committment to smaller cars and the ongoing shift across the spectrum with the Cruze at GM
07/31/2008
Bill Ford's interview with Bartiromo of CNBC and Business Week in which he outlines his struggle at Ford to focus managers on small cars and the new team of Ford, Mullaly and Farley that is focussing on small cars.
Linked Articles
Bill Ford on Tipping Points and Thinking Small
BusinessWeek 07/31/2008
GM plans $500M for 45-mpg small carDetroit News 08/22/2008
Roche's integration of Genentech into its operations.
07/24/2008
During the early stages of the acquisition of Genentech questions were raised whether the bigger Swiss compay would end up stifling the research culture at Gennetech and reaearch scientists woul leave. As it turned out few have left and Roche head Severin Schwan has committed Roche to focussing on research as ahuge opportunity for pharmaceuticals as he sees drugmaking still "so crude," and the opportunities vast with advances in biotechnology, diagnostics, and genomics.
Linked Articles
Economist 12/10/2009
Roche's Big Hurdle with GenentechBusinessWeek 07/24/2008
Money managers Grantham, Rodriguez and Scheiff fears about the economy and IMF Chief Economist Rajan's concern.
01/02/2009
Raghuram Rajan of the University of Chicago, told the 2005 annual Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers economists and finance professionals, that he thought the world had become much riskier with the changes in financial markets in the 18 year Greenspan tenure. He was received rather coldly by others, including former Treasury Secretary Summers. Concerns expressed by Grantham, Rodriguez and Scheiff about these and other problems became louder by the time of the Rajan paper at Jackson Hole.
Linked Articles
Mr. Rajan Was Unpopular (But Prescient) at Greenspan Party
Wall Street Journal 01/02/2009
The Doomsayers Who Got It RightWall Street Journal 01/02/2009
The paradox of low U.S. productivity growth holding back wages in 2015-2016 (1) - Apple Google, Facebook and low productivity improvement since 2005
12/31/2008
Linked Articles
Whatever Happened to Silicon Valley Innovation?
BusinessWeek 12/31/2008
The Big MehNew York Times 05/25/2015
With no safey net Chinese savings rate is high and the export model is entrenched pushing Chinese savings into financing American consumption.
11/26/2008
With the collapse of export markets in the U.S., China and the U.S. are now having to face up to the problems inherent in American dependence on Chinese products and Chinese savings to finance excessive consumption, and Chinese dependence on American export markets.
Linked Articles
Chinese Savings Helped Inflate American Bubble
New York Times 12/26/2008
Global Economy: No Help from China's ConsumersBusinessWeek 11/26/2008
The ports of Long Beach and Savannah tell the story of rapidly slowing imports and foreign trade- 2008-2009
11/19/2008
The ports of Savannah and Long Beach tell the story of rapidly slowing foreign trade and imports from China and Japan. Its a signal of an impending slowdown in the economies of China and Japan as their export driven economies slow down.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/19/2008
When the Downturn Sailed Into SavannahNew York Times 11/30/2008
GM and Ford spent $175 million lobbying in the last 10 years with focus on fighting fuel efficiency standards.
11/15/2008
A misstep that leads to falling behind the Europeans and the Japanese in innovating and investing early in the area of fuel efficiency.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/15/2008
Clout Has Plunged for Automakers and Union, TooNew York Times 11/18/2008
One of the Big Three may not survive.
10/14/2008
Talk of a possible merger between GM and Chrysler. Efforts by GM motivated by need for about $10 billion from external sources to make it through 2009. Chrysler has $11 billion in cash.
Linked Articles
Howes: One of Big 3 may not survive
Detroit News 10/14/2008
GM could use Chrysler's cashDetroit News 10/14/2008
The Uptick Rule and how it could have prevented the kind of shortselling that almost killed Morgan Stanley.
10/02/2008
Shortselling, the uptick rule and the collapse in share price at Morgan Stanley and later in November 2008 at Citigroup.
Linked Articles
NYSE Chief Leans Toward Uptick Rule
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2008
Anatomy of the Morgan Stanley PanicWall Street Journal 11/24/2008
Bob Woodward on decisionmaking in the Obama White House and the Bush White House
09/15/2008
In "The War Within" Woodward described how Bush persevered to get the job done right in Iraq. In "The Price of Politics," Woodward describes how Obama failed to use his presidential leadership and suthority to get all sides to reach an agreement. Bill Keller of the NYT says Obama failed to make the "unpleasant choices" a president has to make, including supporting the president's own Simpson-Bowles Commission on the U.S. deficit.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/15/2008
Notable & QuotableWall Street Journal 09/07/2012
Honda's focus on efficient driving through the decades.
08/26/2008
Honda's has not lost its focus as fashions change.
Linked Articles
Honda Stays True to Efficient Driving
New York Times 08/26/2008
Toyota delays new Prius plantDetroit News 12/16/2008
Did Putin overreact in Georgia 2008 and Ukraine 2014? Russia and the dangers to the Russian economy of not maintaining good relations with the West
08/13/2008
Russia tones down its overreaction as 66% of Russians polled in June say Russian forces should not enter Ukrainian terrritory. Putin and Russians in the administration policy making may have underestimated the reaction in the U.S. as reflected in this WSH editorial saying Americans should remember the words of Gen. Lucius Clay during the Berlin Blockade and the subsequent airlift. This could be why analysts in Russia now maintain that good relations with the West must be maintained, and entry of Russian forces into Ukraine would have disastrous consequences for Russia in terms of western sentiment and foreign investor sentiment. In such a situation Germany would be likely to support the stronger U.S. position seeing this in terms of the language used in theBerlin Airlift of 1948. For Germany and Russia this would be reversing the hard won gains of building relations from the time of Brandtand Kohl till today, fifty years of effort to build better relations and economic relationships- just too much for sober heads in Moscow Paris, and Berlin to accept, and closing another chapter in Russia's interactions with the West.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/13/2008
Seeing Cost of Saber Rattling in Ukraine, Putin Alters CourseNew York Times 07/11/2014
McCain and the Republican's views of Putin and their background which affects their views of Russia.
08/12/2008
McCain's remarks that when he looks into the Russian President's eyes he sees the letters K,G, B. Shows the differeing perceptions among the Republicans, as Bush's remark was that he could see the soul of Putin in his eyes.
Linked Articles
War Puts Focus on McCain’s Hard Line on Russia
New York Times 08/12/2008
Putin Calls Shots to Salve Old WoundsNew York Times 08/12/2008
Drug cartels emerging in Afghaistan.
07/27/2008
The UN OFfice of Drugs and Crime ses the growth of drug cartels in Afghaistan as 10,000 tons of drugs from the opium crop have been stockpiled inside Afghistan and are controlled by narco-gangs. This is estimated as 2 years of world demand. This as efforts to curb opium growing have reduced the land devoted to the crop by 22% and reduced the crop by 10%.
Linked Articles
U.N. Sees Afghan Drug Cartels Emerging
New York Times 09/02/2009
Is Afghanistan a Narco-State?New York Times 07/27/2008
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