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Decline in gold prices in 2013 with lower investor demand and decline in purchases by central banks of emerging market countries
06/14/2011
Demand from central banks is expected to decline by 34% in 2013, according to Reuters Thomson GFMS. Lower inflation and better returns in equity and bond markets is reducing demand from private investors.
Linked Articles
Gold Fades From Investment Picture
Wall Street Journal 10/29/2013
Investors Going for the Gold in China May Want to ReconsiderWall Street Journal 06/14/2011
Cramped housing space for average Shanghai residents as the property bubble puts homes out of reach
06/09/2011
China's government policy makers put a priority on controlling property prices in 2012-2013 and preserving gains made so far even if this means lowering growth. Hyper building in the last decade has not reduced the need for more housing space.
Linked Articles
In Shanghai, High Prices Keep Lid on Real-Estate Stimulus
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
The lack of any meaningful help to prevent foreclosures for homeowners who are unemployed.
06/04/2011
The adverse effects on housing, on banks holding second mortgages, and on the economic recovery in the U.S., of the lack of a plan and little effort by the Obama administration to help the unemployed facing foreclosure. Most of the programs to prevent foreclosure were designed at the time of the bailouts for subprime lending situations. Prof. Davis at the University of Wisconsin call it outrageous that less than $2 billion of the $45 billion allocated to help homeowners at the time of the bailouts had been spent by Treaury Department as of May 2011.
Linked Articles
Unemployment Strains Foreclosure Aid
New York Times 06/04/2011
Second-Mortgage MiseryWall Street Journal 06/07/2011
Continued weakness in housing in the U.S. in 2011
05/31/2011
Linked Articles
The Sickness Beneath the Slump - Economic View
New York Times 06/11/2011
Housing Prices, Still Falling, May Be Nearing BottomNew York Times 05/31/2011
Brazil's uneven economic development with growth focussed on export based mining and agriculture
05/21/2011
As the commodities boom fades Brazil's growth slows to 1% in 2012 after the rapid growth in the years under president Lula. Stiglitz and Sen pointed to this kind of uneven development with the neglect of education, healthcare and other public services. This is true also of economic development in China focussed on export industries, with the added cost of environmental degradation. Street protests in June 2013 in many Brazilian cities from Porto Alegre and Curitiba to Rio and Sao Paulo showed popular discontnet with the situation under president Rouseff.
Linked Articles
Brazil's north-east: Catching up in a hurry
Economist 05/21/2011
Anger Spills Onto Brazil's StreetsWall Street Journal 06/18/2013
U.S. House Speaker Boehner's Republican proposal in "fiscal cliff" deficit negotiations and the Feldstein proposal for 2% cap on deductions
05/04/2011
Linked Articles
Plan to Limit Tax Breaks Gets a Push From Boehner
Wall Street Journal 12/05/2012
Raise Taxes, but Not Tax RatesNew York Times 05/04/2011
Republicans, John Taylor, and a U.S. budget that is at about 20% of GDP
04/22/2011
John Taylor makes the arguments for a budget that is around 20% of GDP, which it was in 2007- before the financial crisis of 2008.
Linked Articles
GOP Hopefuls Betting Voters Want Deep Cuts
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2011
Obama's Permanent Spending BingeWall Street Journal 04/22/2011
The real estate bubble in Canada in 2012-2013
03/29/2011
Linked Articles
Canada Tightens Mortgage-Financing Rules
Wall Street Journal 06/22/2012
Housing Booms North of the BorderWall Street Journal 03/29/2011
Lower economic growth in the U.S. and Europe from oil price increases in 2012
03/01/2011
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Oil's Rise Threatens Economic GrowthWall Street Journal 03/01/2011
Saudi expert Karen Elliott House's thirty years of experience covering the Middle East tell us that the U.S. policy is sorely out of touch in the Middle East
02/15/2011
Elliott House is a former publisher of the Wall Street Journal and a Pulitzer prize winner for covering the Middle East. She sees the Saudi Arabian princes sorely out of touch with the ordinary Saudis and the young people and U.S. policy at an impasse. Rice says the policy of supporting autocracy only brings a false kind of stability. She sees Egypt, Tunisia and the rest of the Arab world and thinks it did not have to be this way.
Linked Articles
Condoleezza Rice - The future of a democratic Egypt
Washington Post 02/16/2011
From Tunis to Cairo to Riyadh?Wall Street Journal 02/15/2011
The Elop memo in 2011 and the sale of Nokia's mobile phone business to Microsoft in 2013- the startling change of fortunes for Nokia
02/09/2011
Nokia was a pioneer in the development of mobile phones in an earlier era when fixed lines were the norm. It dominated the mobile phone business in the period before 2009 for 2 decades before the coming of smartphones. The change in Nokia's market came quickly and suddenly with the advent of the iPhone and Nokia was unprepared for this development. This is a classic case of obsolesence and disruptions caused by innovation and new technologies. Other companies from the previous era before cloud computing and the internet, H-P, Oracle, IBM, and Microsoft, face the continuing challenge to adapt or lose to new competitors.
Linked Articles
Microsoft in $7 Billion Deal for Nokia Cellphone Business
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2013
Full Text: Nokia CEO Stephen Elop’s ‘Burning Platform’ MemoWall Street Journal 02/09/2011
Egypt's economic crisis and falling behind the modern world- the future and the road back to growth and opportunity
02/03/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 02/03/2011
Muslim Brotherhood Looks West in Bid to Revive Egyptian EconomyWall Street Journal 02/17/2012
Contrasts in the approaches of S. Korea in 1997 and the U.S. in 2008 to banking crises, and the hobbled U.S. economic recovery
01/06/2011
S. Korea in 1997 at the urging of Treasury Secretary Rubin took decisive step to unwind failed financial institutions. This in stark contrast to Treasury Secretary Geither, regulators and U.S. Fed officials actions in 2008 to merge troubled mortgage institutions such as Countrywide and Washington Mutual with Bank of America and JP Morgan Chase. In the process creating mega banks that are hard to manage and hard to run, and "too big to fail," according to former and current Fed governors Hoenig and Fisher. Prof. Cochrane of the University of Chicago says the U.S. Federal Reserve's new job as financial regulator after the 2008 financial crisis, is an impossible one.
Linked Articles
Red Flags said to Go Unheeded at Chase
New York Times 05/14/2012
South Korea Makes a Quick Economic RecoveryNew York Times 01/06/2011
China's Stimulus plans in 2012-2013 and the housing bubble
06/09/2011
Linked Articles
China’s stimulus policy means trouble down the road - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/31/2012
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
The weakness in housing, construction and consumer spending for the U.S. economy in 2011-2012
06/07/2011
Linked Articles
The Sickness Beneath the Slump - Economic View
New York Times 06/11/2011
Second-Mortgage MiseryWall Street Journal 06/07/2011
The health of the U.S. economy June 2011- housing market and construction
05/31/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/07/2011
Housing Prices, Still Falling, May Be Nearing BottomNew York Times 05/31/2011
Problems with China's statistics that understate the extent of the bubble in housing and other sectors
05/24/2011
The lack of reliable statistics in China and the tendency to understate the extent of the bubble effects in the economy will make it harder to to achieve a soft landing for the economy when the time comes.
Linked Articles
For Global Steel Industry, China Poses Guessing Game
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2011
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be PoppingWall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Austerity measures and economic contraction in Portugal 2010-2013- the terms of the 2011 EU-IMF loan agreement with Portugal
05/05/2011
The forecasts of higher unemployment reaching 17% and economic contraction of 7% for 2011-2013 are widely diverging from the original estimates in 2011 by EU and IMF officials. This increases the urgency for reappraisal of the terms of the original agreement including borrowing rates, giving more time to achieve deficit targets, and other action to put Portugal back on the road to growth in 2014.
Linked Articles
Portugal to Seek New Bailout Terms
Wall Street Journal 03/04/2013
Government Sees Deep Recession Ahead for PortugalNew York Times 05/05/2011
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Turkey (2)
04/25/2011
A sea of liquidity is undermining the economy in Turkey and Brazil.
Linked Articles
Free-Spending Turkey Hopes to Avoid a Fall
New York Times 04/25/2011
Turkish Leader Rides Spending Toward WinWall Street Journal 06/11/2011
How U.S. student debt of over $1 trillion in 2011 can delay a recovery in the U.S. housing market and have serious implications for the U.S. economy
04/11/2011
Linked Articles
Student-Loan Debt Tops $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 03/22/2012
College Loans Weigh Heavier on GraduatesNew York Times 04/11/2011
The mismatch in skills that will make it harder to bring down the unemployment rate in the U.S. in 2012-2013
03/15/2011
Labor Department and other information points to a serious skills crisis in the U.S. that will make it harder to tackle unemployment.The lack of emphasis on jobs training by the Obama administration is also making the situation harder to tackle.
Linked Articles
On Jobs, No Time for a Celebratory Beveridge
Wall Street Journal 04/11/2012
Many Workers Seen Lacking Skills for New JobsWall Street Journal 03/15/2011
Statistical problems with China's government statistics which understate the housing bubble and overstate the rate of growth in 2011-2013
02/17/2011
Problems with data from China's Bureau of Statistics which do not accurately reflect the economic conditions in China.
Linked Articles
Chinese Data Said to Be Manipulated, Understating Slowdown
New York Times 06/22/2012
China Scraps Property Data, Clouding ViewWall Street Journal 02/17/2011
Winding down U.S. housing agencies Fannie and Freddie- the U.S. Treasury report of 2011 (2)
02/12/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2011
Number of the Week: Government’s Overwhelming Role in MortgagesWall Street Journal 02/12/2011
Egypt's economic crisis and falling behind the modern world- how it happened
02/03/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 02/03/2011
In Egypt’s bread, signs of economic weakness - The Washington PostWashington Post 02/11/2012
Angela Merkel's experience with the reunification of East and West Germany and her views of the eurozone crisis
01/30/2011
The perceptions of the eurozone crisis of ordinary Germans and of former East German Angela Merkel are colored by the period of reunification of the two Germany's. This was paid for with a"solidarity surcharge" tax paid by Germans amounting to $1.7 trillion and led in its early stages to 4 million unemployed in the eastern part and 20% unemployment. It took over a decade for East Germany to build new modernized industries in the larger cities of the east, but still leaves the rural parts of former East Germany in a neglected state as young peoplemoved out. During this period industry in the west also regained lost global competitiveness, especially in industries such as automobiles and advanced machinery, using wage restraint agreements with unions and increases in productivity. Germans see the need for eurozone countries in the southern part of Europe needing to make similiar sacrifices and see the tax evasion in Italy and Greece as unacceptable. The real estate bubble, the lack of transparency for banks bad loans, and out of control regional spending in Spain is also seen in a similiar light. Greece is seen as the most egregious offendor because of the bad financial accounting that grossly understated the extent of the bad loans. Less publicized in Germany is the role played in the bad loans through poor lending practices of German and French banks and that as experts have pointed out Germany was to some extent bailing out German banks when it was bailing out Greece- till German banks reduced their exposure to Greece in 2011.
Linked Articles
In former East Germany, anxious residents resent paying for Europe’s problems - The Washington Post
Washington Post 06/21/2012
Merkel's Defense of Euro Forged in East GermanyNew York Times 01/30/2011
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