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The IMF's view on austerity measures, the "German hypothesis," and the British economy
02/17/2012
The IMF's view is that it could take 5 years before the breakeven point on the effects of austerity measures is reached and it turns positive. The "German hypothesis" based on German experience as an exporting nation is that the benefits come sooner in the short term. For Britain, which is not an exporting nation like Germany, the benefits from exports are likely to be limited when the rest of Europe is'seeing declining or stagnant growth. The IMF view means Britain may be faced with the costs of the Cameron-Osborne austerity measures till 2016.
Linked Articles
Britain's Economy Contracts More Than Predicted
New York Times 03/28/2012
Austerity Debate a Matter of DegreeWall Street Journal 02/17/2012
The risks to GM from its Opel European unit in 2013-2014
02/15/2012
Linked Articles
Europe Remains G.M.'s Weak Spot
New York Times 02/15/2012
GM Sees Expanded European LossesWall Street Journal 07/16/2012
Mario Monti and the future of the European Union
02/10/2012
Monti on more democracy in the European Union with more power for the European Parliament, and the enduring quality of the EU becaus it is in the interests of Germany.
Linked Articles
Italyâs Leader Is Optimistic About Greece and Euro
New York Times 02/10/2012
Italy's Leader Warns EU Needs Better DemocracyWall Street Journal 02/16/2012
Challenges of a bubble economy, dependence on exports, pollution and inequality that face the leadership of Li Keqiang and Xi Jinping in China
01/31/2012
Linked Articles
Heartland Return for Chinese Leader
Wall Street Journal 01/31/2012
Heartland Return for Chinese LeaderWall Street Journal 01/31/2012
Steadily growing automobile market in China in 2014-2015 (4)- the buyer preference for better quality of foreign carmakers hurts local carmakers Geely and Cherry
01/06/2012
Linked Articles
Chinese Car Makers Struggle to Lure Buyers
Wall Street Journal 04/21/2014
Car Makers Gauge Shift In China's Auto PolicyWall Street Journal 01/06/2012
The impact of large fuel subsidies on infrastructure development and economic growth - Venezuela and Nigeria in 2012-2014
01/03/2012
Linked Articles
Almost-Free Gas Comes at a High Cost
Wall Street Journal 04/12/2013
Nigeria Braces for Gas-Price ProtestsWall Street Journal 01/03/2012
Renewed warnings in 2013-2014 for the housing price bubble in China (2)- from the editors of Xinhua news agency and The Washington Post
12/24/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 07/17/2012
We all have a stake in China’s real estate bubble - The Washington PostWashington Post 12/24/2011
Feldstein and Krugman offer their views on China, the years of hypergrowth and the problems now facing China in 2013-2014
12/18/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/18/2011
China's Biggest Problems Are Political, Not EconomicWall Street Journal 08/02/2012
Britain, the eurozone crisis and a mood shifting towards Britain's exit from the European Union
12/07/2011
A British mood moving away from the positive engagement its economy needs with its largest trading partner, the other nations of the European Union. A Opinion/Observer poll in Nov. 2012 shows a majority of people in Britain would vote yes on a referendum to leave the European Union.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/22/2012
Britain Suffers as a Bystander to Europe's CrisisNew York Times 12/07/2011
The situation in Athens, Greece, in Dec. 2011, with the German insistence on strict austerity measures
11/27/2011
The likelihood that Greeks would vote against austerity measures as a condition for staying in the euro, if a referendum were held as proposed.
Linked Articles
Greeks Balk at Paying New Property Tax
New York Times 11/27/2011
The Spirit of EnterpriseNew York Times 12/01/2011
The rising middle class in Mexico with the growth of the economy 2012-2014
11/23/2011
Linked Articles
Mexico’s middle class is becoming its majority - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/18/2012
Mexico Economy Withstands Drug WarWall Street Journal 11/23/2011
The growing economy of the U.S. state of N. Dakota
11/02/2011
Linked Articles
North Dakota’s booming economy gives the political dynamic a rarefied air - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/08/2012
Riding the Dakota Oil BoomWall Street Journal 11/02/2011
Germany's Pirate party of digital activists and anti-establishment sentiment
09/19/2011
The Pirate party won about 9% of the vote in the Berlin election. It is likely to win a similiar share of the vote in other state elections.
Linked Articles
'Pirates' Deal a Blow to Germany's Political Status Quo
Wall Street Journal 04/10/2012
Berlin Poll Hits Merkel CoalitionWall Street Journal 09/19/2011
Egypt, the IMF, and efforts to revive the economy
02/17/2012
Efforts to revive the economy with aid from the IMF. IMF head, Christine Lagarde, will visit Cairo in August 2012 for discussions with the Morsi government.
Linked Articles
Egypt, IMF Chief to Discuss Loan
Wall Street Journal 08/16/2012
Muslim Brotherhood Looks West in Bid to Revive Egyptian EconomyWall Street Journal 02/17/2012
The Indian government's plan to bring the deficit down over 5 years to 3% in 2017
02/14/2012
In response to the policy of the Reseve Bank of India (RBI), India's central bank, to hold off on interest rate changes till the government takes action in reducing the deficit, the Indian government lays out a plan to bring the deficit down to 3% by 2017, and 5.3% in the fiscal year ending March 2013. The government is under pressure to come up with an economic strategy to deal with the slowing economy with growth forecasts lowered to 5-6.5% for 2012. The risk of India's credit rating being being lowered to junk status and drastic slowdown in foreign investment is creating a crisis atmosphere after a period of indecison.
Linked Articles
India Lays Out Deficit Targets
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2012
Indian Central Banker Hits His Government's SpendingWall Street Journal 02/14/2012
The views of Condoleeza Rice and Vladimir Putin on Russia's evolution through democratic processes
02/09/2012
Rice points out that diversification of the economy away from oil utilizing Russian technological capabilities will help Russia move away from the corruption of a resource based economy and build a healthy democratic setup. Putin says he recognizes the need for democratic processes to keep pace with the development of civil society and the growing middle class, but emphasizes that democracy cannot be built overnight, and places a higher priority on what he calls the "sovereignty of the people," the right to work, the right to education and free medical care.
Linked Articles
How Russia’s urban middle class can bring an end to Putinism - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/09/2012
Vladimir Putin: My vision for a better Russia - The Washington PostWashington Post 02/09/2012
Clues to China's future 2013-2020- the background and thinking of new leaders Jinping and Li Keqiang
01/31/2012
The ideas and thinking of China's leaders and how this will affect China and the global economy.
Linked Articles
Heartland Return for Chinese Leader
Wall Street Journal 01/31/2012
Next Premier Came of Age in Era of OpennessWall Street Journal 11/16/2012
The wide divergence between ADP jobs estimates and Labor Department BLS figures in 2010-2014
01/05/2012
Linked Articles
Jobs Data May Be Icing on America's Birthday Cake
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2014
Strong ADP Jobs Gain Needs Grain of SaltWall Street Journal 01/05/2012
Protecting German taxpayers in eurozone bailouts- German chancellor Merkel and how she called the bluffs of European banks in 2011 and Cyprus in 2013
12/30/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 03/26/2013
Deepening Crisis Over Euro Pits Leader Against LeaderWall Street Journal 12/30/2011
Renewed warnings in 2013-2014 for the housing price bubble in China (1)- Krugman, Nomura's Zhang and Chen
12/18/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/18/2011
Economists: China Mirrors U.S. on Eve of Financial CrisisWall Street Journal 03/18/2013
Reviving the U.S. economy with reduced uncertainty and private investment (2)
12/10/2011
Linked Articles
George Shultz: Memo to Romney — Expand the Pie
Wall Street Journal 07/14/2012
The Next First (and Only) 100 DaysNew York Times 12/10/2011
Expert opinion on the problem with German insistence on tough austerity measures in Greece, Italy and Spain and Portugal
11/28/2011
Without economic growth the problems of debt reduction become more difficult to tackle. Austerity measures may lead to shrinking economies in these countries creating larger deficits.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/28/2011
Europe's Currency Road to NowhereWall Street Journal 11/29/2011
Tax evasion in Italy and Greece and Germany's insistence on good governance and financial practices for a sound euro currency
11/25/2011
One estimate of tax evasion in Italy cited by Faiola in the Post is $340 billon a year. Greece has a similiar problem. This is one area in which the culture and practices of individual countries have to converge to acceptable norms to make a common currrency viable, something the founders of the euro currency did not take as seriously as needed and account for in a disciplined framework. The political enthusiasm for a union of European countries of EU founders led to ignoring the dangers of not having controls and convergence in place.
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/01/2011
Amid crisis, Italy confronts a culture of tax evasion - The Washington PostWashington Post 11/25/2011
The Christian Democratic Union, the 2011 CDU convention in Leipzig, and the shifting German view on strict austerity policies
11/15/2011
A faction of the CDU favors a strict interpretation of austerity policies for the eurozone. As CDU leader, Angela Merkel shifts policies to accomodate growing weariness in the rest of Europe with strict austerity policies to accomodate growth, Merkel faces dissent in the CDU. This is evident in the conflicting statements from the EU trade commissioner Mr Gucht, and its economic affairs commissioner Mr. Rehn, on Greece continuing in the eurozone, after Merkel's stated willingness to compromise at the Camp David G-8 summit.
Linked Articles
Greek Stimulus Is an Option, Merkel Says
New York Times 05/16/2012
Merkel Party Seeks Euro Exit PolicyWall Street Journal 11/15/2011
Erfurt, Thuringia, Germany- (2) in 2011 with the visit of Pope Benedict XVI to the monastery where Luther studied, and in 2015 with arrival of Syrian refugees
09/24/2011
Linked Articles
Empathy and Angst in a German City Transformed by Refugees
New York Times 09/11/2015
Pope Visits Venerated Lutheran MonasteryNew York Times 09/24/2011
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