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Early Warning Links
Why Trump plan to end tax on Social Security benefits is a fatal mistake
08/17/2024
Senator Larson says it is a fatal mistake as lost revenue is not made up leading to a Medicare insolvency in 2031, and Social Security insolvency in 2033. Social security benefits will then by law will be cut in 2033 by 25%., a dangerous step tragic for many on Social Security who are pushed into poverty.
Linked Articles
CNBC 08/17/2024
Donald Trump's Suggestion to End Taxation of Social Security Benefits | Committee for a Responsible Federal BudgetCommittee for a Responsible Federal Budget 08/17/2024
How low interest rates from the banks created 2009 financial crisis were squeezing Americans and most of all seniors
06/05/2024
In 2010 Charles Schwab pointed out that low interest rates were squeezing Americans, most of all seniors on fixed incomes and pensions. In 2024 first quarter the higher interest rates in one quarter alone created an additional $770 billion in interest and dividends for Americans, many of them seniors, according to US Federal Reserve. This is the damage done by the recklessness of the banks and financial sector and seniors have paid heavily for this and for the wars in the Middle East which reduced the growth potential of the US economy that were embraced by Reagan and Bush, Trump and Obama. The war money was not used to build new infrastructure to replace the old as it should have been leading to China having new infrastructure and America's being aging and worn out.
Linked Articles
Low Interest Rates Are Squeezing Seniors
Wall Street Journal 03/30/2010
Americans Have More Investment Income Than Ever BeforeWSJ 06/05/2024
Dissatisfaction in the American Workplace
11/28/2023
A surge in dissatisfaction in the American Workplace is showing up in Galllup and other surveys.
Linked Articles
Why Is Everyone So Unhappy at Work Right Now?
WSJ 11/27/2023
The Biggest Challenges for a Hybrid Workplace—and How to Overcome ThemWSJ 05/17/2022
America has forgotten it is American workers who built America
09/28/2023
American workers built the middle class and American workers built America with its factories. Biden joins a picket line at at GM plant in Beleville, Michigan, saying this with a bull horn. Shawn Fain directly elected by autoworkers says workers not billionaires run America. This happens as the UAW union rejects tiered wages. Entry level tier wages of younger workers at $17 an hour or $34,000 a year is below the Federal Poverty Level of $35000-$40000 for families with children. It would be seen as outrageous by both Lincoln and TR-FDR in a country where the Constitution starts with the line "We the People. Workers are forgotten in a world that is only waking up to this in 2024.
Linked Articles
Biden Joins Autoworkers on Picket Line in Michigan
NYTimes.com 09/27/2023
Trump’s pitch for autoworker votes in car heartland is short on autoworkersThe Guardian 09/28/2023
Severe floods in Germany 2021 Italy 2023 and effects of climate change in Europe
05/21/2023
The floods in Germany and Europe, the severe drought in parts of Spain and Italy are seen as signs climate change is here. At one southernmost point in Sicily the temperature recently reached about 49 degrees centigrade the highest ever in Europe.
Linked Articles
Italy’s disasters suggest the climate crisis is at the gates of Europe
The Guardian 05/18/2023
Scores dead, hundreds missing after massive floods in Germany, BelgiumFrance 24 07/16/2021
The destruction of the Gran Chaco in Brazil and Argentina and the Glasgow Conference decision on ending deforestation by 2030
05/17/2023
If the decision to end deforestation by 2030 is to be taken seriously what happens to the Gran Chaco in Argentina and Brazil is a matter of importance. One third of global emissions are absorbed by forests that act as a giant carbon sink.
Linked Articles
COP26: World leaders promise to end deforestation by 2030
BBC News 11/02/2021
The destroyed forests of the Gran Chaco – DW – 05/16/2023dw.com Supported by Lyrarc's Climate Change Action 05/17/2023
The indictment of Donald Trump for hush payments to a porn actress
04/01/2023
The indictment by a grand jury of Donald Trump in March 2023, with other investigations underway in other places.
Linked Articles
How Alvin Bragg Resurrected the Case Against Donald Trump
NYTimes.com 04/01/2023
Donald Trump Indictment Sets Historical MarkerWSJ 03/31/2023
Limits to China's economic recovery from local government debt and smaller pool of savings
03/07/2023
A smaller pool of savings and build up of debt during the pandemic limit the extent of China's economic recovery. The trillions of dollars of local government debt and the slowdown in the construction sector act as barriers to growth in China.
Linked Articles
Covid-Era Savings Are Crucial to China’s Economic Recovery
WSJ 02/26/2023
China’s Cities Struggle Under Trillions of Dollars of DebtWSJ 03/06/2023
Softbank the epitome of massively distorted capital markets even as healthcare, childcare, manufacturing technolgies, infrastructure suffered severe lack of funding
08/08/2022
How Softbank became the epitome and poster child for the distorted capital markets of today is shown here in the WSJ. It is a sad story of how America and Europe failed to invest in its people with egregious harm to 900 million people as healthcare, childcare, manufacturing technologies and infrastructure were neglected.
Linked Articles
WSJ 08/08/2022
SoftBank Reports Record $23 Billion Quarterly Loss as Tech Downturn HitsWSJ 08/08/2022
Inflation and eroding purchasing power in Europe in 2022
04/21/2022
Linked Articles
Germany set for bumper pension hike amid inflation surge | DW | 13.04.2022
DW.COM 04/13/2022
Rocketing Prices Test Europe’s Political Resolve in Confrontation With RussiaWSJ 04/12/2022
German policy under four term chancellor Angela Merkel that emboldened Russia to invade Ukraine
04/11/2022
Linked Articles
‘Wrong about Putin’: Did Germany and France turn a blind eye to the threat from Russia?
France 24 04/10/2022
Vladimir Putin’s 20-Year March to War in Ukraine—and How the West Mishandled ItWSJ 04/01/2022
Miscalculations by Putin's Russia and Neglect by Merkel and Bush-Obama- WSJ's Analysis of Events Leading to Ukraine war
04/03/2022
The highly detailed WSJ reports on events going back 20 years throw light on the failure of Merkel in Germany and Bush-Obama in the US to grasp the situation of Russia under Putin's nationalism and the miscalculations made by president Putin about the changing situation in Ukraine that had created a national identity. While Putin looked to history something different had emerged on the ground for the people of Ukraine that both German and Russian leaders failed to grasp as they continued to pursue economic integration. Business in Europe and the US had no clue what was happening, and how the situation was unraveling till the end. It is also leading to the unexpected effect of accelerating weaning western nations from fossil fuels, a goal of Glasgow's COP26 Climate Change Summit, the only constructive effect of the war.
Linked Articles
Vladimir Putin’s 20-Year March to War in Ukraine—and How the West Mishandled It
WSJ 04/01/2022
Russian Strategy in Ukraine Shifts After Setbacks, and a Lengthy War LoomsWSJ 04/01/2022
Escaping the Algorithm - Harmful effects on girls and the young of TikTok and social media
12/29/2021
If and how one can escape these algorithm based harmful social media platforms is the question posed by the WSJ series on TikTok, Facebook, others in 2021.
Linked Articles
The TikTok Spiral, Part 1: Descent - Tech News Briefing - WSJ Podcasts
WSJ 12/27/2021
The TikTok Spiral, Part 3: Escape the Algorithm - Tech News Briefing - WSJ PodcastsWSJ 12/29/2021
How television channels and internet media are failing to ask questions about what will be done on climate change action 2024-2028?
07/31/2024
Linked Articles
How the Murdoch family ended up in a legal fight over the future of Fox
Washington Post 07/31/2024
What Rupert Murdoch Owns, and How He Built His Media EmpireNYTimes.com 07/30/2024
Carlos Tavares and the contrast with Fiat Sergio Marchionne, Tesla Elon Musk- the need today for new role models for health and worklife balance, respect for dignity of workern
02/05/2024
Carlos Tavares, CEO of Stellantis that brings together Fiat, Chrysler and Peugeot, as shown in a WSJ report, respects workers right to have a weekend free of email requests to recharge their batteries for the new week starting Mondays. Tavares sees great value in worklife balance, respect for dignity and health of workers. He believes this delivers productive work better than alternatives such as that under Sergio Marchionne the Fiat leader running Chrysler who worked constantly, with excessively long hours, unending travel and smoking incessantly say reports, that took its toll on health- setting a poor role model for managing business and for the younger generation. A similar situation is presented by Mr. Musk compared to Mr. Tavares. Striking is the respect for the dignity of workers that comes with respecting worklife balance. This was a major issue in this years UAW negotiations. Leaders from Scholz in Germany and Biden in US, Modi in India, have called for respect for dignity of work and workers as the kind of society we want to build and we want to live in. The founder of Silicon Valley Andy Grove who founded Intel that powers the chips on every laptop always reminded his readers this is the kind of society he wanted to live in.
Linked Articles
Elon Musk Says Donald Trump Should ‘Sail Into the Sunset’ in Latest Spat
WSJ 07/12/2022
WSJ News Exclusive | The Money and Drugs That Tie Elon Musk to Some Tesla DirectorsWSJ 02/04/2024
Motherhood penalty putting hundreds of thousands of mothers out of work- how childcare is failing America's and Britain's children
11/07/2023
President Biden has asked Congress for $18 billion to stabilize the childcare system in the US- without it more childcare places are closing and women are put out of work in a form of motherhood penalty. The Republican controlled Congress is not responding. This is the kind of infrastructure for children that is crucial for America and America's children, for the beginning years of education that determine its future and for the health wellbeing of mothers.
Linked Articles
Opinion | What happened to this Wisconsin day care should concern us all
Washington Post 11/07/2023
Motherhood penalty ‘has driven 250,000 women out of jobs’The Guardian 11/05/2023
Try hard but not too hard-cutting yourself some slack improves health and concentration, the Andy Grove principle for slack in your work routine reinforces this
09/15/2023
People forget that this applies to sports athletes and high achieving people. Andy Grove, founder of Intel and of Silicon Valley, believed in keeping some slack in his work routine and schedule. He left Hungary in 1956 after the Hungarian revolution and Russian invasion as a refugee, and graduated first in his class in the City College of New York in chemical engineering 3 years later. In 3 more years he obtained a PhD from UC Berkeley. In his book Output Management he says productive arrangement is one that keeps slack in the way that highway planners know that having too many cars compared to capacity means everything comes to a halt. In his daily work he always believed in having some slack. Today people pile on work upon work forgetting these basic principles. The other principle is leveraging of activities which is where the output comes from. To leverage effectively concentration of mind is needed and a chance to reflect and think, which requires slack and slack that adds additional time for healthy living that aids mindfulness. This adds to Motivation and Training which Grove says affect Output. To do this requires some slack to think and reflect and healthy lifestyles that power this process. This is also why the competing styles today show contrasts between those of Boeing's top managers and Stellantis managers similar to Grove and Musk's style for Tesla also shown in WSJ in the last few months being just the opposite.
Linked Articles
Burnt-out from work? Try following Hugh Jackman’s 85% rule
The Guardian 09/15/2023
Try Hard, but Not That Hard. 85% Is the Magic Number for Productivity.WSJ 09/11/2023
The collapse of American education and the slowest growth in America's history 2000-2020 as Biden tries to reverse this in 2024
05/19/2023
Krugman looks at the extraordinary effort put in by Robert Gordon of Northwestern University to look at the growth of America since 1850 over periods 1850-1870, 1870-1910, 1910-1950, 1950-2000 and 2000-2020 showing that the last 20 years have the lowest growth in American history. Gordon looks at the near collapse of American education, scores on NAEP of two thirds of 8th graders failing reading comprehension reflect this sad state of affairs that president Biden is trying to reverse in 2024. Other research shows a drop in potential GDP of 2 percentage points when education is failing as it has been for 2 decades. Other researchers have shown what is openly evident today that technology such as social media do more harm, that other internet use technology has not done much for education only established monopolies as with Google and Apple.
Linked Articles
Paul Krugman Reviews ‘The Rise and Fall of American Growth’ by Robert J. Gordon
New York Times 01/25/2016
'Secular Stagnation' May Be for RealWall Street Journal 08/27/2014
Mr. Trump's loosening of banking regulation and regulatory culture and the crisis it caused.
04/29/2023
The laws passed in the US Congress to limit the regulation of US banks imposed after the 2009 crisis led to leaving a gap for midsized banks where there would be less regulation. The appointment of Randy Quarles to Fed Vice Chair Supervision by Mr. Trump in 2019 led to the new culture which took the attitude the less regulation the better 14 years after the 2009 banking crisis, and the collapse of several banks in 2023, endangering the US banking system when the US needs a huge capacity to invest in the nation.
Linked Articles
Fox News defamation case during the 2020 election
04/01/2023
The damage to democratic norms and practices for the second oldest democracy in the world after Britain is the larger issue in this defamation case.
Linked Articles
Fox News Suffers Major Setback in Defamation Case
NYTimes.com 04/01/2023
Fox News Defamation Case Cleared for TrialWSJ 03/31/2023
Common sense and wisdom for passage to India Pakistan trade after the floods in 2022 with one third of Pakistan under water
08/30/2022
In 2012 Michael Boskin, who helped George W. Bush, with the NAFTA North American Free Trade Agreement, wrote this article in the WSJ about the normal trade using trade models that take into account the advantage of cross border trade and size of economies would be 20 times the $2.7 billion in trade between India and Pakistan in 2012. This would be $50 billion. This would have increased to $100 billion by 2020 under normal trade. Instead in the year of the 2022 floods when Pakistan is one third under water, and cross border trade never made more sense, the OEC data show trade at less than $300 million or one three hundredth portion of what trade could be if normalized.
Linked Articles
Pakistan: Food prices soar amid floods | DW | 30.08.2022
DW.COM 08/30/2022
Michael Boskin: A Passage to India-Pakistan PeaceWSJ 04/15/2012
The danger to the US, European Union and India of concentration of chip production in Taiwan
06/20/2022
Concentrating 92% of chip production that powers cell phones, laptops, computers in Taiwan makes no sense. Five fabs are concentrated in just 1 Science Park- Hsinshu Science Park in Taiwan. A missile attack could take out half of the world's chip supply. After Ukraine the US, EU and India, South Korea, Japan need to take this seriously. Action taken now will bring results over 3-5 years. The Free World depends on creation of new supply chains using manufacturing in the US, EU, India and Japan.
Linked Articles
Opinion | China Is Losing Its Bet on Chips
WSJ 06/20/2022
Opinion | Semiconductor Dependency Imperils American SecurityWSJ 06/20/2022
Disastrous economic losses for the former Soviet region including Russia from the Ukraine invasion
04/11/2022
Losses to the economy for Russia from 11% to 25%, for Ukraine 45%, for Belarus, Moldova and former Soviet republics 30%. This is the scale and magnitude of economic losses for this region. All sides in the war are losers and the spinoff effects are creating economic problems in other regions of Asia, Latin America and North Africa who have no connection to this war. Yet nothing has been solved.
Linked Articles
Ukraine economy to shrink by almost half this year, World Bank forecasts
The Guardian 04/11/2022
Russia-Ukraine war latest news: Austrian leader’s talks with Putin ‘very direct, open and tough’The Guardian 04/11/2022
How the Ukraine War Happened- Miscalculations on All Sides
04/03/2022
Linked Articles
An Astonishing Self-Portrait by Russia's President
NYTimes.com 04/02/2022
Vladimir Putin’s 20-Year March to War in Ukraine—and How the West Mishandled ItWSJ 04/01/2022
India's early heat wave in 2022 a sign of climate change
04/03/2022
Linked Articles
India sees warmest March in 122 years, lowest rainfall since 1908
The Hindu 04/02/2022
India: Frequent heat waves a reminder of climate change impacts | DW | 31.03.2022DW.COM 03/31/2022
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