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Paul Krugman Reviews ‘The Rise and Fall of American Growth’ by Robert J. Gordon

New York Times Original article ›
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Paul Krugman reviews a book by Robert Gordon, a distinguished American economist and historian, on the improving standard of living for Americans after the war in the period 1940 to 1970. This period brought some of the major changes in the standard of living which have since stalled. Gordon points to the developments in science and technology between 1870 and 1940 providing the largest boost to standards of living as the quality of life improved- especially the conditions in which people lived using modern sanitation, electricity, automobiles, and work saving appliances. The period 1940 to 1970 enabled the spread of this to the country as a whole. The IT revolution's developments occuring between 1990 and 2005 are also behind us. This process between 1870 and 1970, with the followup period to 2000, is seen by Gordon as a one time development in the scale of change and the improvement of quality of life. The future does not hold a similar level of progress in standards of living, says Gordon. Set against the current stagnation in incomes, widening inequality of opportunity, and the political discourse, this review raises important questions about the future. Quality of life potential now rests in improvements through personal involvement in health improvement, improved education, renewable sources of energy, and other ways, which are more soft knowledge improvements than the hard improvements of the past- which may require more personal involvement than in the developments of the last century of progress, with some improvement coming from renewal of the old physical infrastucture using the new technologies available. Just as the developments of the last century required dogged persisitence and effort, these developments will require dogged persistence and effort, with some of the easy stuff currently posing as technological development not qualifying.

How 50-60% proficiency in reading and math in PISA or NAEP scores can increase GDP by additional 2% in US and the EU

05/19/2023

PISA scores in Europe, NAEP in US, and similar test in Japan, S. Korea, can with proficiency in reading of over 50-60%, same in math, give the country an additional 2% in GDP. This is shown in the experience of Asian countries in the 2005-2015 period, and acted as a drag in the progress of the US for 2005 -2023. It is still acting as a drag in US progress not just in GDP, but also in culture as it increase social divisions, increases risks to democracy with widening gaps in performance between higher and lower income groups, between rural and urban/suburban groups, between people in professions and less educated in construction or low wage hospitality food industries. This also adds to the burden on democracies when demagogic politicians and parties use it in ways that are indifferent to social divisions or social mobility for their own purposes. This has happened in the US and Europe exacerbating the situation, and why Biden is calling this the Struggle for the Soul of the Nation. It is truly a Struggle for the Soul of America and can be seen as a parallel to the situation Abraham Lincoln faced in 1858 as he debated against Stephen Douglas.

Grouped Articles

Peterson and Hanushek: The Vital Link of Education and Prosperity

Wall Street Journal 09/11/2013

National math and reading scores remain constant, but disparities emerge

Washington Post 04/11/2018

The Great Stagnation in American Education

New York Times 09/07/2013

Paul Krugman Reviews ‘The Rise and Fall of American Growth’ by Robert J. Gordon

New York Times 01/25/2016


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