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Euro’s Sharp Drop Fuels Speculation Over Dollar Parity
Keywords: Euro, U.S. Dollar, Euro Parity,
The euro approaches parity with the U.S. dollar by November 2016, with the surge in the dollar following the U.S. presidential election of 2016. The euro closed at $1.058 on Nov 17, 2016. It was down 4% following the election. The euro was down in early 2015. This time it is chiefly down against the dollar. This time both monetary and fiscal policy is expected to diverge with the EU, and inflation expectations are up in the U.S. Analysts expect parity to be reached in 2017.
The rapid decline in the value of the euro in 2015 following the ECB decision for massive bond buying
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The euro declines by 11% for 2015 by March 2015, falling to 7 cents short of parity with the U.S. dollar.
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Euro Displays Uncommon Strength
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Economists estimate the lower value of the euro against the dollar and other currencies will boost economc growth in the eurozone by half a percentage point. Ireland, Portugal, Spain and France will benefit from the lower exchange rate for the euro in 2012-2014.
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Martin Feldstein on how a decline in the value of the euro would help reduce the current account and trade deficits of troubled eurozone countries
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Feldstein says a decline in the value of the euro would reduce imports and increase exports of troubled eurozone countries in relation to non-euro countries. This would help the economic recovery in these countries. A slower rate of wage growth in these countries and higher wage growth in Germany would help improve their competitiveness with Germany over time. These actions in addition to reforms and restructuring to improve labor competitiveness would help these countries return to growth.
Grouped Articles
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