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How 50-60% proficiency in reading and math in PISA or NAEP scores can increase GDP by additional 2% in US and the EU

05/19/2023

PISA scores in Europe, NAEP in US, and similar test in Japan, S. Korea, can with proficiency in reading of over 50-60%, same in math, give the country an additional 2% in GDP. This is shown in the experience of Asian countries in the 2005-2015 period, and acted as a drag in the progress of the US for 2005 -2023. It is still acting as a drag in US progress not just in GDP, but also in culture as it increase social divisions, increases risks to democracy with widening gaps in performance between higher and lower income groups, between rural and urban/suburban groups, between people in professions and less educated in construction or low wage hospitality food industries. This also adds to the burden on democracies when demagogic politicians and parties use it in ways that are indifferent to social divisions or social mobility for their own purposes. This has happened in the US and Europe exacerbating the situation, and why Biden is calling this the Struggle for the Soul of the Nation. It is truly a Struggle for the Soul of America and can be seen as a parallel to the situation Abraham Lincoln faced in 1858 as he debated against Stephen Douglas.

Grouped Articles

Peterson and Hanushek: The Vital Link of Education and Prosperity

Wall Street Journal 09.11.2013

National math and reading scores remain constant, but disparities emerge

Washington Post 04.11.2018

The Great Stagnation in American Education

New York Times 09.07.2013

Paul Krugman Reviews ‘The Rise and Fall of American Growth’ by Robert J. Gordon

New York Times 01.25.2016


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