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Investors See India as Strongest of the Weak

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Foreign institutional investors responding to negative sentiment for emerging markets in general took out $2.6 billion from India in August 2015. Yet average allocations to India for emerging market funds have increased to about 10.7% in July 2015, because India looks much better than other emerging markets. By comparison China is at 20.25%.

Foreign investment in India

01/20/2008

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In marketing India as a destination for foreign investment India's prime minster Modi emphasized that India was the only country with all three favorable factors - democracy, demographic dividend and demand. India has a population with 55% of the people under age 35. A population of over 1.2 billion mostly younger consumers creating a big pool of demand for many companies. Democracy with coalition governments has been an obstacle for three decades to creating the right framework for legislation on opening the country to foreign investment. Modi's BJP party has an absolute majority in parliament making it possible to take speedy action, with an effort underway to improve its tally of state legislatures it controls. Modi also has a track record of three terms as chief minister in rapidly industrializing Gujarat state. This gives credibility to Modi's plans. He stated that energy was a high priority with a goal of bringing electricity to every village in India in 5 years. A trillion dollars of investment are required in rail which he plans to open up for 100% FDI investment. Manufacturing is a big focus of Modi's plans with the launch of the "Make India" campaign. My country needs millions of jobs Modi told the audience, urging foreign companies to take up his offer. He said the laws and red tape built up from previous Socialist governments would be removed for swift approval of proposals.

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Investors See India as Strongest of the Weak

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The economic prospects of emerging market countries have changed significantly since 2013. In Turkey political problems and a high current account deficit led to a slump in the lira and high interest rate policies by early 2014. In India the Congress party government let the economy drift in 2013 with no action taken. The newly elected Modi adminstration in 2014 and now lower oil prices are giving a major boost to economic growth in India. China with huge oil imports is also a beneficiary as it tackles problems from the boom years and growth slows to below 7%.

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