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Plunge in Home Sales Stokes Economy Fears

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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The National Association of Realtors reports that sales of previously owned homes dropped by 27.2% from June, to seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million homes. House prices gained ameasure of stability in 2009, after dropping since 2006. Now that measure of stability may be lost as house prices weaken. The expiry of a home-buyer tax credit was expected to dampen sales but not by this much. Paul Dales of Capital Economics expects a further drop of 5% in house prices. Combine this with sluggish consumer spending and prospects of deflation in 2011, a weak Obama administration HAMP homeowner relief program, fading stimulus and the likelihood of no further stimulus because of deficit fears; and the picture shows serious problems. The underlying picture of housing is not changing. One in four homeowners with mortgages owe more than their house is worth. Banks are handling over 5 million loans that are delinquent, if these loans are modified or short sales are permitted by banks, there would be support for housing prices. HAMP has failed in this regard, see the link to this.

Home Affordable Modification program (HAMP) of the Obama Administration

06/12/2009

The large failure of a program launched by the Obama administration to reduce home foreclosures in the U.S. Only $1 billion of the $75 billion estimated for the program when it was launched in 2009 has been spent. Only 680,000 of the 2.7 million homeowners seeking to participate received loan modifications with lower monthly payments.

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Plunge in Home Sales Stokes Economy Fears

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Housing Market Accelerates

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The U.S. housing market in 2010-2013

05/27/2010

According to Karl Case its basically flat in 2010 and quite fragile, with a lot of inventory out there. By 2012 the situation had not changed much, except for Washington D.C. with growth in employment, and a small spurt in 2011 in Phoenix from out of state and Canadian buyers. Prices in Las Vegas and other cities continued to decline and there were fears of more homes being released by banks from foreclosed properties in judicial states such as Florida.

Grouped Articles

Housing Rebound Grows as Prices Climb Sharply

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The economic performance of cities: Following the sun

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Home Prices Rise, Producing a Buying Mood

New York Times 05/28/2013

Housing Recovery Increasingly Prices Out First-Time Buyers

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Economic Casualties: 'Missing Households'

Wall Street Journal 07/22/2013

Home Prices Jump, but Headwinds Build

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