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Home Prices Jump, but Headwinds Build

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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The Zillow index from Zillow Inc., the real estate web site, shows home values increasing by 5.8% in June 2013 over a year ago, and up 2.7% in the first six months of 2013. The Case-Shiller index shows home prices up 12.2% in May from one year ago. Economists say the Case-Shiller index overstates the price increases compares to the Zillow index because it includes foreclosed homes. During a period when foreclosures are slowing as in the past year, this tends to show a faster increase in prices in the Shiller index, with the reverse happening when foreclosures are high. This is because foreclosed homes sell at a large discount. The Zillow index excludes foreclosed homes removing this volatility in the index. Increase in mortgage rates by one percentage point, and future expectations of increases, are likely to keep price gains down in pricier markets of Boston, New York and San Francisco. Inventories are tight in some cities. Dallas, Los Angeles, San Diego, Washington D.C. and Orlando, have less than 3 months supply, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting. Phoenix, Seattle, Denver less than 2.5 months supply, according to a WSJ quarterly survey of 28 metro areas.

The U.S. housing market in 2010-2013

05/27/2010

According to Karl Case its basically flat in 2010 and quite fragile, with a lot of inventory out there. By 2012 the situation had not changed much, except for Washington D.C. with growth in employment, and a small spurt in 2011 in Phoenix from out of state and Canadian buyers. Prices in Las Vegas and other cities continued to decline and there were fears of more homes being released by banks from foreclosed properties in judicial states such as Florida.

Grouped Articles

Housing Rebound Grows as Prices Climb Sharply

Wall Street Journal 05/09/2013

The economic performance of cities: Following the sun

Economist 05/16/2013

Home Prices Rise, Producing a Buying Mood

New York Times 05/28/2013

Housing Recovery Increasingly Prices Out First-Time Buyers

Wall Street Journal 07/22/2013

Economic Casualties: 'Missing Households'

Wall Street Journal 07/22/2013

Home Prices Jump, but Headwinds Build

Wall Street Journal 07/31/2013

The Case-Shiller U.S. housing price index by metro area - 2011-2013

05/29/2012

Grouped Articles

A Look at Case-Shiller, by Metro Area

Wall Street Journal 04/30/2013

The economic performance of cities: Following the sun

Economist 05/16/2013

Home Prices Rise, Producing a Buying Mood

New York Times 05/28/2013

Home Prices Jump, but Headwinds Build

Wall Street Journal 07/31/2013

House Prices Rise Again, but the Pace Could Slow

New York Times 12/31/2013

A Look at Case-Shiller by Metro Area

Wall Street Journal 05/29/2012


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