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Help Wanted: Why That Sign's Bad

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The Bureau of Labor Statiistics puts out a statistic each month, called the JOLTS for Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, which shows how many job openings there are in the US. This statistic stood at 2.2% for February 2009, down from 3% in Feb 2008, and this is 2.2% of all the jobs in the USA, which comes to about 3 million. The Conference Board's report shows 3.2 million online advertised vacancies as of March 2009. The odd thing is that there are so many advertised vacancies when the unemployment rate has shot up in the same year from 4.8% to 8.1%. The implications are serious. First there is a mismatch in qualifications. As jobs are lost in construction and the financial industry and in retail, new jobs are appearing in health care, education, government and accounting. This structural shift is happening quicker than the market can respond, or faster than labor retraining has time to respond. And compounding this the severe housing market leaves people unable to sell their homes and move. This makes for a less mobile labor market than the US has had in the past. With the government stepping in to ease the burden of unemployment there may be even less incentive to move. And those that move will have to accept the lower pay in new careers , and employers will have to settle for imperfect fits in filling vacancies. To reduce the mismatch in qualifications governments will have to ramp up their job retraining programs.

Rapid structural shifts in U.S. job openings and a mismatch that will require greater job retraining effort.

04/30/2009

JOLTS and COnference Board job openings figures shows 3 million job openings in February 2009, with mismatch in qualifications of candidates from industries losing jobs (finance, retail, construction) and industries gaining jobs (health care, education, government, accounting). Is the US market becoming less mobile?

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Help Wanted: Why That Sign's Bad

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Fast structural shift from banking, autos and retail to health care, energy, government and education in the USA, makes equally rapid government assisted retraining and cost sharing enormously critical.

01/28/2009

Retraining will be critical to shift workers from downsizing to upsizing industries and fields of work. The danger is that a growing mismatch in qualifications and lack of a crisis mode in retraining efforts will leave large numbers of people permanently unemployed. The shift is ocurring with lightining speed. Would government sharing the initail cost of hiring and retrainng workers help as in the German example and the Harz reforms. See link.

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Wall Street Meets Reality

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Jamie Dimon’s harried JPMorgan Chase pushes campaign for worker training - The Washington Post

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Jobless Scars Will Outlast the Recession

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Help Wanted: Why That Sign's Bad

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Learning Labor Market Lessons from Germany

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The Last Holdouts Cast Their Lot With G.M.

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