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Paul Krugman responds to Arthur Laffer's points about inflation by saying reversing course would put us back into a steep downturn.
06/11/2009
Krugman says only three times in the past has amajor economy faced a liquidity trap, where there is no more room to cut interest rates. During the depression years, during Japan's lost decade and now. In the previous two situations, in 1937 and 1996, a premature tightening of credit put the economy back into a steep downturn.
Linked Articles
Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates
Wall Street Journal 06/11/2009
Stay the CourseNew York Times 06/15/2009
With $5 trillion of new debt issue estimated in 2009-2010, the prospect of continued bailout of auto industry for years dims outlook for reversing this.
06/03/2009
Some experts point to the need for a 50% reduction in capacity in the auto industry from 2008. Demand may be lower than the 9.5 million vehicle year that the auto task force says is needed for GM to breakeven. This will mean continued government aid to the industry for a number of years.
Linked Articles
Rising Interest on Nations’ Debts May Sap World Growth
New York Times 06/04/2009
Kicking the Tires on the General Motors DealWashington Post 06/03/2009
The huge downsizing in the auto industry creates the need for big government supported initatives in retraining.
05/21/2009
Vicotr Brown and the 60,000 former workers at GM's BUick City have worked at GM all their lives, and can't imagine anything else. How does one get them from joining the ranks of the permanently unemployed, is a challenge for the government. THe labor underutilization rate expected to reach 20% for 2010, could threaten the economic recovery, and put everything at risk.
Linked Articles
Stuck at Unemployed: When A Layoff Becomes a Lifestyle
Washington Post 06/06/2009
The Last Holdouts Cast Their Lot With G.M.New York Times 05/21/2009
What America can learn from the German example for government help to retrain workers and share costs to hire and retrain.
04/30/2009
The need for initiatives in this area are supercritical to handle the economic recovery correctly because of deepseated changes in the labor markets. In the absence of this high unemployment will coexist with millions of vacancies because of amismatch of qualifications. A lack of worker mobility. because of housing problems compounds this situation.
Linked Articles
Help Wanted: Why That Sign's Bad
BusinessWeek 04/30/2009
Learning Labor Market Lessons from GermanyBusinessWeek 04/30/2009
The head of Allstate on the need for effective financial regulation.
04/16/2009
Effective regulation and the effect of lobbying in creating areas of unregulated exposures.
Linked Articles
New York Times 04/16/2009
Danger in Wall Street’s ShadowsNew York Times 05/15/2009
The financial crisis poses a challenge to the idea of a single European Community, the EU itself.
02/26/2009
The countries of Eastern Europe and the banks of western European countries are enmeshed in a growing financial crisis that threatens the unity of Euope, and the idea of the European Community. What kind of help will Germany and other nations of western Europe provide. Will this be differentiated by different groups of countries like the Baltics different from Hungary, Poland, Romania, and the Czech Republic, and how will leaders like Angela Merkel of Germany negotiate the political winds, as she faces an upcoming election.
Linked Articles
The bill that could break up Europe
Economist 02/26/2009
Sweden Aids Bailout of Baltic NationsNew York Times 03/13/2009
Details of the Obama Stimulus package that is emerging and the need to create spending that is effective.
01/16/2009
Avoiding wasteful spending and balancing government initiative with efforts to get private investment and initiative through tax cuts and incentives to companies.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 01/16/2009
Government Spending Is No Free LunchWall Street Journal 01/22/2009
How global imbalances in savings were ignored as the risks increased.
12/26/2008
Prof. Portes on global imbalances in savings. What happened and why the risks were not understood by Bernanke, Greenspan, and others. The view that successful models are very hard to change, reluctance in China to disturb the status quo, and the difficulty of getting people to accept the need to move away from this without a crisis.
Linked Articles
Imbalance in Nations' Savings Clouds Forecasts for Recovery
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2009
Chinese Savings Helped Inflate American BubbleNew York Times 12/26/2008
The collapse of the consumer debt market in October 2008 and the Fed's response.
11/26/2008
The collapse of consumer debt market and the collapsing sales of automakers especially GM, and the need to revive the sale of consumer debt securites which in turn revives lending. But higher credit scores and consumer and bank fears may still keep demand in a contimuing slide.
Linked Articles
U.S. Consumer Loan Aid Will Trickle Only So Far
New York Times 11/27/2008
Fear Recedes in the Debt MarketsWall Street Journal 11/26/2008
Homeowners facing foreclosure and the lack of meaningful help.
09/29/2008
A new York Times editorial the day after the Senate passes the Bailout Plan for $700 billion on October 1, 2008, describes the lack of meaningful help and the WSJ describes the language in the bill that refers to foreclosure and several studies.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/02/2008
Rescue Includes Steps to Help Borrowers Keep HomesWall Street Journal 09/29/2008
Toyota Prius hybrid- hard sell in India and China
04/21/2008
The Prius is priced around $22,000 in Japan and the U.S. In India and China it costs around $40,000 with import duties. This makes it a hard sell where pollution is a major problem.
Linked Articles
In India, 'Green Cars' Look Like a Hard Sell
Wall Street Journal 01/08/2010
In China, Hybrids Are Tough SellWall Street Journal 04/21/2008
The change at Dana under McCracken
01/07/2008
As Dana moves out of bankruptcy ahead of Delphi. Experienced executives join Dana.
Linked Articles
GM's Ex-Finance Chief To Be Chairman of Dana
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2008
Getting Back On the RoadWall Street Journal 01/07/2008
Failure of political and military leaders in Pakistan since independence
01/02/2008
Zardari is another one of the cast of characters in the Pakistan story, this one associated with the Bhutto family. Brought down 2 civilian governments by engaging in widespread enrichment from government contracts.
Linked Articles
New York Times 01/06/2008
Pakistan's Zardari Poses A Quandary for U.S.Wall Street Journal 01/02/2008
The Cairo speech and view of Arab politicians.
06/04/2009
How Arab leaders view the Obama speech.
Linked Articles
President Obama's Cairo Appeal
Washington Post 06/05/2009
Egyptians Crave Deeds More Than WordsNew York Times 06/04/2009
An Arab view about the need to change old attitudes and perceptions about US and Muslim world differences.
06/03/2009
The need for education in the Muslim and Arab world that helps melt old attitudes and perceptions. This is a large region covering the Arabs in Egypt and North Africa to Muslims in South Asia.
Linked Articles
President Obama's Cairo Appeal
Washington Post 06/05/2009
Education vs. ExtremismWall Street Journal 06/03/2009
S. Korea's second household debt binge in the 15 years since the 1997 financial crisis
05/18/2009
The first period of rising household debt ocurred with the credit card boom when the government promoted consumer spending as a way to stimulate the economy. By 2003 this became a serous problem and the government rescued a credit card issuer in 2003. Household debt is again a major problem in 2012 with the increasing number of companies in financial lending that are not regulated.
Linked Articles
Notes From Another Credit Card Crisis
New York Times 05/18/2009
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/09/2012
The smaller stimulus and selective investments in 2012-2014 in China and how this affects construction and heavy equipment manufacturers
04/30/2009
The impact on Caterpillar, Volvo AB, Komatsu, John Deere, Cummins and domestic Chinese manufacturers of the smaller stimulus and selective investments in China in the years ahead. Manufacturers are exporting from China during this period of slowing sales in China.
Linked Articles
China Bets Sour for Heavy Equipment Firms
Wall Street Journal 08/16/2012
China's Stimulus Spurs U.S. BusinessWall Street Journal 04/30/2009
Reinhart's view that the Geithner Public-Private Investment program won't work
03/24/2009
Reinhart, joins Peter Eavis, Rosenfeld and Krugman, in view that this won't work. He thinks the government is just buying time for a favorable opportunity to take stronger action. It may be engaging in this circuitous roundabout plan as away of saying that we tried aprivate sector solution. Krugman warns though that time is running out with the job loss numbers.
Linked Articles
New York Times 04/06/2009
Why Congress Will Kill the Bank RescueWall Street Journal 03/24/2009
The idea of one Europe and financial crisis in Eastern Europe.
02/26/2009
How leaders of Germany, France and Britain respond to calls for help from Eastern European countries will determine the future of the European community and the European Union. Will a differentiated approach develop that provides help to the newer members of the EU. Will the Swedish example with the Baltics lead to a supportive role by Germany?
Linked Articles
The bill that could break up Europe
Economist 02/26/2009
Growing Economic Crisis Threatens the Idea of One EuropeNew York Times 03/02/2009
An Alternate View of U.S., and EU relations with Russia from Gates and German public opinion
01/05/2009
A look back at former Defense Secretary Gates views about Russia in the larger context of the postwar years and what it is today, including Georgia (and Crimea) and other issues. A similiar perspective fom the German side as seen by former chancellor Kohl, Merkel, Schroeder, and Ischinger, going back to the days of Wily Brandt. Brandt was Mayor of West Berlin in the period of enormous tensions between the Soviets and the Federal Republic during the sixties and later initiated the policy of constructive engagement.
Linked Articles
Pentagon Chief Sees Opportunities In Russia and the War on Terrorism
Washington Post 01/05/2009
Germany's Angela Merkel Treads Softly With Russia's Putin On UkraineWall Street Journal 04/08/2014
Readers of WSJ react to Rubin's defense of his role at Citigroup.
11/29/2008
Readers reactions to Rubin's defense of his work at Citgroup and his $115 million compensation since 1999.
Linked Articles
Rubin Should Simply Say He's Sorry and Then Leave
Wall Street Journal 12/05/2008
Rubin, Under Fire, Defends His Role at CitiWall Street Journal 11/29/2008
Warnings on energy by Stewart Udall, interior secretary under John Kennedy.
11/16/2008
Innovative public transportations systems that the automakers could do research and development to develop.
Linked Articles
Have You Driven a Bus or a Train Lately?
New York Times 11/16/2008
How High Gas Prices Can Save the Car IndustryNew York Times 11/16/2008
China makes a major shift to higher value added and technology products.
06/30/2008
The cheap products made at high costs to labor, the environment are out and the remaining textile products and similar product companies will have to be more sophisticated and make more value added products. Chinese government policy will discourage the older polluting factories in the south and encourage high tech leadership products for world markets.
Linked Articles
China’s Ambition Soars to High-Tech Industry
New York Times 08/01/2008
China's Export Machine Threatened by Rising CostsWall Street Journal 06/30/2008
Sharp and precipitious decline in auto sales in Japan and Germany in the global financial crisis of 2008
01/08/2008
Auto sales in Japan go back to the sales level of 1972, and auto sales in Germany decline to the level in 1990. Shows the maturing western markets and how this is affecting automakers strategy, and the shift to focus more on developing countries where the market is growing rapidly but which present challenges like the need to develop lower priced cars.
Linked Articles
German Car Demand Hits New Low as Fuel Costs Rise
Wall Street Journal 01/08/2008
Auto Sales in Japan Drop to a 35-Year LowWall Street Journal 01/08/2008
The military and civilian leadership in Pakistan for six decades since independence and the U.S. involvement in S. Asia
01/06/2008
Militancy shifts to a younger generation of leaders in the border provinces of Pakistan, Baluchistan, Northwest Frontier province and Waziristan. Taliban was a creation of the Pakistan army to create strategic depth for Pakistan by getting a Islami militant run organization take over Afghanistan after the Russians left. It has turned into a complete mess as that militancy has spread to Pakistan's border provinces.
Linked Articles
New York Times 01/06/2008
Next-Gen TalibanNew York Times 01/06/2008
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