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Dangers facing Turkey's economy with its dependence on foreign capital inflows and excessive growth in domestic credit for growth
10/04/2012
Foreign capital inflows that partly support the sharp growth in domestic credit could slow or reverse as happened in the 1997 Asian financial crisis. The IMF sees a credit to GDP ratio of over 5% as a warning light for developing economies. The IMF forecast is for this rato to be 7.28% for Turkey in 2103.
Linked Articles
No Ticker Tape Parade for Brazil's Currency Heroes
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2013
Syria Isn't Turkey's Only External WorryWall Street Journal 10/04/2012
Mexico's emergence as the fourth largest exporter of cars in the world in 2012
10/02/2012
Mexico is expected to export 2.14 million cars in 2012. This makes it the fourth largest exporter after Japan, Germany, and S. Korea. Mexico is expected to overtake S. Korea in a few years. About 130,000 engineers are graduating each year from Mexico's technical universities, according to President Calderon. Mexican plants have quality and productivity that is comparable to Japanese plants for Nissan, say Carlos Ghosn, Nissan CEO.
Linked Articles
In Mexico, Auto Plants Hit the Gas
Wall Street Journal 11/20/2012
In Mexico, auto industry fuels middle class - The Washington PostWashington Post 10/02/2012
U.S. bank lending not recovered by 2014 from the severe decline in lending in 2010-2012
09/27/2012
Linked Articles
Banks Wrestle With Lackluster Lending
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2014
Need a Loan? Where Do You Live?Wall Street Journal 09/27/2012
Indian prime minister Singh's economic plan in the face of slowing growth in 2012
09/21/2012
In a televised address Singh says the market opening measures for the retail and other sectors are needed to maintain growth and foreign investment. Finance minister Chidambaram tells the WSJ in an Oct 2012 interview- the risks were too great with India facing a lowering of its credit rating, and the government having reflected on the serious consequences of not acting spelled out in the worst case scenario of the Kelkar committee report. The Indian government actions include lowering diesel subsidies and action to control the deficit, with a plan to bring it down to 3% by 2017.
Linked Articles
Q&A With Finance Minister Chidambaram
Wall Street Journal 10/08/2012
Singh Appeals to India to Support His MeasuresNew York Times 09/21/2012
Greece's Path Back (5)- Negotiation after Negotiation for a Greece that "is really bleeding" 2011-2012
08/24/2012
Linked Articles
France, Germany Unify Approach to Greek Talks
Wall Street Journal 08/24/2012
Europe Gives Greece Two More Years for Budget CutsNew York Times 11/12/2012
The Sentier Research study that shows median American household income decline of $4019 from Jan 2009 to June 2012
08/23/2012
Worst hit groups in terms of the decline are blacks, people 55-64 nearing retirement, those with a high school diploma but no college degree. The decline affects both younger and older Americans.
Linked Articles
Big Income Losses for Those Nearing Retirement
New York Times 08/23/2012
Negative $4,019Wall Street Journal 08/25/2012
Romney's choice of Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin for the U.S. presidential election of 2012
08/11/2012
Linked Articles
Paul Ryan is Romney’s pick for vice presidential nominee - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/11/2012
George Will: Romney’s presidential pick - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/13/2012
The changes at Barclays Bank in 2012-2013
08/09/2012
Linked Articles
A Five Point Plan for Barclays
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2012
Barclays New Chairman’s on What a Chairman Should BeWall Street Journal 08/09/2012
Britain and the huge morale boost from the 2012 London Olympics
08/06/2012
Linked Articles
British Are Unexpectedly Proud and Excited About Olympics
New York Times 08/11/2012
At London Olympics, British pride surges with medal count - The Washington PostWashington Post 08/06/2012
The costly software failure that cost U.S. brokerage house Knight Capital $440 million with erroneous orders on August 1, 2012
08/02/2012
Software that was introduced without proper testing by management at Knight Capital resulted in a blizzard of wrong orders going out on August 1. This led to suspension of trading on the New York Stock Exchange after identifying Knight Capital as the source.
Linked Articles
Trying to be Nimble Knight Capital Stumbles
New York Times 08/02/2012
Knight Capital Says Trading Glitch Cost it $440 MillionNew York Times 08/02/2012
U.S. Federal Reserve policy with GDP growth of 1.5% in the second quarter of 2012
07/28/2012
Janet Yellen, deputy chairman at the U.S. Fed says there is need for the Fed to act considering the risks emerging from the eurozone and lack of policy direction from the U.S. Congress.
Linked Articles
Some at Fed Urge Pre-emptive Stimulus
New York Times 07/30/2012
Weak Economy Heads LowerWall Street Journal 07/28/2012
The slow response of Spain compared to the more aggressive aproach of France
07/18/2012
The contrast between Spain's lack of strong and quick action for its banking problems and France's aggressive approach to its debt problem. Spain's problems come from the housing bubble and bad loans in parts of the banking sector especially the cajas savings banks. The lack of strong and early action by bank supervisors at the central bank and the government to cleanup the banks created conditions requiring a bailout. The problems in France which did not experience a housing bubble were the result of slow growth, rising debt and deficits. France took an aggressive approach to tackle these problems, with shared sacrifices, and setting a goal of bringing the deficit down to 3% in 2013 with its 2013 budget.
Linked Articles
France's New Budget Focuses on Cutting Deficit
New York Times 09/28/2012
Spanish Official: Slow Reaction to CrisisWall Street Journal 07/18/2012
The debt burden of Illinois with the worst credit rating of the 50 U.S. states (2)
07/18/2012
Illinois's per capita debt exceeds $9000.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2012
Report Details Threats to States' Fiscal HealthWall Street Journal 07/18/2012
The perils for Turkey's economy with the surge in short term external debt of the private sector and the street protests in Istanbul
10/04/2012
Linked Articles
Syria Isn't Turkey's Only External Worry
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2012
Financial Fears Gain Credence as Unrest Shakes TurkeyNew York Times 06/05/2013
What a difference a year makes for the government bonds of Italy and Spain
10/02/2012
ECB chief, Mario Draghi made the famous statement on July 23, 2012, that he would "do whatever it takes" to bring down the yields on the government bonds of Italy and Spain. These bond yields had reached 7.5%, worsening the debt position of the two countries. A year later in August 2013 the bond yields were down, the gap with German bond yields narrowed, and the first signs of recovery in the eurozone made investment in the bonds of Italy and Spain attractive. Emerging market debt faced the opposite of what they faced in July 2013, as the currencies of India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Turkey, Brazil and other developing countries depreciated significantly. As the U.S. Federal Reserve begins its pull back from its monetary easing policy capital flows and foreign investment to to emerging markets reversed causing grief in countries which depended on these inflows to finance deficits in the current account.
Linked Articles
How ECB Chief Outflanked German Foe in Fight for Euro
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2012
Europe Bonds May Offer More ValueWall Street Journal 08/23/2013
An assessment of Germany's Angela Merkel's 10 years in office (1)- from the eurozone crisis to Ukraine and the refugee crisis
09/25/2012
Linked Articles
Economist 11/11/2015
Matthew Kaminski: The Accidental Architect of a New EuropeWall Street Journal 09/25/2012
Companies that created remarkable opportunities in 2012-2013- Denmark's Lego A/S and CEO Wesley Knudstrop
08/31/2012
Linked Articles
Lego Shrugs Off Toy-Market Blues
Wall Street Journal 02/22/2013
Lego Chief Sees Weak U.S. Demand for ToysWall Street Journal 08/31/2012
Drop in incomes in the U.S., especially older Americans in 2012-2013
08/23/2012
Linked Articles
Big Income Losses for Those Nearing Retirement
New York Times 08/23/2012
Big Income Losses for Those Nearing RetirementNew York Times 08/23/2012
Nokia's plunging marketshare in the smartphone market as it moves to seventh place by Nov. 2012
08/14/2012
Linked Articles
Nokia Slips to Seventh in Smartphone Market
Wall Street Journal 11/15/2012
HTC Beefs Up China Push as U.S., Europe LagWall Street Journal 08/14/2012
David Walker, the new chairman of Barclays Bank in 2012- the man to set Britain's banking on the right path
08/09/2012
Linked Articles
A True Brit Is the Choice by Barclays
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2012
Barclays New Chairman’s on What a Chairman Should BeWall Street Journal 08/09/2012
Canada's DBRS, a little known credit ratings firm that made a large difference for the credit ratings of Italy and Spain
08/09/2012
Canada's DBRS put less weight on the political shifts in Italy and more on the low growth rate. It rated Italy A (low) in November 2013, much higher than the ratings given by Moody's and S&P. This was important in the eurozone crisis because the European Central Bank uses the highest rating on a sovereign country's bonds to decide discounts on collateral pledged by banks to the ECB. DBRS has more faith in the lasting value of the euro and sees through the ups and downs of the crisis. It takes a similiar upbeat long term view of Spain. DBRS has credibility because it did not move ratings up as much before the 2008 financial crisis, and did not move the ratings down as much during the crisis, as the large credit ratings firms.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/09/2012
The Key to Italy's Rating Is Kept in CanadaWall Street Journal 11/02/2013
The view that with P5+1 talks with Iran ending in no agreement, the crisis with Iran is reaching a critical stage in August 2012
08/06/2012
Israeli views on the continued development of nuclear weapons capabilities by Iran in the face of tightened sanctions and diplomatic efforts. Oren and Yadlin see this has having reached a critical stage before military action.
Linked Articles
Get ready to fight Iran - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/18/2012
Time Is Short For Iran DiplomacyWall Street Journal 08/06/2012
The failure of India's power grid in 2012 and the need for investment in power plants and energy sources
07/31/2012
Linked Articles
Power Failures Hit Millions in India
New York Times 07/31/2012
India's Power Network Breaks DownWall Street Journal 08/01/2012
New GASB, Moody's rules show a widening gap in the funding of public pensions in the U.S.
07/18/2012
The Volcker- Ravitch State Budget Crisis Task Force identified the problems facing U.S. states and cities which have poorly funded public pension funds. The problems are large and real as seen through the GASB rules, and the findings of the Volcker-Ravitch Task Force.
Linked Articles
New rules expose bigger funding gaps for public pensions - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/17/2012
Report Details Threats to States' Fiscal HealthWall Street Journal 07/18/2012
The debt burden of Illinois with the worst credit rating of the 50 U.S. states (1)
07/18/2012
The debt per capita for the state of Illinois exceeds $9000.
Linked Articles
Illinois Debt Takes Toll on Services, Study Finds
New York Times 10/24/2012
Report Details Threats to States' Fiscal HealthWall Street Journal 07/18/2012
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