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Time Is Short For Iran Diplomacy
Keywords:
Israel's ambassador to the U.S., Michael Oren, describes Iran's efforts to make weapons grade nuclear material, escalating the enrichment process from 3.5% to 20%. He says Iran now has 225 pounds of 20% uranium and 11,000 pounds of 3.5%, enough for 5 nuclear bombs, and points out that 20% uranium can be enhanced to weapons grade in weeks. During the initial negotiations the P5+1 nations demanded suspension of enrichment acitivites at a time when the enrichment process was at 3.5%, and transfer of stockpiles abroad. As negotiations dragged on Iran escalated to 20% enrichment. current demands of the P5+1 are for cessation of 20% enrichment and removal of the 20% stockpile, and closing the facility at Qom, as a first step. This has been rejected by Iran. In this op-ed Oren says Israel alerted the world about the Iranian nuclear program 20 years ago, and as this has continued to what it is today, Israel's view is that much of that time was wasted and the window for international efforts to cease and dismantle Iran's nuclear program is almost shut.
Michael Oren, former Ambassador of Israel to the U.S. and U.S.- Israel relations
05/14/2012
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With inflation running at 20%, and facing sanctions from the EU and the U.S., the Iranian currency declined in value from 7000 rials to the dollar to 15,150 rials to the dollar, acccording to the Fars News Agency.
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Forecasts in Dec. 2011 show oil prices remaining above $100 a barrel in 2012. The threat of Iranian retaliation for increased sanctions in the Straits of Hormuz have embedded a $10-$20 premium in oil prices say some experts. Saudia Arabia and other oil states have increased social spending after the democracy protests in the Arab world, and would like to see higher prices to support this spending.
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U.S. defense arrangements in the Persian Gulf and the Straits of Hormuz in 2012-2015
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U.S. deployment of radar in Israel and Qatar as it tightens sanctions on Iran in 2012-2013. The situation in 2015 as Iranian backed Houthi rebels advance into the southern port city of Aden in Yemen, and the combined U.S. and Saudi air strikes and control of airspace in Yemen. Aden on the Persian Gulf is close to the sea lanes in which a large amount of the world's oil moves to Europe, the U.S. and Asia from Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Kuwait.
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Scenarios for ar or conflict between Israel, the U.S. and Iran.
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Avraharm Burg calls for a rethink on what it means to be "a Jewish and Democratic state" and the true basis of the U.S. -Israel relationship
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Avraharm Burg a former speaker of the Knesset, and a son of a founder of the state of Israel asks Israelis and Jews worldwide to think back to the days of the founding of the state, and think broadly and deeply about what "Jewish" and "democratic" mean, that this will be good for the state of Israel in the long run, and find the truer original basis of the ideas that bring together the U.S., Europe and the state of Israel.
Grouped Articles
Israel Struggles With Its Identity
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Time Is Short For Iran Diplomacy
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Israel and Palestine
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New York Times 03/16/2015
Netanyahu Soundly Defeats Chief Rival in Israeli Elections
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The view that with P5+1 talks with Iran ending in no agreement, the crisis with Iran is reaching a critical stage in August 2012
08/06/2012
Israeli views on the continued development of nuclear weapons capabilities by Iran in the face of tightened sanctions and diplomatic efforts. Oren and Yadlin see this has having reached a critical stage before military action.
Linked Articles
Get ready to fight Iran - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/18/2012
Time Is Short For Iran Diplomacy
Wall Street Journal 08/06/2012
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