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India's general election in 2019- performance and flaws of the Modi government
06/05/2018
Differing views of the Modi government, views of the middle class hurt by demonetisation uncertainty from Dhume and views representing the interests of the rural, lower income and other part of the middle class from Arvind Panagriya. Some of the changes brought about by the Modi government reflecting the vision of Mahatma Gandhi for fundamental change from the ground up in the villages and rural parts of India- health and sanitation, access to bank accounts, access to health care- coupled with Nehru's vision of modernization using the technologies of the twenty first century.
Linked Articles
Times of India Blog 06/05/2018
Modi government at four years: It has pushed through a range of structural reforms whose results will showTimes of India Blog 05/30/2018
Stable oil prices and low volatility in 2018- the result of U.S. shale oil supply stream and OPEC/Russia cuts
06/01/2018
This low volatility in oil prices is good for both producers and consumers, and shale oil from U.S. is a big part of this.
Linked Articles
How OPEC and Shale Have Squeezed Out Volatility in the Oil Market
WSJ 06/01/2018
The New Tech That Terrifies OPECWSJ 06/01/2018
The moderating influence of business executives Gary Cohn, Wilbur Ross and Muilenburg on president Trump- change in policy on NAFTA, Mexico, China and Export Import Bank
04/14/2017
Business executives help moderate the campaign positions taken by Donald Trump during the first 100 days of his presidency, putting him closer to the traditional view on China, Mexico, NATO and Russia.
Linked Articles
Donald Trump’s Recent Policy Reversals Reflect Business Influence
WSJ 04/14/2017
Within Trump’s inner circle, a moderate voice captures the president’s earWashington Post 04/14/2017
Chancellor Merkel and the events at Budapest Kelesti Station in early Sept 2015 that gave the German government only a few hours to act
09/21/2016
Linked Articles
What happens next | ZEIT ONLINE
ZEIT ONLINE 08/30/2016
Merkel Accepts Responsibility for Party’s Losses in Berlin ElectionThe New York Times 09/19/2016
Why initiating Brexit by invoking the Lisbon Treaty's Article 50 could go into 2017, or even past 2020 into new general elections- (2) the British economy and the Bank of England's stimulus effort to avoid a recession
08/16/2016
The stimulus action of the Bank of England in August 2016 was designed to avert a recession in Britain. The Bank of England estimates that even with the stimulus the Brexit move will lead to a 1% drop in economic growth every year for 3 years as compared to staying in the European Union. The British public is weary of the austerity programs for 7 years under finance minister Osborne. if higher growth under Brexit turns out to be an illusion as the Bank of England forecasts show, there would be reason for much reflection on the meaning of the vote- seeing it as a rejection of the Cameron-Osborne government in favor of a government more in tune with the interests of working class people under Theresa May.
Linked Articles
Wait and see: Theresa May is in no hurry on Brexit | Europe | DW.COM | 15.08.2016
DW.COM 08/15/2016
Bank of England unveils four-pronged stimulus package in bid to avoid Brexit recessionThe Telegraph 08/04/2016
Angela Merkel's leadership during the immigration and Brexit crises by July 2016- increasing support for the European Union in Germany and personal support up to 59 percent in Deutschland trending poll
07/08/2016
By offering "calm and composed" leadership during the Brexit crisis, and being flexible in dealing with genuine concerns about immigration in Germany, Merkel shows Europe a better way than fractious British, French or American politics during a critical period when good responsible leadership is missing.
Linked Articles
Poll: Brexit vote boosts support for EU in Germany | News | DW.COM | 08.07.2016
DW.COM 07/08/2016
Angela Merkel Is Motivated By Decency, Not PoliticsWall Street Journal 12/21/2015
Governance, corruption and rule of law- new political dynamics and voter focus in Mexico in 2016-2017
06/10/2016
Public discontent with governance and rule of law are major issues in Mexico in 2016-2017
Linked Articles
Mexico’s Ruling Party Loses Gubernatorial Races in Several States
WSJ 06/10/2016
Mexico Stubbornly Resists AccountabilityNew York Times 01/04/2016
Charles Koch and the New York Times on Trump's statements about Mexicans, and the campaign for presidency of the U.S.
04/24/2016
Linked Articles
Washington Post 04/24/2016
The Donald Trump Pygmalion ProjectNew York Times 04/26/2016
The Trump campaign organizational and advertising effort financing falling way behind Hillary Clinton in April 2016, and behind Mitt Romney at this stage in April 2016
04/20/2016
Linked Articles
Trump’s Campaign Spending on the Rise
Wall Street Journal 04/22/2016
Group Backing Hillary Clinton Begins Reserving $125 Million in Ads for the FallNew York Times 04/20/2016
The EU's evolving relations with Turkey in 2016- Germany's Merkel and the Erdogan government reach an agreement on refugees in March 2016
03/07/2016
Merkel facing populist pressures and opposition from the CDU to accepting more refugees tries to get Turkey to stem the flow and send refugees back to Turkey. The Erdogan government with its own problems and seeking a closer relationship with the EU following the Russian bombing of the Turkmen in Syria and shooting down of a Russian plane approves the agreement.
Linked Articles
Stakes Are High for Germany’s Angela Merkel in Success of New Migrant Deal
Wall Street Journal 03/24/2016
Turkey Places Conditions on E.U. for Migrant HelpNew York Times 03/07/2016
The Donald Trump campaign for U.S. president in 2016- strategies from "The Art of the Deal"
02/25/2016
Thinking big embracing the entire electorate, using social media to the fullest, improvising often based on voter sentiment, commonsense approaches, worked for Trump in the Republican primaries in 2016. The failure of the other candidates to address issues of voter frustration, and splitting of the vote with many candidates, created the opportunity for Trump to succeed with his unconventional campaigning style coupled with a careful attention to what troubled voters.
Linked Articles
Donald Trump’s Campaign Blueprint: His Own Book
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2016
Trump and the Also-RansWall Street Journal 02/25/2016
Donald Trump's Style Book and the campaign for the 2016 U.S. Republican primaries
01/25/2016
Linked Articles
Behind Donald Trump’s Attack Strategy
Wall Street Journal 01/25/2016
Trump Laid Out His Playbook 30 Years AgoWall Street Journal 01/25/2016
U.S. presidential candidate Ted Cruz's organizational effort for the Iowa caucuses in Jan. 2016, and a different voter rally based campaign run by Donald Trump
12/14/2015
Linked Articles
Ted Cruz Counters Donald Trump With Targeted Approach in Iowa
New York Times 01/30/2016
Cruz campaign credits psychological data and analytics for its rising success - The Washington PostWashington Post 12/14/2015
India's foreign relations in 2018 after the Wuhan Summit - a close relationship with the U.S. balanced by good relations with China and Russia
06/05/2018
Wuhan Summit
Linked Articles
Chinese, Indian Leaders Seek Harmony After a Fractious Year
WSJ 04/26/2018
Why India avoids alliancesThe Economist 06/02/2018
Lessons for India, Mexico and China from the failures in Brazil
04/03/2018
Linked Articles
These Developing Countries Are Getting Old Before They Get Rich, with Dire Consequences
WSJ 04/02/2018
Yellow Fever Circles Brazil’s Huge CitiesThe New York Times 03/05/2018
Deutsche Bank legal settlements, including $14 billion with the U.S. Justice Department, that may require rescue by the German government
09/27/2016
Linked Articles
Opinion: Deutsche Bank in dire straits | Opinion | DW.COM | 27.09.2016
DW.COM 09/27/2016
America’s Department of Justice asks Deutsche Bank for $14 billionThe Economist 09/16/2016
Chancellor Merkel and listening to German public opinion reflected in state elections of 2016
09/20/2016
Here we argue that contrary to general media coverage in the NYT, WSJ, Economist, and German media, a year from now Merkel may be seen more positively. This is because Merkel has always listened to public opinion carefully, and has told the German public frankly what happened- that she and the German government were caught unprepared in the refugee crisis that came up in summer 2015.
Linked Articles
German politics is turning into a six-party system
The Economist 09/19/2016
Opinion: Berlin, capital of mediocrity | Opinion | DW.COM | 19.09.2016DW.COM 09/19/2016
Trump's campaign chief Manafort and the issue of consulting work in Ukraine for ousted Ukrainian president Yakunovych
08/16/2016
Linked Articles
How Paul Manafort Wielded Power in Ukraine Before Advising Donald Trump
The New York Times 08/01/2016
Secret Ledger in Ukraine Lists Cash for Donald Trump’s Campaign ChiefThe New York Times 08/15/2016
Public focus on good governance, corruption and the rule of law- the situation in Mexico and Brazil in 2016
06/10/2016
The Worker's Party in Brazil and the PRI have seen a sharp decline in popularity by 2016 with public discontent over governance, corruption and the rule of law.
Linked Articles
Mexico’s Ruling Party Loses Gubernatorial Races in Several States
WSJ 06/10/2016
Brazil Workers’ Party, Leaders ‘Intoxicated by Power,’ Falls From GraceNew York Times 05/12/2016
U.S. president Obama and prime minister Narendra Modi of India- forging a new chapter in relations
06/06/2016
Linked Articles
President Obama and India’s Modi Forge an Unlikely Friendship
The New York Times 06/06/2016
A renewed U.S.-India partnership for the 21st century - The Washington PostWashington Post 09/30/2014
The Bernie Sanders campaign and its effect of increasing negative perceptions of Hillary Clinton
04/20/2016
Linked Articles
Presidential Front-Runners Get Breathing Room After New York Vote
Wall Street Journal 04/20/2016
Hillary Clinton won New York, but her image is underwater - The Washington PostWashington Post 04/20/2016
Donald Trump's proposal for 45% tariff on China's exports to the U.S.- how a policy of bringing jobs home could lead to the loss of 1 million U.S. jobs
03/08/2016
By damaging the international trading system including with allies such a Canada, Britain, France and Germany, the result of a downward spiral through higher tariffs in other countries, could end up costing the U.S. 1 million jobs. Under such a system the U.S. would lose many of the advantages of its booming tech sector, its tech driven global advantages in many industries, without signifcant gains in low cost imports such as clothing which would simply migrate to other countries such as India. The problem of worker wage stagnation in the U.S., and loss of jobs in certain sectors, is very real, but this is the wrong way to tackle the problem. China is already moving towards a consumer driven economy. Economists show that trade with Mexico would be seriously hurt both ways, creating more pressure of migrants at the border under such proposals as a 45% tariff and its indirect effect on Mexico, when the actual fact is that net migration from Mexico is the lowest it has ben in decades. Politics can do strange things as when two senators Smoot and Hawley from agricultural states Utah and Oregon, at the head of important committees in the U.S. Congress pushed and passed legislation for a 60% tariff in 1930 for the industrial sector they had no idea about. When Smoot and Hawley lost reelection in 1932 they left behind a lot of damage, especially for the farmers and workers they thought they were fighting for.
Linked Articles
How Trump’s Hard Line on Trade Could Backfire
Wall Street Journal 03/25/2016
Can Trump Start a Trade War?Wall Street Journal 03/08/2016
How Argentina's new government of Mauricio Macri achieved the difficult negotiation and final settlement of $9.3 billion with U.S. hedge funds
03/03/2016
Linked Articles
How Argentina Settled a Billion-Dollar Debt Dispute With Hedge Funds
New York Times 04/25/2016
After 15 Years, a Bond Trade Now Pays OffWall Street Journal 03/03/2016
The Trump U.S. Republican presidential campaign and the deterioration in the political discourse in the U.S. in 2015-2016
01/27/2016
Linked Articles
Trump’s toxic temperament should disqualify him from the presidency - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/29/2016
A Myopic Shift Toward TrumpWall Street Journal 01/27/2016
The U.S. presidential election campaign in 2016- the Republican primaries and the contest between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz tapping into anger at the grassroots
01/15/2016
Linked Articles
Republican Debate Defined by Trump-Cruz Clash
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2016
The Take: Can Donald Trump actually be the Republican nominee? - The Washington PostWashington Post 01/15/2016
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