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With no safey net Chinese savings rate is high and the export model is entrenched pushing Chinese savings into financing American consumption.
11/26/2008
With the collapse of export markets in the U.S., China and the U.S. are now having to face up to the problems inherent in American dependence on Chinese products and Chinese savings to finance excessive consumption, and Chinese dependence on American export markets.
Linked Articles
Chinese Savings Helped Inflate American Bubble
New York Times 12/26/2008
Global Economy: No Help from China's ConsumersBusinessWeek 11/26/2008
GM to accelerate factory closings to save money as it has no access to credit.
10/14/2008
With credit markets frozen as a result of the global financial crisis in late Sept and early October, GM has no access to credit markets. GM is now accelerating closure of plants to meet the new situation.
Linked Articles
Detroit Free Press 10/14/2008
Howes: One of Big 3 may not surviveDetroit News 10/14/2008
New York Times editorial asks Congress to "Show us Hope" as 12 million households or 1 in 6 mortgages go under water.
10/02/2008
NYT laments the lack of anything to give hope to homeowners in the $700 billion bailout plan. So do Feldstein and Hubbard both Republican Presidential advisors of reagan and Bush.
Linked Articles
New York Times 10/02/2008
Housing Pain Gauge: Nearly 1 in 6 Owners 'Under Water'Wall Street Journal 10/08/2008
Bob Woodward on decisionmaking in the Obama White House and the Bush White House
09/15/2008
In "The War Within" Woodward described how Bush persevered to get the job done right in Iraq. In "The Price of Politics," Woodward describes how Obama failed to use his presidential leadership and suthority to get all sides to reach an agreement. Bill Keller of the NYT says Obama failed to make the "unpleasant choices" a president has to make, including supporting the president's own Simpson-Bowles Commission on the U.S. deficit.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/15/2008
Notable & QuotableWall Street Journal 09/07/2012
Friedman and Kotter on persuasion in politics or running companies where appeal is to gut feel.
09/04/2008
Not logic and details or detailed powerpoints but appeal to gut feel becomes important in getting people to get eager and motivated to get things done and push vigorously.
Linked Articles
New York Times 09/10/2008
John Kotter on How to Transform CompaniesBusinessWeek 09/04/2008
McCain and the Republican's views of Putin and their background which affects their views of Russia.
08/12/2008
McCain's remarks that when he looks into the Russian President's eyes he sees the letters K,G, B. Shows the differeing perceptions among the Republicans, as Bush's remark was that he could see the soul of Putin in his eyes.
Linked Articles
War Puts Focus on McCain’s Hard Line on Russia
New York Times 08/12/2008
Putin Calls Shots to Salve Old WoundsNew York Times 08/12/2008
The U.S. automobile market in 2008-2013- collapse, recovery and renewal
05/20/2008
Linked Articles
Car Makers' Boom Years Now Look Like a Bubble
Wall Street Journal 05/20/2008
Auto Makers Rebound as Buyers Go BigWall Street Journal 01/04/2014
The Bush domestic agenda by 2008
01/28/2008
How the Bush Presidency lost out on the potential and the possibilities for action in domestic policy through ideological politcs and disregard for cooperation with Democrats. The influence of Secretary Paulson to reverse this during the last year as an economically risky situation unfolds.
Linked Articles
Paulson’s Deal-Making Revives Treasury’s Relevance
New York Times 01/28/2008
The Bush Who Got AwayNew York Times 01/28/2008
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01/23/2008
EU's proposed change by 2013 would require companies to buy emissions permits. Previously under Kyoto Protocal rules these permits were first handed out free and then bought by the heavy polluters in a carbon market.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 01/23/2008
U.S. Given Poor Marks on the EnvironmentNew York Times 01/23/2008
Reform at Pemex and opening up Mexico's oil industry to foreign investment held up for a decade and the cost to the Mexican economy
12/19/2007
Reforms at Pemex and opening up the oil industry to foreign investment were held up in the Calderon administration after repeated efforts by the PAN party government to get the PRI and PRD's support. The final changes to the bill to make it more attractive for foreign oil companies to compete with Pemex were pushed by PAN in alliance with the PRI Nieto administration in 2013. The cost to Mexico is a lost decade in oil exploration in deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and a steep decline in oil revenues as Mexico turned into a net energy importer in March 2013, according to the WSJ.
Linked Articles
Economist 12/19/2007
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy ImpasseWall Street Journal 12/12/2013
Diplomacy with Iran and changing perceptions.
12/11/2007
The reversal of intelligence estimate of Iran concluding tha Iran gave up developing nuclear weapons in 2003, how it now creates a huge shift to diplomatic negotiations and peaceful resolution of differences.
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/11/2007
In Iran Reversal, Bureaucrats Triumphed Over Cheney TeamWall Street Journal 01/14/2008
An internal 2006 Pemex report showing a sharp decline in production, and the situation in 2013 with Mexico a net energy importer in March 2013
08/02/2006
Mexico's oil law comes as the nation faced a crisis in declining oil production since 2006. Efforts by the newly elected PAN party Calderon administration in that year and throughout its term in office failed to open up the oil industry to foreign investment, as the PRI and the PRD opposition parties opposed this. A two thirds majority in Congress was needed to change the constitution allowing foreign oil companies to compete with state owned Pemex. The increasing oil production from shale in the U.S. and Canada has increased the urgency, and the potential in deep waters off Mexico for which Pemex needs the technology of foreign oil companies has added to this.
Linked Articles
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy Impasse
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2013
Mexico's Biggest Oil Field Sees DeclineWall Street Journal 08/02/2006
In the past decade China's consumption as percentage of GDP drops 10% to 37%, America's rise to 96%.
11/26/2008
This leads to the global imbalance in savings that London B-School's Prof. Portes complains about. Cross border flows fro, Asia to the West reach 3% of global GDP, pumping extra money into the US banking system, and the European banking system leading to bad lending and a consumption binge. The reluctance of China and the U.S. to change the staus quo till things simply collapsed.
Linked Articles
Imbalance in Nations' Savings Clouds Forecasts for Recovery
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2009
Global Economy: No Help from China's ConsumersBusinessWeek 11/26/2008
Wall Street Journal editorial says the British Plan is the right way to go.
10/09/2008
Gordon Brown's rescue Plan goes directly to the problem of recapitalizing the banks and gets ownership stakes in return for taxpayer money and is a good one in the view of the WSJ.
Linked Articles
Britain Takes a Different Route to Rescue Its Banks
New York Times 10/09/2008
A Plan -- at LastWall Street Journal 10/09/2008
The Martin Feldstein plan to address foreclosures and the plan of Glenn Hubbard.
10/02/2008
Feldstein headed Reagan's economic policy team, and Hubbard headed the elder Bush's economic policy team. Its interesting that both lamented the lack of addressing the foreclosures as root of the problem. Feldstein and Hubbard gave their own proposals on the pages of the WSJ on the eve of the $700 billion bailout. The bailout plan had this gaping hole in it- with little for serious foreclosure prevention.
Linked Articles
The Problem Is Still Falling House Prices
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2008
First, Let's Stabilize Home PricesWall Street Journal 10/02/2008
Fed not likely to risk taxpayer money on Lehman
09/12/2008
Lehman may be allowed to fail or a sale arranged by Treasury without taxpayer funds.
Linked Articles
No Deal Reached Yet to Decide Lehman's Fate
Wall Street Journal 09/13/2008
Sink or Swim for LehmanWall Street Journal 09/12/2008
Sheila Barr voices concern about lack of serious homeowner help, only institutional help.
08/27/2008
FDIC's Sheila Barr voices concern for a lack of serious homeowner help and an incomprehensible reluctance to do anything serious for homeowners in Congress or the Bush Administration even as Barr, Paulson and Bernanke offered no choice to CEO's of leading banks at the meeting last week in Paulson's offices but to sign term sheets for accepting $125 billion from the government. Another $125 billion goes to smaller banks. And a unspecified amount goes to buy troubled assets under TARP, and money to buy commercial paper, and other institutional help. Still nothing on a large comprehensive basis to help homeowners in difficulty which is at the root of this crisis according to Feldstein, Hubbard, Bair.
Linked Articles
FDIC Chief Raps Rescue for Helping Banks Over Homeowners
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2008
Agency’s Head Expects Banking’s Crisis to WorsenNew York Times 08/27/2008
China's oil demand to grow at 2-3% over the next 15 years by one estimate.
06/20/2008
A much slower growth in oil demand as fuel efficient engines make a strong impact. Government policy raising oil prices, giving tax breaks for smaller engines to promote smaller cars on Chinese roads, and promotion of new hybrid and electric car technologies with significant subsidies, all push in this direction.
Linked Articles
China's Thirst for Oil Could Come Up Short
Wall Street Journal 06/01/2010
China Sharply Raises Energy PricesNew York Times 06/20/2008
Imbalances in the global economy that will take time to correct- the situation in the U.S., Europe and emerging markets in 2012-2013
05/05/2008
The perception that "this time is different" is a typical behavioural reaction in history to to financial crises studied by Rogoff and Reinhart. Economic weakness is part of the mechanism for correcting global imbalances which happens over a number of years.
Linked Articles
Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2008
Boom, Bust. Repeat.Wall Street Journal 10/09/2009
Bush-Paulson stimulus package in 2008 and bipartisan cooperation
01/26/2008
Treasury Secretary Paulson and the deft diplomacy and bridgebuilding that led to bipartisan agreement on a stimulus package and set the stage for cooperative work from Republicans and Democrats to restore public confidence in the political leadership of the country to act concertedly.
Linked Articles
Paulson’s Deal-Making Revives Treasury’s Relevance
New York Times 01/28/2008
Stimulus Deal Spurred by Fears Of Voter BacklashWall Street Journal 01/26/2008
The Class of 1977 in China -with the first competitive university entrance exams in 12 years- and Li Keqiang
01/06/2008
China's new prime minister in 2013 is from the Class of 1977, when there was a huge burst of energy as students looked with great excitement to gaining knowledge after a decade when learning and books were suppressed.
Linked Articles
1977 Exam Opened Escape Route Into China’s Elite
New York Times 01/06/2008
Next Premier Came of Age in Era of OpennessWall Street Journal 11/16/2012
Saudi Arabia's $600 billion investment plan in aluminum, chemicals, and new cities.
12/12/2007
What does the investment binge in Saudi Arabia mean in terms of how well its been thought through, the productive use of the money, will it create enough jobs, what it means for oil prices.
Linked Articles
The Construction Site Called Saudi Arabia
New York Times 01/20/2008
Saudi Industrial Drive Strains Oil-Export RoleWall Street Journal 12/12/2007
VW's transition from failing in the U.S. market to competing effectively with Toyota and American automakers- 2007-2013
07/23/2007
Linked Articles
VW Gains Traction With Big U.S. Push
Wall Street Journal 01/11/2013
Can VW Finally Find Its Way In America?BusinessWeek 07/23/2007
Employment in the auto industry, GDP growth targets and increasing auto emissions in China's cities
06/13/2006
Environmental pollution in China's cities and increasing auto emissions that pose dangers to health. The situation in 2007 was deteriorating . By 2013 Beijing was seeing air quality extremes of 700 micrograms per square meter, with 500 routine. WHO standards show 300 micrograms as dangerous for health. Pressure to push for GDP growth is intense for local officals and the environmental agency lacked powers for enforcement. The car population was doubling every few years in this period 2000-2012.
Linked Articles
As China's Auto Market Booms, Leaders Clash Over Heavy Toll
Wall Street Journal 06/13/2006
As China Roars, Pollution Reaches Deadly ExtremesNew York Times 08/26/2007
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