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IHS Energy Associates's Yergin sees shale technologies changing the energy business by 2020, and IEA misses this completely
05/22/2008
Long term forecasting is a difficult business. IEA's 2015 forecast missed the situation in 2015 completely. Yergin was right but did not see how fast this would happen with oil prices down to $50 per barrel in 2015 and prices at the pump below $2.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2011
Energy Watchdog Warns Of Oil-Production CrunchWall Street Journal 05/22/2008
Imbalances in the global economy that will take time to correct- the situation in the U.S., Europe and emerging markets in 2012-2013
05/05/2008
The perception that "this time is different" is a typical behavioural reaction in history to to financial crises studied by Rogoff and Reinhart. Economic weakness is part of the mechanism for correcting global imbalances which happens over a number of years.
Linked Articles
Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2008
Boom, Bust. Repeat.Wall Street Journal 10/09/2009
The Toyota Prius hybrid - top selling in Japan and a hard sell in China
04/21/2008
Linked Articles
Toyota's Prius top sellig car in 2009.
Detroit News 01/09/2010
In China, Hybrids Are Tough SellWall Street Journal 04/21/2008
Greenspan and his philosophy that let him take such an ambitious experiment in unrestrained markets.
04/08/2008
Grennspan took huge risks in his ambitious experiment with the American economy of a philosophy that simply said allow markets to operate unrestrained and trust in humans benevolent intentions and enlightened self interest. Goodman and Ip document the details. Did he believe that there was something miraculous that would prevent things from imploding, something inherently sacred about an idea of markets, when plain common sense like Buffets said that the arithmetic did not add up and in the end thats all that counts common sense.
Linked Articles
Taking Hard New Look at a Greenspan Legacy
New York Times 10/09/2008
His Legacy Tarnished, Greenspan Goes on DefensiveWall Street Journal 04/08/2008
Sharp and precipitious decline in auto sales in Japan and Germany in the global financial crisis of 2008
01/08/2008
Auto sales in Japan go back to the sales level of 1972, and auto sales in Germany decline to the level in 1990. Shows the maturing western markets and how this is affecting automakers strategy, and the shift to focus more on developing countries where the market is growing rapidly but which present challenges like the need to develop lower priced cars.
Linked Articles
German Car Demand Hits New Low as Fuel Costs Rise
Wall Street Journal 01/08/2008
Auto Sales in Japan Drop to a 35-Year LowWall Street Journal 01/08/2008
Rapid expansion of Starbucks 2000-2008
01/07/2008
Starbucks with 10,000 store locations in the USA and 1600 planned new stores for 2008 finally realizes that this breakneck expansion was destroying the original starbucks experience and vision as its reduced to becoming more like a fast food place.
Linked Articles
Schultz Takes Over to Try to Perk Up Starbucks
Wall Street Journal 01/08/2008
McDonald's Takes On A Weakened StarbucksWall Street Journal 01/07/2008
How increasing temporary workers to about a third of the labor force depresses Japan's consumer spending
01/07/2008
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 03/01/2011
Growing Reliance on Temps Holds Back Japan's ReboundWall Street Journal 01/07/2008
Great Moderation and Monetary policy
09/20/2007
Bernanke's views about the half point interest rate cut in 2002 in his first months as Fed governor showed his concerns for overheating of residential construction but also that this was overweiged by his concerns for deflation and economic gloom current at the time.
Linked Articles
Economist 09/20/2007
Fed in 2002 Feared Deflation, Newly Released Transcripts ShowWall Street Journal 04/11/2008
Handan Iron & Steel Works, Hebei Province, and ThyssenKrupp, Dortmund, Germany, a world away- bad decisions and environmental pollution in China
10/02/2006
Did China's government officials underestimate the cost of environmental pollution in bringing the old polluting plant from Dortmund, Germany? How much will a cleanup cost? In 2007? In 2015 or 2020? Were these costs figured in? Who got the better deal- Germany or China?
Linked Articles
Why Beijing Is Trying to Tally The Hidden Costs of Pollution As China's Economy Booms - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2006
China Grabs West’s Smoke-Spewing FactoriesNew York Times 12/21/2007
The actions of Japanese prime minister Koizumi and lessons America can take from Japan
08/28/2006
Linked Articles
Koizumi's Success Charts the Path To Japan's Future
Wall Street Journal 08/28/2006
In Japan’s Stagnant Decade, Cautionary Tales for AmericaNew York Times 02/13/2009
How the U.S. views Japan, China, and Japan-China relations (1)
05/11/2006
Linked Articles
The Limits on Nationalism in Japan
New York Times 07/23/2013
New York Times 05/11/2006
How all carmakers and Detroit automakers in particular missed what was happening in the economy and the market with dire results.
05/20/2008
Even as late as May 22, 2008 Ford pared its outlook to 14-15 million cars as reported by Jeff Bennett in the WSJ. That puts the situation in October 2008, with a 30-40% drop in sales year over year only 5 months away.
Linked Articles
Car Makers' Boom Years Now Look Like a Bubble
Wall Street Journal 05/20/2008
Ford Motor Pares OutlookWall Street Journal 05/22/2008
The steep decline in Cherry's car sales in China and the precarious condition of the Chinese consumer- 2008
04/24/2008
The precarious condition of the Chinese consumer and first time buyer of cars, with no safety net in the economy for health care or unemployment. The severe downturn for Cherry and why GM cannot look to China for any kind of relief.
Linked Articles
With First Car, a New Life in China
New York Times 04/24/2008
China's Car Makers Seek Different Help: Lower Sales TaxesWall Street Journal 11/20/2008
Toyota Prius hybrid- hard sell in India and China
04/21/2008
The Prius is priced around $22,000 in Japan and the U.S. In India and China it costs around $40,000 with import duties. This makes it a hard sell where pollution is a major problem.
Linked Articles
In India, 'Green Cars' Look Like a Hard Sell
Wall Street Journal 01/08/2010
In China, Hybrids Are Tough SellWall Street Journal 04/21/2008
How parttime workers are shaping the unemployment picture in the US.
03/08/2008
Just as happened in Japan and continues to this day parttime workers are shaping the USA unemployment picture as employers increasingly resort to parttime workers to cut costs. With underutilized workers the USA unemployment rate reached 12% in October 2008.
Linked Articles
Labor Data Show Pain Across Economy
Wall Street Journal 11/08/2008
More People Pushed Into Part-Time Work ForceWall Street Journal 03/08/2008
Safety and affordability for motorcyclists who shift to the Nano and Ratan Tata's vision for the Nano
01/08/2008
About 1800 people die in traffic accidents in New Delhi each year and most of them are on motorcyles, whole families on a motorbike. This was the image in Ratan Tata's mind behind his vision of a 1 lakh rupee ($2000) car affordable to the motorcycle Indian. Is it safe, for the motorcycle rides and passengers its a lot safer being in a car.
Linked Articles
Economist 01/10/2008
Four Wheels for the Masses: The $2,500 CarNew York Times 01/08/2008
The increase in temporary workers in the U.S. and Japan and the consequences in higher inequality and poverty.
01/07/2008
About one third of workers in Japan, and one fourth in the U.S., are temporary workers. The consequences for Japan include the effects of lower consumer spending in the economy reducing the growth rate.
Linked Articles
The Rise of the Permanent Temp Economy
New York Times 01/26/2013
Growing Reliance on Temps Holds Back Japan's ReboundWall Street Journal 01/07/2008
Reform at Pemex and opening up Mexico's oil industry to foreign investment held up for a decade and the cost to the Mexican economy
12/19/2007
Reforms at Pemex and opening up the oil industry to foreign investment were held up in the Calderon administration after repeated efforts by the PAN party government to get the PRI and PRD's support. The final changes to the bill to make it more attractive for foreign oil companies to compete with Pemex were pushed by PAN in alliance with the PRI Nieto administration in 2013. The cost to Mexico is a lost decade in oil exploration in deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and a steep decline in oil revenues as Mexico turned into a net energy importer in March 2013, according to the WSJ.
Linked Articles
Economist 12/19/2007
How Shale Helped Frack Mexico's Energy ImpasseWall Street Journal 12/12/2013
Failure to invest in tech startups dims hopes for a shift away from a commodity based Russian economy- 2005-2015
10/08/2006
Linked Articles
Russia's Tech Startup Scene Retreats Amid Ukraine Conflict
Wall Street Journal 09/09/2014
Germany Drafts Policy for Europe to Strengthen Russian TiesNew York Times 10/08/2006
The Musharraf years in Pakistan and Pakistan's need for a modernized economy
09/29/2006
Linked Articles
The Musharraf Exception - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 09/29/2006
Pakistani Stocks Rise on Musharraf's ExitWall Street Journal 08/19/2008
Employment in the auto industry, GDP growth targets and increasing auto emissions in China's cities
06/13/2006
Environmental pollution in China's cities and increasing auto emissions that pose dangers to health. The situation in 2007 was deteriorating . By 2013 Beijing was seeing air quality extremes of 700 micrograms per square meter, with 500 routine. WHO standards show 300 micrograms as dangerous for health. Pressure to push for GDP growth is intense for local officals and the environmental agency lacked powers for enforcement. The car population was doubling every few years in this period 2000-2012.
Linked Articles
As China's Auto Market Booms, Leaders Clash Over Heavy Toll
Wall Street Journal 06/13/2006
As China Roars, Pollution Reaches Deadly ExtremesNew York Times 08/26/2007
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