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Imbalances in the global economy that will take time to correct- the situation in the U.S., Europe and emerging markets in 2012-2013
05/05/2008
The perception that "this time is different" is a typical behavioural reaction in history to to financial crises studied by Rogoff and Reinhart. Economic weakness is part of the mechanism for correcting global imbalances which happens over a number of years.
Linked Articles
Economy May Face Prolonged Pain, History Suggests
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2008
Boom, Bust. Repeat.Wall Street Journal 10/09/2009
Lower incomes in manufacturing and and a general lowering of expectations in U.S. midwestern states like Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois and Wisconsin (1)
04/20/2008
Improving unemployment figures in Ohio in 2012 with 7.2% unemployment has come with lower incomes in manufacturing and a lowering of expectations about the future.
Linked Articles
Ohio economy improving, but residents can’t feel it - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/08/2012
The Wage That Meant Middle ClassNew York Times 04/20/2008
Popular Eastern European automobile brands that stand for quality in Europe at low price points- Renault's Dacia in Romania
02/11/2008
The Dacia and Logan brands manufactured in Romania are expected to cross the 1 million sales mark in 2012. The Logan and Dacia have established a presence in Europe as models known for reliability. Sales of these lower cost cars are popular with buyers in France who see this as a choice replacing buying a used car.
Linked Articles
Frugal Dacia Stars in Renault's Overhaul
Wall Street Journal 02/11/2008
Renault Takes Low-Cost LeadWall Street Journal 04/16/2012
The crisis at Motorola in 2008 and at Nokia in 2012
02/01/2008
Smartphone competition from Chinese and Korean brands, Huawei and Samsung, and new technologies with the Android smartphones and the Apple iPhone have upended the market for mobile phones. Nokia an established competitor finds itself in a dangerous situation with a precipitious loss of market share at the low end and the high end, and eroding margins.
Linked Articles
Motorola to Spin Off Handset Unit, As Icahn Waits
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2008
Nokia Posts $1.2 Billion Loss as Sales Drop 29%New York Times 04/19/2012
Great Moderation and Monetary policy
09/20/2007
Bernanke's views about the half point interest rate cut in 2002 in his first months as Fed governor showed his concerns for overheating of residential construction but also that this was overweiged by his concerns for deflation and economic gloom current at the time.
Linked Articles
Economist 09/20/2007
Fed in 2002 Feared Deflation, Newly Released Transcripts ShowWall Street Journal 04/11/2008
Doug Parker of US Airways and the proposed merger with American Airlines (AMR) in 2012
11/20/2006
Linked Articles
Lessons Learned? How US Airways Would Navigate Merger - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 11/20/2006
Steven Pearlstein: Two can play the airline bankruptcy game - The Washington PostWashington Post 04/29/2012
Employment in the auto industry, GDP growth targets and increasing auto emissions in China's cities
06/13/2006
Environmental pollution in China's cities and increasing auto emissions that pose dangers to health. The situation in 2007 was deteriorating . By 2013 Beijing was seeing air quality extremes of 700 micrograms per square meter, with 500 routine. WHO standards show 300 micrograms as dangerous for health. Pressure to push for GDP growth is intense for local officals and the environmental agency lacked powers for enforcement. The car population was doubling every few years in this period 2000-2012.
Linked Articles
As China's Auto Market Booms, Leaders Clash Over Heavy Toll
Wall Street Journal 06/13/2006
As China Roars, Pollution Reaches Deadly ExtremesNew York Times 08/26/2007
The Oil Price Shock of 2006 and the potential for oil price increases for 2012
04/29/2006
In 2006 as in 2012 the world faces tight supplies and a confrontation with Iran over its nuclear program.
Linked Articles
Fears of a 2008 Repeat for Oil
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Trading Frenzy Adding to Rise in Price of OilNew York Times 04/29/2006
BMW, Benz and luxury retailers Saks, Nordstrom face declining luxury consumption.
04/30/2008
Sales at luxury retailers full priced stores are flat or declining while their factory outlets are seeing increased sales. BMW and Mercedes are taking writedowns for the drop in the value of their secondhand leased cars in the USA. This reflects declining economic conditions in April 2008.
Linked Articles
Profit Hurt, BMW Diverts Cars From U.S.
Wall Street Journal 04/30/2008
Luxury Retailers Pin Hopes on OutletsWall Street Journal 04/30/2008
China makes a shift in industry as older polluting, low wage low margin factories shut down
02/22/2008
Policymakers and economic change cause China's industry to shift from the low wage low margin model to more innovation, worker protection , environmental protection model.
Linked Articles
China's Export Machine Threatened by Rising Costs
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2008
Many Factories in China's South Sound Last WhistleWall Street Journal 02/22/2008
Transition in China's manufacturing
02/01/2008
Many factories in Guandong Province long a key area in the production of apparel and footwear for export are now closing hit by a number of factors at the same time, higher costs, stricter labor laws, no government incentives, stricter pollution laws. China is encouraging this shift to improve living standards and shift production to more sophisticated goods.
Linked Articles
China’s Inflation Hits American Price Tags
New York Times 02/01/2008
Many Factories in China's South Sound Last WhistleWall Street Journal 02/22/2008
The 2012 drought in the U.S., corn prices and problems with the ethanol mandate
11/28/2007
Linked Articles
Ethanol Craze Cools As Doubts Multiply
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2007
Prices Surge as Drought Stunts Corn CropWall Street Journal 08/12/2012
Suzuki in India and Nissan's effort in emerging markets.
09/04/2007
Nissan's Ghosn opens factory in Tangier, Morrocco, to make the Logan, a $7500 car already made in several countries.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/13/2007
Ghosn Bets Big on Low-Cost StrategyWall Street Journal 09/04/2007
Putin's experiences after the collapse of the Soviet Union and Russia's transition to democratic processes
07/13/2006
Clues from Putin's experiences and thinking after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the direction for Russia's democratic processes- the early enthusiasm for democratic forms in the immediate years after the collapse of the Berlin Wall followed by the chaotic period and the aftermath of economic collapse, appear to have shaped his thinking.
Linked Articles
In Putin's Past, Glimpses Of Russia's Hardline Future
Wall Street Journal 12/21/2007
Group of 8 Talks, Like So Much These Days, Are All About Energy: Russias Gas and OilNew York Times 07/13/2006
IBM in the Indian market and its transformation.
06/05/2006
How Moffatt's transformation of IBM is taking shape. Its putting behind outsourcing concept and multinational concept of running business in favor of a new concept of competency centres worldwide, a global business factory where just as in the auto industry work can be transferred based on where the best competency rest. Its also based on competing with the Indians in the Indian domestic market and neutralizing the people resources advantage of the Indian IT firms by expanding in India big time.
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 06/05/2006
IBM's Big Deal in IndiaBusinessWeek 12/28/2007
Toyota's IMV series of vehicles for emerging markets reaches a milestone in 2012- 1 million vehicles on one platform
05/12/2005
This is the best any automobile manufacturer has done on one platform. The design, single chassis, lower price points and customization for rough road conditions in emerging markets, give the IMV architecture and manufacturing operations a unique advantage.
Linked Articles
Toyota Pushes Emerging-Markets Production
Wall Street Journal 04/07/2012
For Toyota, a New Small Truck Carries Hopes for Topping GMWall Street Journal 05/12/2005
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