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Racial polarization in the 2012 U.S. presidential election between Romney and Obama
01/18/2009
The figures tell the story- Romney gets 91% of his support from white voters. He is ahead by 23% over Obama among white voters- a Washington Post /ABC News poll showing Romney at 60% and Obama at 37% in the last week of Oct. 2012. Obama's support from white voters is dropping to the level in the Mondale-Reagan election when Mondale was in the 30's -Reagan 65% Mondale 35% among white voters in the 1980 election. Obama's victory in 2008 came from winning 43% of the white vote. Whites made up 74% of voters in ABC polling in 2008- the same number as in 2012. About a 2% shift towards Hispanics and other minorities is expected every 4 years according to experts as U.S. population becomes more diverse. The suburban women with college degrees with strong views about contraception and women's issues were a factor in helping build core support for the Democratic party and Obama to get to the 43%. Another factor is the younger women without college degrees who are now shifting towards Romney and the Republicans over economic issues. Surpprisingly after the foreclosures and high jobless rates hit minorities hardest support has still not fallen for Obama with these groups in polling results.
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