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In 1997 Federal Reserve rate increases worsened the situation in the fragile Mexican economy, with Mexico needing a large bank bailout. Contagion to other countries was also a large problem at the time. Harvard economists Kenneth Rogoff and Larry Summers, cite the situation facing emerging markets with the sharp fall in commodity prices and the decline in the value of the currencies, particularly Brazil, Indonesia and Russia, countries dependent on commodity exports, creating risks in the global economy that the Fed could not ignore. The debt crisis in China and slowing economy, with missteps by the government in handling the stock market decline, happened in August-September 2015, creating added uncertainty- making Sept 15, 2015, too soon for the Fed to risk even a modest 0.25% increase in rates.
Grouped Articles
Watching the Fed, and Remembering the Tequila Crisis
New York Times 09/18/2015
Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged
New York Times 09/17/2015
Gloom on Brazil Finances Deepens
Wall Street Journal 12/17/2015
Why China’s Market Fell So Much
Wall Street Journal 01/05/2016
Why China’s Market Illness Has Gotten More Contagious
Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016
A January Pause, but Fed Affirms Plan for Gradual Rate Increases
New York Times 01/27/2016
The sharply slowing economy in China in September 2015 acts to put the Fed on another of a series of pause situations as it plans to raise rates. The Fed'd interest rate policy has shifted to raise rates vey gradually making the rate increases small and over an extended period of time, so that this does not affect the recovery. Very low inflation with the steep decline in commodity prices, especially oil, is making it easier for the Fed to make this pause.
Grouped Articles
Lesson for Fed: Higher Interest Rates Haven’t Been Sticking
Wall Street Journal 09/14/2015
Here’s a Way Yellen Can Raise Rates Without Spooking Markets
Wall Street Journal 09/14/2015
The Fed Gets a Last Data Point, and It Isn’t Good
Wall Street Journal 09/17/2015
Central Banks’ Lesson: Easy Money Alone Isn’t a Growth Salve
Wall Street Journal 09/18/2015
Watching the Fed, and Remembering the Tequila Crisis
New York Times 09/18/2015
Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged
New York Times 09/17/2015
Grouped Articles
Fed Delays Interest-Rate Liftoff
Wall Street Journal 09/18/2015
Central Banks’ Lesson: Easy Money Alone Isn’t a Growth Salve
Wall Street Journal 09/18/2015
Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged
New York Times 09/17/2015
Grouped Articles
No time for an interest rate hike - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/24/2015
Lesson for Fed: Higher Interest Rates Haven’t Been Sticking
Wall Street Journal 09/14/2015
Here’s a Way Yellen Can Raise Rates Without Spooking Markets
Wall Street Journal 09/14/2015
Central Banks’ Lesson: Easy Money Alone Isn’t a Growth Salve
Wall Street Journal 09/18/2015
Fed Delays Interest-Rate Liftoff
Wall Street Journal 09/18/2015
Watching the Fed, and Remembering the Tequila Crisis
New York Times 09/18/2015
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