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Dear Fed, Please Be Late To the Rate-Raising Party
Keywords:
Nasdaq OMX Group CEO, Robert Greifeld, says Janet Yellen and the U.S. Fed Open Market Committee should exercize caution in increasing interest rates in 2014. He cites the heavy risk for long term investor outlook and psychology of the Fed moving too quickly in increasing interest rates, because of the steep drop in oil prices, the crash of the ruble, slowdown in Europe, deflationary trends in the eurozone and Japan, and slow growth in China. The Fed now has more room for taking a cautious approach says Greifeld, as wage growth is tepid, the dollar is strong, and oil prices are down significantly.
The expectations for inflation in 2014-2016 and U.S. Federal Reserve chairwoman Yellen's response
05/12/2014
Bernanke pointed to low inflation below the Fed's 2% target during the period of quantitative easing policies in 2010-2013. Higher prices of medical care, housing and import prices are expected in the rest of 2014. Analysts say this will taper off and inflation expectations are still much below 2% for 2014, especially as large number of part time workers keeps wage growth at a low level, and is likely to do so for a considerable period probably into 2015. Higher energy and food costs are not included in the core index for inflation the Fed looks at.
Grouped Articles
Markets Watch, Warily, for a Small Bump in Inflation
Wall Street Journal 05/12/2014
Fed Panel Has Begun to Address How to Gradually Raise Rates
New York Times 05/21/2014
WSJ's Hilsenrath: Fed Can Be Patient on Rate-Hike Debate After Data
Wall Street Journal 08/02/2014
Fed Minutes Show Wariness Over Global Growth
Wall Street Journal 10/08/2014
Risk of Deflation Feeds Global Fears
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2014
New York Times 10/16/2014
U.S. Federal Reserve policy under Janet Yellen- 2014-2017
02/12/2014
Grouped Articles
Fed's Yellen Sets Course for Steady Bond-Buy Cuts
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2014
Fed Puts Rate Increase on the Radar
Wall Street Journal 02/20/2014
Yellen Sticks to Plan Amid Weather Doubts
Wall Street Journal 02/28/2014
Wall Street Journal 03/20/2014
Fed Cuts Bond Buying by Another $10 Billion
New York Times 03/19/2014
Federal Reserve’s Bond-Buying Fades, but Stimulus Doesn’t End There
New York Times 06/19/2014
Blanchflower and Posen call for the U.S. Federal Reserve to use wage growth as the best indicator of unemployment, after the misleading 288,000 jobs report of April 2014
06/06/2009
A renewed focus on the partcipation rate as the unemployment rate declines to 6.3% in April 2014. As this only counts people looking for work and many Americans have dropped out of the labor market because jobs they seek do not exist, the unemployment rate in this situation is misleading. Blanchford and Posen have written a paper on this and say the flat wage rate in March and April 2014 with no improvement in the participation rate provides a true picture of the large slack in the economy.
Grouped Articles
In Tepid Wage Growth, a Potent Sign of a Still-Fragile Economy
New York Times 05/05/2014
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014
Little Agreement on Reasons for Declining Labor-Force Participation
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014
Positive Jobs Report Shows Economic Fault Lines
Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014
Jobs Data May Be Icing on America's Birthday Cake
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2014
Hiring Is Strong and Jobless Rate Declines to 6.1%
New York Times 07/03/2014
U.S. Federal Reserve policies and actions in 2014-2016
01/29/2014
Grouped Articles
Citing Growth, Fed Again Cuts Monthly Bond Purchases
New York Times 01/29/2014
Federal Reserve’s Bond-Buying Fades, but Stimulus Doesn’t End There
New York Times 06/19/2014
Fed, Confident in Economy, Details End of Bond-Buying Program
New York Times 07/09/2014
Yellen Says Job Market Improving, but Noncommittal About Policy Effect
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2014
Fed Says It Will Be ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Timing
New York Times 12/17/2014
Dear Fed, Please Be Late To the Rate-Raising Party
Wall Street Journal 01/12/2015
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