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Japan’s No. 1 Reflationist Does a Victory Dance

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Kozo Yamamoto joined the Finance Ministry in 1971, and is serving his sixth term as member of Japan's parliament. Since 2011 Yamamoto has convinced Abe, a colleague in parliament, about the need for reflationist policies now called Abenomics. This helped Abe make a comeback win for the prime minister's position for a second time. Yamamoto led the study group that convinced Abe of the need to delay the second increase in the consumption tax to 2017, and a 3 trillion yen stimulus package to encourage household spending, following the economy's fallback into a recession in Nov. 2014. He says it was important to not add to the headwinds the economy is facing. Yamamoto does not fall into the conservative mold of people from the Finance Ministry, as he takes tango lessons, is interested in fine pottery, and in Italian cooking. He has called bureaucrats in the ministry and central bankers "feckless" and "defiant," after years of questioning them in parliament and demanding reflationist policies. With the snap election in December 2014 the Abe led LDP is taking on the conservative Finance Ministry officials, who have insisted on sticking with the old timetable for the tax increase, regardless of the headwinds and slowing exports.

Kozo Yamamoto and the decision by prime minister Abe to delay a second increase in the consumption tax to 2017

11/20/2014

Kozo Yamamoto is Cornell University graduate who joined Japan's Finance Ministry in 1971 and is serving his 6th term in Japan's parliament. He became close to Abe after 2011 and convinced Abe that Japan needed reflationist policies to return to growth. He passed on his study group's advice to delay the second consuption tax increase from 8 to 10% from 2015 to 2017, by which time said Yamamoto Japan will have reached the 2% inflation target.

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