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Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan Gains Ground in Turkish Elections

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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The local elections in Turkey with the AKP winning 46% of the vote, the CHP 28%, after 80% of the votes were counted on March 30, 2014. The AKP retained control of the mayors position in Istanbul where Erdogan made his start in politics. With a little less than half the vote going to opposition parties and the suppression of the media by the Erdogan government, Turkey remains as divided as ever. Turkey's economic boom on which Erdogan stakes his claim to govern has depended on a credit boom based on foreign capital inflows and foreign investment. The crisis in emerging markets has reduced foreign capital inflows, the political divisions have reduced inflows even further, creating serious economic risks for Turkey that Erdogan and AKP appear to be oblivious to.

Turkey's local elections in Istanbul and Ankara in March 2014- the AKP and a deeply divided Turkey

04/01/2014

The election of AKP party members in Istanbul and Ankara mayoral elections, with the AKP winning over half the vote and the CHP and other parties splitting the remaining votes. As the WSJ editorial on the same day points out the economic boom on which the AKP contested the election is already coming to an end with the end to surging credit. By winning just over half the vote in an election with suppression of freely expressed media opinion, the AKP has left Turkey as badly divided as before. The rise of the AKP based on Turkey's economic performance for the last decade, may lead the AKP to lose sight of the fact that this was for a significant part an improvement that has taken place across all emerging markets from Brazil to India, and which is gradually unwinding. A deeply divided nation will find it difficult to attract the kind of foreign investment Turkey needs to move forward, especially considering that credit expansion and foreign investment has financed Turkey's boom, not its manufacturing competitiveness.

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Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan Gains Ground in Turkish Elections

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Turkey Broadens Clampdown Against Erdogan Rivals

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