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Turkish Intervention Fails to Stem Lira Sell-Off
Keywords:
Turkey's lira depreciates by 21% in 2013 and an additional 7% by January 24, 2014. The central bank uses up a third of its foreign exchange reserves or $19 billion in intervention to support the lira since June 2013. The intervention on June 24, 2014, did not work and the lira continued its downward slide to 2.30 to the lira. The political protests in Turkey and divisions within factions in the government about corruption probes has led to a political crisis and investors pulling back from Turkey. The central bank failed to increase interest rates as expected by investors and suggested by the IMF. Inflation is running at 7.4% for 2013. In August 2001 a currency crisis caused the banking system to collapse. The financial position is stronger than in that crisis, yet the recent political crisis and the large current account deficit has badly dented investor sentiment.
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As currencies in emerging markets, the real in Brazil, the rupee in India, the lira in Turkey depreciate in value, it becomes more difficult for borrowers in these countries to pay back loans denominated in dollars. During the period of quantitative easing policies of U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Bernanke following the financial crisis of 2008-2009, low U.S. interest rates and strong local currencies made it cheaper to borrow in dollar denominated loans than pay the higher interest for local currency loans in reals, rupees or lira.
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